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Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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JC-CT

JC-CT

Posted
Posted
Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I tracked Feb13 from NC lol. That's how sick I am, as most of us are. But yea, but if you remember there was also runs that jacked NJ. I think we set have set the goalposts here though. For us, it could be historic or a glancing blow while out east has more room for historic outcomes. That's climo though and that's why sticking out into the path of ocean storms sets up well. 

 

I do remember that up until go time, the band was supposed to be maybe 25 miles west of where it set up

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ORH_wxman
ORH_wxman

I’m deleting all that crap. Anyone make a political references in the wx thread again, I’ll just can them for 5 days. We are the most lenient subforum on here….but everyone should know better than to

bristolri_wx
bristolri_wx

My apologies if this is off topic… As we hit 380 pages on this thread, and we wait for the 18z Euro, I just want to express my gratitude to everyone who participates in these threads. The communi

George001
George001

Ok I’ve seen enough to make my preliminary forecast. Now that the Navy is on board, I am very confident that this low isn’t going to disappear. The question is not going to be out to sea or benchmark

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40/70 Benchmark

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I tracked Feb13 from NC lol. That's how sick I am, as most of us are. But yea, but if you remember there was also runs that jacked NJ. I think we set have set the goalposts here though. For us, it could be historic or a glancing blow while out east has more room for historic outcomes. That's climo though and that's why sticking out into the path of ocean storms sets up well. 

 

I don't remember that, but it makes sense to me...just like NYC had Jp runs in 2015. They usually end up slightly east w capture, so you want a bit of wiggle room.

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Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

I know it's early but I can wait to check out some 12z GFS bufkit profiles. Betting we see like -60 to -70 units of omega popping...hopefully well into the DGZ

I hope your relationship survives this storm....weenie marriages are going to be tested all throughout NE. Glad wifey still away lol

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WinterWolf

WinterWolf

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I tracked Feb13 from NC lol. That's how sick I am, as most of us are. But yea, but if you remember there was also runs that jacked NJ. I think we set have set the goalposts here though. For us, it could be historic or a glancing blow while out east has more room for historic outcomes. That's climo though and that's why sticking out into the path of ocean storms sets up well. 

 

I get it.
 

But Same here Berg…Euro jacks Jersey NYC western/central areas. I think this is a region wide thrashing. I’m liking where we stand currently. That’s my take. 

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Connecticut Appleman

Connecticut Appleman

Posted
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4 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Yeah the weird thing with Boxing Day is that the mid level low tracks were actually decent back this way. But those lows were so broad everything was displaced pretty far north and west of the low center.

For Boxing Day storm in Ellington/Somers we had so little snow it was really bizarre as the farmland on some drumlins in Somers just norths of Ellington had all the snow blown off and everything was covered in dirt.  The winds picked up the soil and covered what little snow there was.

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Diggiebot

Diggiebot

Posted
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6 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

2-3 feet of snow with hurricane force wind gusts would knock out a lot of power though 

No leaves on the trees and the wind prevents sticking if it’s true blizzard. 2005 and 2015 on the cape we had minimal outages. The snow and completely impassable roads would be way more of a problem. 

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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

I get it.
 

But Same here Berg…Euro jacks Jersey NYC western/central areas. I think this is a region wide thrashing. I’m liking where we stand currently. That’s my take. 

No doubt my man. I have to send my newsletter to my fam and friends later today and I usually give them a lean at d4 with potential big ones. We mention the possibilities, of course, but I always try to lean a certain way. Either they berate me on Saturday and refuse to give me a plate at the next holiday party or they give me two plates and allow me to eat before the women and children. 

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