Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[Cold Miser]

Just now, JC-CT said:

It's a continuation of something from last night

lol. 

[NotSureWeather]

3 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

I've been learning option trading this year. It's amazingly similar in some ways. 

When you buy try and evaluate a stock it feels like you are forecasting for a snowstorm to hit every Friday (weekly option expiration). The stock direction is similar to snowfall amounts. Your job to look at technical analysis and sentiment/sort of like picking apart model bias. 

Predict what is coming based off experience. That's where the similarities end. Pro: you get a new chance to jackpot every week in markets con: there is real money on the line not snowfall. Doesn't destroy your family when you lose big. 

Model windshield wipers = bear/bull traps if you are not careful. 

 

Pretty good analogy.

[Cold Miser]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

The GFS is to coastals as the Mets are to baseball 

Swing and a miss!

[Brewbeer]

OMG did you see the rates?  Thread has accumulated 34 pages in the past 12 hours !

[Lava Rock]

14 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Deflating outside of SEMA. 

Eastern ME special

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, ackjake said:

Norwell, but just a Lurker/learner. Work at KBOS. 

Welcome fellow south shore weenie. 

 

There is someone in PYM. 

[CarverWX]

14 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Dont we have someone(s) in the Plymouth area? Seems the place to be 

I am in Carver next to Plymouth 

[NotSureWeather]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Welcome fellow south shore weenie. 

 

There is someone in PYM. 

I’m in EWB but that’s not PYM, lol.

[TalcottWx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Welcome fellow south shore weenie. 

 

There is someone in PYM. 

Whats his name... Oyster guy... I forgot lol 

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

2 minutes ago, Brewbeer said:

OMG did you see the rates?  Thread has accumulated 34 pages in the past 12 hours !

Bombothreadasis

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

First mini melt of the day?

Emotional thing from yesterday 

[JC-CT]

Just now, NotSureWeather said:

I’m in EWB but that’s not PYM, lol.

Looks like a good spot too

[NotSureWeather]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Emotional thing from yesterday 

You could call a lot of us an, “Emotional thing from yesterday”.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said:

Whats his name... Oyster guy... I forgot lol 

Amarshall is in Deluxbury.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Emotional thing from yesterday 

Let's just not talk about the 18z cmc suite ever again

[moneypitmike]

I expect the Messenger shuffle to first emerge at 18z.

[NotSureWeather]

Just now, JC-CT said:

Looks like a good spot too

Yeah I’m hoping it holds, been in the bullseye almost the whole time.

[rnaude241]

2 minutes ago, CarverWX said:

I am in Carver next to Plymouth 

I'm in Plymouth. Looking good in this hood. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Spanks45 said:

Lol....Just isn't our season it seems, we still have February and March, but La Nina might have something to say about that

I don’t know, we’ll see. We just haven’t been able to score the big one for some reason, we’ve been close though. Eventually, it will happen…it has to.

[JC-CT]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I don’t know, we’ll see. We just haven’t been able to score the big one for some reason, we’ve been close though. Eventually, it will happen…it has to.

2016?

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

I expect the Messenger shuffle to first emerge at 18z.

Messenger ticks East, latent heat release west at now cast?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

I expect the Messenger shuffle to first emerge at 18z.

And continue unabated through go time?

[snowdazed]

45 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Once we removed ourselves from historic possibilities, it hasn’t changed. I just hate fringe jobs. I’d rather be in RI at an accordion festival getting unlucky in a subby zone. 

I've done that.

Here in RI, the local mets are pretty confident about the 8-12" range.

[40/70 Benchmark]

54 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah… euro can stop tickling east, if we are being honest.

 

Not sure here, wondering if we are going to be in between bands.

No way. Its the people like me, who are dependent on the mid levels, that need to worry about that. Down there near the coastal front is going to get slammed with fronto from surface through H850. Now, when I say getting caught between bands...this isn't going to be Boxing day because it isn't occluded, but it can mean the difference between like 14" and 20".

[Prismshine Productions]

Swing and a miss!

Lead at the All Star break then implode

Sent from my SM-S115DL using Tapatalk

[moneypitmike]

3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

And continue unabated through go time?

That's how the song goes.

[Baroclinic Zone]

06z Euro move looked like noise to me.  See what 12z brings.  Time to start ironing out some of the details on banding and where that will be.  I'm ignoring the GFS since it decided to go on vacation.  NAM can be useful as long as it falls in line with the Euro, which it seems to be right now, perhaps a bit more amplified. 

 

I also agree with Scott that we should watch to see if this comes back west a hair as heights should be raised ahead of this with the storm coming up from the south.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

14 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs sucks with coastal storms

When you’re fringed again, you’ll understand it’s that bad. You don’t take it at face value but when euro slid from crushing NJ NYC WCT WMA to where it is now…big picture, it had the idea of a more progressive look.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

06z Euro move looked like noise to me.  See what 12z brings.  Time to start ironing out some of the details on banding and where that will be.  I'm ignoring the GFS since it decided to go on vacation.  NAM can be useful as long as it falls in line with the Euro, which it seems to be right now, perhaps a bit more amplified. 

Well, its played the same song for the past two cycles, I'd like a different sound track for 12z.

[WeatherHappens]

so how did the 18z cmc suite look?