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Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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ORH_wxman
ORH_wxman

I’m deleting all that crap. Anyone make a political references in the wx thread again, I’ll just can them for 5 days. We are the most lenient subforum on here….but everyone should know better than to

bristolri_wx
bristolri_wx

My apologies if this is off topic… As we hit 380 pages on this thread, and we wait for the 18z Euro, I just want to express my gratitude to everyone who participates in these threads. The communi

George001
George001

Ok I’ve seen enough to make my preliminary forecast. Now that the Navy is on board, I am very confident that this low isn’t going to disappear. The question is not going to be out to sea or benchmark

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DavisStraight

DavisStraight

Posted
Posted
  On 1/28/2022 at 3:27 AM, PhineasC said:

I haven't been paying attention to the temps, but just realized that this could be heavy snow at zero or below here? That's nuts. Never experienced that in my life.

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We've had decent snow down here with temps in the single digits, lowest I remember is 4 degrees.

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PhineasC

PhineasC

Posted
Posted
  On 1/28/2022 at 3:31 AM, DavisStraight said:

We've had decent snow down here with temps in the single digits, lowest I remember is 4 degrees.

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Yeah, that just doesn't happen down south. When we had temps in the teens, it almost never snowed because it meant strong high pressure was in control. Maybe some flurries at best.

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Diggiebot

Diggiebot

Posted
Posted
  On 1/28/2022 at 3:28 AM, CCHurricane said:

Lost in all of this chaos is Cape Cod no longer being a solid position...gradient between 2 feet and not much looks to be ~25 miles. 

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We’ve seen lots of shifts with it still being mostly snow excluding the latest NAM but it’s the NAM. I think wait and see the rest of the model runs. Even the furthest west Euro which was very close to the cape kept us all snow. I think If it does go west anymore it’ll be all snow but if we see anymore shift westward it will change over. 

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40/70 Benchmark

40/70 Benchmark

Posted
Posted
  On 1/28/2022 at 3:31 AM, OceanStWx said:

Well I'm taking them up...

At the coast. 

I feel like confidence is pretty high on a decent floor at the coast, so I'm bringing totals up there while keeping the interior more or less the same. Phin should love it.

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Chris, what are your thoughts on that NAM solution? Think its too zonked?

I find it very realistic...

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Hoth

Hoth

Posted
Posted
  On 1/28/2022 at 3:27 AM, George001 said:

Temps are in the teens and 20s. In my opinion, even if the low went inland and crossed over like Worcester or something it would still snow in eastern mass due to the cold and strength of the low. It can snow east of the low, it’s not common but it does happen sometimes.

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Not when they originate near the Bahamas.

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PhineasC

PhineasC

Posted
Posted
  On 1/28/2022 at 3:31 AM, OceanStWx said:

Well I'm taking them up...

At the coast. 

I feel like confidence is pretty high on a decent floor at the coast, so I'm bringing totals up there while keeping the interior more or less the same. Phin should love it.

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Snowstorms are always much more fun when the NWS downplays and then has to scramble to up totals throughout the day, so I'm good with it. :) 

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted
  On 1/28/2022 at 3:31 AM, OceanStWx said:

Well I'm taking them up...

At the coast. 

I feel like confidence is pretty high on a decent floor at the coast, so I'm bringing totals up there while keeping the interior more or less the same. Phin should love it.

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I don't blame you until more guidance comes in. This could be the one zonked NAM12 run.

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