Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[WeatherWilly]

GFS has already failed either way once again taking this long to come around. It's only hope is that all the models bust bigtime, then at least it will have company.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

couple more runs I think it will that low is bogus and just flys off models are coming around to one

I think it goes to snow you the dynamics that goes into this. Get that energy over the gulf stream and funny things can happen.

[IowaStorm05]

 

[JC-CT]

Just now, RI Rob said:

Were any other models showing the dual lows?

do you know how to look at any of the models?

[CT Rain]

New call. Big jump at 11!

[JC-CT]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I think it goes to snow you the dynamics that goes into this. Get that energy over the gulf stream and funny things can happen.

lol nice slip

[CoastalWx]

Just now, RI Rob said:

Were any other models showing the dual lows?

Some were yes. Certain runs and models. 

[MJO812]

Euro is still king with Miller A storms 

[JC-CT]

Just now, CT Rain said:

New call. Big jump at 11!

I was just about to post that a few maps will need to go up. BOX's too. OKX actually had their 12-18 range already more aggressive than BOX.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CT Rain said:

New call. Big jump at 11!

You have the 20-30" right where NAMy slots

[moneypitmike]

I'm out.....have a good night.  HOping to see some good news in the am

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

New call. Big jump at 11!

 

Likey but you will, of course, need to stay up for the Euro confirmation comfort.

[JC-CT]

is this, 120 miles west, really too much to ask for

[78Blizzard]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

is this, 120 miles west, really too much to ask for

How about a GFS/NAM blend?

[Swiscaster]

1 minute ago, PhineasC said:

Much better vibe here than the MA storm threads, IMO. Helps that storms actually trend better at go time and work out here. LOL

Yes, we get somewhat combative and demonstrate massive negativity when things go bad, but we have some very smart posters and great mets.  We are handcuffed by our location in the southern climes.  

[ice1972]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Gfs not partying like nam and euro.

It always takes a few cycles to catch on….dumb ass goofus

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

H5 looked much better. 

 

[George001]

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Euro is still king with Miller A storms 

I got a bit nervous when i realized it was a Miller A and not a Miller B, but then I saw the Euro give me 30+ inches several runs in a row. 

[dryslot]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

H5 looked much better. 

 

It looked good.

[IowaStorm05]

What is the precedence of model accuracy and nor’easter blizzards with no blocking?

 

[wxsniss]

Harv didn't flinch with the 0z NAM

24+ all of eastern Mass

[dryslot]

No blk/wht GGEM maps?

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

H5 looked much better. 

 

Yeah it does. Toss dual low.

[SnoSki14]

Gfs will still be correcting as the storm begins

[ineedsnow]

GEFS look east what the heck lol

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

[Heisy]

Just now, SnoSki14 said:

Gfs will still be correcting as the storm begins

It's already corrected big time down here in Philly. You guys probably not paying attention but notice the snowfall amounts changing down here between 12 18 and now 00z. It's a joke. It will keep adjusting 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, IowaStorm05 said:

What is the precedence of model accuracy and nor’easter blizzards with no blocking?

 

They keep going west.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 minute ago, IowaStorm05 said:

What is the precedence of model accuracy and nor’easter blizzards with no blocking?

 

Somebody gets a lot of snow.

[ice1972]

When you pros outside out forecast maps with those ranges isn’t there an underlying confidence interval for those ranges that you’re not showing?  I was saying this to my sister in Staten Island earlier and asked if it would help to know what the confidence was - then when things don’t end up close or on The fringe of the range it’s not a complete surprise….May help the perception of the public toward mets- imagine some of those hype mongers putting up some ridiculous range but with a 15% confidence interval lol