Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[weathafella]

  On 1/27/2022 at 1:56 AM, WeatherHappens said:

do I have to do them all at once?

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Nope

[ROOSTA]

I'm missing something? One run of the NAM, people start a panic! PLEASE.
Friggin model bounces all over the place. Like a broken clock it's right twice a day. In winter it's put in the garage.
Oh, look another bounce.
Instead of describing E or W referencing to individuals BY why not reference the move a map location like say the BM.  
   

[George001]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:06 AM, ROOSTA said:

I'm missing something? One run of the NAM, people start a panic! PLEASE.
Friggin model bounces all over the place. Like a broken clock it's right twice a day. In winter it's put in the garage.
Oh, look another bounce.
Instead of describing E or W referencing to individuals BY why not reference the move a map location like say the BM.  
   

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0z nam is ejecting more energy. Going to be way west with the low.

[WeatherHappens]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:01 AM, weathafella said:

Nope

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then done lol

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:06 AM, ROOSTA said:

I'm missing something? One run of the NAM, people start a panic! PLEASE.
Friggin model bounces all over the place. Like a broken clock it's right twice a day. In winter it's put in the garage.
Oh, look another bounce.
Instead of describing E or W referencing to individuals BY why not reference the move a map location like say the BM.  
   

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Gfs, gefs, cmc, 12z euro..all slid east, then 18z euro ticked w. 

[brooklynwx99]

the NAM is nothing like the 18z as expected, was just a hiccup earlier

both streams are more favorable

 

[wxsniss]

Hr 33... southern shortwave more east... TPV more restrained... this should be a better run

Main value is to reassure everyone that 18z NAM was an anomaly, not a trend

[kdxken]

Lots of folks seem on edge. Isn't this supposed to be fun?

 

[ineedsnow]

this run will definitely be better

[CT Valley Dryslot]

Where’s Matt Noyes these days?

[ROOSTA]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:07 AM, George001 said:

0z nam is ejecting more energy. Going to be way west with the low.

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Don't..., won't use it. 2 days in and only used for QPF in unique situations.  

[dryslot]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:09 AM, wxsniss said:

Hr 33... southern shortwave more east... TPV more restrained... this should be a better run

Main value is to reassure everyone that 18z NAM was an anomaly, not a trend

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This will be better no doubt, Heights are higher over NE too.

[George001]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:08 AM, brooklynwx99 said:

the NAM is nothing like the 18z as expected, was just a hiccup earlier

 

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Yep, ejecting more energy like the Euro did. When the Euro went west at 18z it was a great sign. When the Euro sticks to its guns like this 2-3 days out it should not be ignored imo.

[ineedsnow]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:10 AM, CT Valley Dryslot said:

Where’s Matt Noyes these days?

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NBC10 Boston

[CT Valley Dryslot]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:12 AM, ineedsnow said:

NBC10 Boston

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Cool. I always thought he was a great met on NECN.

[ineedsnow]

another fun run incoming I think

[wxsniss]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:11 AM, dryslot said:

This will be better no doubt, Heights are higher over NE too.

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Yep

hr33-39 can already see the shortwave tugging much better on the trough... if all the associations we've observed this week mean anything, this will definitely be a better hit

[weathafella]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:07 AM, WeatherHappens said:

then done lol

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See it’s already working!

[TalcottWx]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:14 AM, CT Valley Dryslot said:

Cool. I always thought he was a great met on NECN.

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He is truly one of us, weenies salute him

[ROOSTA]

 

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:08 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Gfs, gefs, cmc, 12z euro..all slid east, then 18z euro ticked w. 

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Devil in the details from here in. Initialization issue? don't know. Those four will come back and all this angst will be in vain. 

[DavisStraight]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:12 AM, ineedsnow said:

NBC10 Boston

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Thought he was with NECN?

[dryslot]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:15 AM, wxsniss said:

Yep

hr33-39 can already see the shortwave tugging much better on the trough... if all the associations we've observed this week mean anything, this will definitely be a better hit

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Sharper trough, Southern s/w is is phasing in at 21z where 18z was leaving it behind.

[Diggiebot]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:17 AM, DavisStraight said:

Thought he was with NECN?

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Sister stations he is with both 

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:08 AM, brooklynwx99 said:

the NAM is nothing like the 18z as expected, was just a hiccup earlier

both streams are more favorable

 

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It’s got more hiccups than Charlie did in Willie Wonka

[dendrite]

Should be more west, but I'm not on the giddy bandwagon with this run yet.

[weatherwiz]

the differences between the handling of the southern stream vs 18z is insane. definitely giving more credence that the 18z was messed up

[78Blizzard]

Harvey will be taking them up again.

[Hoth]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:17 AM, ROOSTA said:

 

Devil in the details from here in. Initialization issue? don't know. Those four will come back and all this angst will be in vain. 

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GFS has always sucked with these things. Will posted its run from the day before Feb '13 to illustrate how it whiffed the greatest nor'easter since '78. I don't care if it's new and improved, I still don't trust it. GGEM is all over like the NAM.

[TalcottWx]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:18 AM, Diggiebot said:

Sister stations he is with both 

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I get the feeling NBC is heading toward ceasing NECN 

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 1/27/2022 at 2:20 AM, weatherwiz said:

the differences between the handling of the southern stream vs 18z is insane. definitely giving more credence that the 18z was messed up

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The whole model can be messed up at times.  It should figure this out by 12z Friday