Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[radarman]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:22 PM, ORH_wxman said:

We are only talking about E MA now?

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You didn't grow up there you wouldn't understand

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:22 PM, DotRat_Wx said:

You see a scenario where this isn't a historic storm for a lot of people in Eastern MA? Because I don't 

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I think you should just let it go...there is obviously frustration given some trends that impact areas to varying degrees.

[JC-CT]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:22 PM, ORH_wxman said:

We are only talking about E MA now?

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AEMATT isn't just a catch phrase - it's a way of life

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:22 PM, ORH_wxman said:

We are only talking about E MA now?

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Phin doesn't like it when I talk about it though.  He mad.

[DomNH]

12z so far has kind of sucked west of 495 relative to previous guidance. Can't deny it. 

[dendrite]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:24 PM, JC-CT said:

historic for Eastern MA

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[Baroclinic Zone]

Let's just break off the community into individual zones of security, that way we can talk about our back yards and not offend anyone else.

[NeonPeon]

You know, a little negative trending and I may only get the best storm I've had in 7 years, not a decade. It's going to be hard to sled with my kid while I'm sobbing, but I'll try.

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:25 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

Phin doesn't like it when I talk about it though.  He mad.

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Yeah but it's a fact that 12z guidance has definitely backed off on a larger region-wide historic storm....it's still historic for SE MA, but that is different than what we were seeing on previous cycles. Honestly, there really isn't much more to parse for SE MA and far E MA....they are going to get crushed. But for the rest of the forum, there is a lot to sort out.

Now, it's another question altogether whether we actually believe the 12z runs so far...I'm thinking they are probably going to little too much with the elongation idea and the Upper levels and mid-levels look about as good as they can be....

[Zeus]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:27 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

Let's just break off the community into individual zones of security, that way we can talk about our back yards and not offend anyone else.

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I have been trying, diligently but seemingly without any modicum of success, to figure out just why folks keep talking about imaginary places like "495" and "Connecticut" in this, the central New Jersey shoreline winter storm thread.

[bristolri_wx]

Let's keep in mind that the 10-1 maps are not gonna be accurate for this thing.  Neither is the Kuchera's, but somewhere in the middle is where we end up for ratios.

[moneypitmike]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:24 PM, EastonSN+ said:

Not Happy!

 

 

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With 30:1 ratios, you're going to be fine.

[NeonPeon]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:27 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

Let's just break off the community into individual zones of security, that way we can talk about our back yards and not offend anyone else.

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Think of how more productive the discussion of ri geography could be. This idea has legs.

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:28 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah but it's a fact that 12z guidance has definitely backed off on a larger region-wide historic storm....it's still historic for SE MA, but that is different than what we were seeing on previous cycles. Honestly, there really isn't much more to parse for SE MA and far E MA....they are going to get crushed. But for the rest of the forum, there is a lot to sort out.

Now, it's another question altogether whether we actually believe the 12z runs so far...I'm thinking they are probably going to little too much with the elongation idea and the Upper levels and mid-levels look about as good as they can be....

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And that's been acknowledged.

[Heisy]

This seems to happen every event. You get those western shifts about 36-48 hours then some last second eastern adjustments. 

Im on 95 headed towards Boston. Trying to stay near Rockland but can't find a hotel that isn't booked. I found one in Braintree Mass. Not that it will be that big a change but will I still be at a decent* (damn auto correct) spot for OES? Places must be booked from the storm 

[dendrite]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:27 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

Let's just break off the community into individual zones of security, that way we can talk about our back yards and not offend anyone else.

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I'm starting lakesregionnhwx.com

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:29 PM, NeonPeon said:

Think of how more productive the discussion of ri geography could be. This idea has legs.

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Todays 12z runs are definitely better for RI, you should Be cheering that on

[78Blizzard]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:13 PM, DotRat_Wx said:

We need less awful posts like this. 

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Quite the change in sentiment from his posts last night, lol.  We tried to tell him.

[SouthCoastMA]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:27 PM, Baroclinic Zone said:

Let's just break off the community into individual zones of security, that way we can talk about our back yards and not offend anyone else.

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yeah. like I couldnt care less if some say this storm sucks for them while I get 24". Both can be true

[Baroclinic Zone]

Snowing at home.

[JC-CT]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:27 PM, NeonPeon said:

You know, a little negative trending and I may only get the best storm I've had in 7 years, not a decade. It's going to be hard to sled with my kid while I'm sobbing, but I'll try.

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use them tears to wipe the bottom of the sled a little, they will freeze up and create a nice lubricating ice layer

[CT Valley Dryslot]

Lots of clenched buttholes here today.

[radarman]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:29 PM, NeonPeon said:

Think of how more productive the discussion of ri geography could be. This idea has legs.

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I held quite a bit back from the nuances of Shutesbury disco that I've been itching to unload

[bristolri_wx]

[powderfreak]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:22 PM, PhineasC said:

LOL what I posted originally was completely tame and true to the model output. SE MA clearly on edge due to the latest runs. Sheesh. 

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Man you touched a nerve there, that was wild lol.

[Damage In Tolland]

IMO .. as long as the 500 and 700 mb lows track as modeled everyone is going to be very happy. Put snow maps away. Look at the extremely favorable tracks of these lows.. massive easterly inflow.. your past experiences and results in setups like this. There’s literally nothing to brown your drawers over 

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:22 PM, ORH_wxman said:

We are only talking about E MA now?

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Well, duh…

[JC-CT]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:31 PM, CT Valley Dryslot said:

Lots of clenched buttholes here today.

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I dunno...seems like there's plenty of shit flying too

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/28/2022 at 5:30 PM, Heisy said:

This seems to happen every event. You get those western shifts about 36-48 hours then some last second eastern adjustments. 

Im on 95 headed towards Boston. Trying to stay near Rockland but can't find a hotel that isn't booked. I found one in Braintree Mass. Not that it will be that big a change but will I still be on adventures spot for OES? Places must be booked from the storm 

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Norwell, Hanover area have anything? I just checked and hull has some vacancies. Should be a wild storm there 

[codfishsnowman]

  On 1/28/2022 at 3:04 PM, ORH_wxman said:

I can't believe all the western peeps are worrying over the RGEM/NAM when it still gives E MA 2 feet.

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Because EMass has had piles of 20 to 30 plus inch monsters that have left anywhere from a few flakes to six or maybe eight inches of arctic sand WOR..