Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[dendrite]

Not really sure what to expect back this way. The models that hammer us good are the 12k and ec. I’d like to see some other models come on board or trend more west. Gun to head, I think the ec and nam tick east a bit. 

[Hoth]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s why they are not a “go to” for weather information. Always conservative , playing catch-up . Puff puff pass 

This is the go-to place. Perhaps not the cleanest, easy to assimilate format, but the caliber of discussion at its best cannot be surpassed.

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, Hoth said:

This is the go-to place. Perhaps not the cleanest, easy to assimilate format, but the caliber of discussion at its best cannot be surpassed.

Only when I'm sleeping

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

Only when I'm sleeping

Yeah, but that's when Ice1972 is up. We can't win!

[Digityman]

This place is also great advertising for psychiatrists.  More that 300 page of a rollercoaster of emotions.  Will she, won't she...   This has been a very long week.  

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, Digityman said:

This place is also great advertising for psychiatrists.  More that 300 page of a rollercoaster of emotions.  Will she, won't she...   This has been a very long week.  

but its what we live for here!! LFG 

[bristolri_wx]

The Euro and the NAM seem to be on their own with the heavy precip and westward extent. Some of the other hi-res models aren’t as bullish for central and western New England. Wish this felt like a slam dunk for everyone but waking up still feel like there’s still some details to sort out today that will affect this board. Only consensus is for 12” or more east of 95/495… that’s about it and we are 18 hours from go… weird…

[dan11295]

BOX forecast is discounting the NAM for now btw given that its so slow and west.

"Explosive cyclogenesis occurs off the Mid Atlc coast tonight, with an impressive ~40 mb pressure drop in 24 hrs, yielding a bomb cyclone of around a 965 mb low over the eastern MA waters Sat evening! 00z guidance trended west and is in somewhat better agreement than previous runs, however differences still exist. The 00z NAM (especially the 12km NAM) the deepest, slowest and farthest west solution of the 00z guidance. Therefore followed a non NAM model blend solution for this portion of the forecast."

 

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, dan11295 said:

BOX forecast is discounting the NAM for now btw given that its so slow and west.

"Explosive cyclogenesis occurs off the Mid Atlc coast tonight, with an impressive ~40 mb pressure drop in 24 hrs, yielding a bomb cyclone of around a 965 mb low over the eastern MA waters Sat evening! 00z guidance trended west and is in somewhat better agreement than previous runs, however differences still exist. The 00z NAM (especially the 12km NAM) the deepest, slowest and farthest west solution of the 00z guidance. Therefore followed a non NAM model blend solution for this portion of the forecast."

 

Discounting the NAM?   Edgy.

[WxWatcher007]

Yeah, I'm a little nervous typing the final forecast for my group, but we'll see what the 6z Euro does shortly. 

[CoastalWx]

Definitely some question about where it gets captured and that dual/Elongated low structure that some models have. But man overall a beast.

[JC-CT]

Vive la France

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Definitely some question about where it gets captured and that dual/Elongated low structure that some models have. But man overall a beast.

I feel more comfortable here than I did last night, but man, it still feels like razor's edge here in central CT at least. I think the east gets smoked. Your area should crush. 

[JC-CT]

Euro is not going east

[moneypitmike]

6 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Vive la France

I love mm increments.

[dryslot]

06z Euro is a tic or so west

[JC-CT]

Just now, dryslot said:

06z Euro is a tic or so west

amped

[moneypitmike]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

I love mm increments.

About the best I can do is say a meter’s a little more than a yard.

[dryslot]

Just now, JC-CT said:

amped

Again

[JC-CT]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

About the best I can do is say a meter’s a little more than a yard.

just look at the pretty colors

[ineedsnow]

yup Euro not giving up!! 

[JC-CT]

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

06z Euro is a tic or so west

Running short in time for a messenger shuffle.

[JC-CT]

[JC-CT]

[Hoth]

Man that is a great look.

[JC-CT]

probably a little less obscene out east. better for WOR. but overall distribution not much different

[dryslot]

These big one sometimes you don't get the shuffle.

[JC-CT]

we are locking in

[Hoth]

Euro is dialed in. Reminds me of the good ol' days.