Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[Cyclone-68]

These computer models may require an exorcism 

[snjókoma]

3K NAM cut down QPF from 12z to 18z

[Snowcrazed71]

Is anyone else mentally exhausted lol. Well that run of The NAM help better. I did say earlier that Bernie rayno always talked about the windshield wiper effect especially when you're within 30 hours of a storm. I think I'm in a good spot to have a decent good size snow storm. I think it's 12 inch snow storm here where I'm at is a good number

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

No reason to change anything imo. All systems go. some will get fringed, some will receive just one dong out west, EOR will tickle two dongs, and even a few triple dongs get stuffed into EMA. 

Shouldn’t be anyone changing maps , but I’m sure some will 

[wxsniss]

What's clear is this is still in flux

We watch for a LBSW, where SW = SNE... as is, very close to consolidating around the western low faster, more consistent with what we're seeing at mid/upper levels, and we're back to the 0z solutions

[SouthCoastMA]

For your own sanity, maybe don't look at the RGEM model when it comes out in 40 minutes. 

[78Blizzard]

17 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

3k Nam is a nuke

 Worse than 12z.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

For your own sanity, maybe don't look at the RGEM model when it comes out in 40 minutes. 

I'm sure it will have a blizzard for ACK while BOS has 3" of sand.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

 Worse than than 12z.

Yeah 3k wasn't quite as good as 12z....still a very good run though. Minor difference.

[ineedsnow]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

 Worse than than 12z.

it chases everything the low bounces around everywhere... its useless to use it at 18z

[Damage In Tolland]

Just so we can track how it’s doing 

[TalcottWx]

2 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

 Worse than than 12z.

Was old run. Sorry

[IowaStorm05]

Some y’all people messed with my head after freaking out on the 12 euro. I suffered for 2 hours at work unable to check my phone worried I was gonna end up with 6 inches. I didn’t tell people that but I did say there was some doubt. Now I’m on break and ha ha ha 18z NAM is back at its promising antics 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Obviously the RAP is killing it. 

[CT Valley Dryslot]

6 minutes ago, snjókoma said:

3K NAM cut down QPF from 12z to 18z

[CT Valley Dryslot]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just so we can track how it’s doing 

Is that Koochie?

[Greg]

Just now, CT Valley Dryslot said:

Is that Koochie?

yes

[powderfreak]

14 minutes ago, alex said:

PF and JSpin disagree. Myself Diane and Phin are half there

Luckily we are two of the most chill people on the forum .  I can enjoy a Boston blizzard as long as some folks take pics.

[MJOatleast7]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

it chases everything the low bounces around everywhere... its useless to use it at 18z

Like the drunk guy in the Wedding Singer.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

8 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

What's clear is this is still in flux

We watch for a LBSW, where SW = SNE... as is, very close to consolidating around the western low faster, more consistent with what we're seeing at mid/upper levels, and we're back to the 0z solutions

Consolidation equals a bomb

[hooralph]

Where do I order the RAP? Does it come Prime next day?

[UnitedWx]

25 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

OK I just spit out a perfectly good cocktail!

[Chrisrotary12]

27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Man if that can shake the low to the ENE that’s a huge WCB slamming into SNE.

Looking at the levels from SFC up to 700 there's never actually a closed circulation associated with it. It has to be all convectively driven. It's just analyzing the warm front at the same pressure level as the parent low.

Edit: but it sure does displace the warm conveyer belt.

[CT Rain]

Here's my latest.

[Sn0waddict]

Man kinda crazy what happens between hours 15-18. Seems almost hard to believe that it would go from one uniform low to that two barreled crap again that quickly and that Far East with the outer low.

[Spanks45]

8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Obviously the RAP is killing it. 

Not saying it's right, but it did quite well with our last "storm"....it actually did quite well with the higher amounts

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Is Wiz still on board with his map or did he have a seizure having to paint it again from scratch?

[Ginx snewx]

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Shouldn’t be anyone changing maps , but I’m sure some will 

Tell ya this on the Cape that's cement to start and with those winds they will be looking at another Jan 15 tree disaster 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Spanks45 said:

Not saying it's right, but it did quite well with our last "storm"....it actually did quite well with the higher amounts

It did. It could choke this time but we'll keep an open mind for now. 

[EastonSN+]

Than NAM solution is whacky as heck.

It climbs the coast and smokes LI then slingshots the 2nd low north THEN consolidates.

Me thinks the radar is gonna look whack tomorrow.