Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[JoeSnowBOS]

“IF” GFS is correct and other guidance that is east, the EURO should turn its badge in and walk out.  This model has been a complete failure - and the main reason for all this hysteria and causing complete chaos.  

[kdxken]

17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I’d feel good in E Ma still.
 

For central areas it’s pucker time…

For western areas you just gave up the go ahead TD with 13 seconds left. Better hope Mahomes shows up at 00z. 

Not looking good for shutesbury.

[78Blizzard]

14 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

It's gotten so much worse than ever before

Other forum peeps looking in must wonder about us.  

[Baroclinic Zone]

2 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

You should tell them you don't even want the snow and "they can have it" to really get the fights going.

You're new here.  Everyone already knows where I stand when it comes to snow.  I've learned to tune out/ignore the 6hr mood swings and stick to the analysis, which I prefer when it comes to coastals.

 

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Glad we level headed and don't get emotional about it.

You have to stay that way, Nobody has any control over it, Let it play out, Some have been hoping for an event for just a few inches, A lot of time left here and we don't need drastic changes for a better outcome, Patience.

[weathafella]

Just did some shopping.  Sitting in my car leaning to let the short 18z euro get to the key hours.   Go home vs euro.  Wonder what wins?

[TalcottWx]

I just want plowable. 

In other news, I just ate an entire bag of edibles. 

[TalcottWx]

I'm gonna roll on the floor laughing if the 18z euro is a bomb. 

[Johnno]

12 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said:

I couldn’t watch it. I scolded my wife.

“No! turn it off, I can’t hear it” Weenie ratings support FTL.

Haha same here, turned on the office

[codfishsnowman]

4 minutes ago, JoeSnowBOS said:

“IF” GFS is correct and other guidance that is east, the EURO should turn its badge in and walk out.  This model has been a complete failure - and the main reason for all this hysteria and causing complete chaos.  

Agreed... Excellent post

[moneypitmike]

 

23 minutes ago, weathafella said:

And we’ve got a ton of frustration ahead before spring 

If this one shits the bed, I'll be ready for spring.  The winter of our hearts' discontent.

10 minutes ago, cut said:

It’s like Anderson Cooper debating Sean Hannity about 1/6 in here. Sheesh.

That was last night.

[weathafella]

Just now, codfishsnowman said:

Agreed... Excellent post

Maybe we should wait till Sunday?

[JC-CT]

12 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Glad we level headed and don't get emotional about it.

"I'm just glad I'm relaxed and calm and in the best location on the board for a guaranteed big event."

[DFRI]

23 minutes ago, WxFreak11 said:

RI met just now mentioned the east trends and stated if they continue even Ri would be taken out of the heavy snow accumulations. We’ll still have snow but not nearly what was anticipated earlier. This weather hobby is all too self punishing. 

Which met was that (I missed the weather forecast on tv) 

[WxFreak11]

Just now, DFRI said:

Which met was that (I missed the weather forecast on tv) 

Tony Petrarca

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Good guy 

[JoeSnowBOS]

3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Maybe we should wait till Sunday?

I said “IF”

[EastonSN+]

Is an inland runner off the table?

[ORH_wxman]

18z euro actually looks like it might be more amped through 36h. Lol. We’ll see what happens here in the next few frames. 

[Torch Tiger]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

"I'm just glad I'm relaxed and calm and in the best location on the board for a guaranteed big event."

We've seen some pretty bizarre exhaust zones before...

[PhineasC]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

"I'm just glad I'm relaxed and calm and in the best location on the board for a guaranteed big event."

He doesn't even want the snow. Says it here constantly.

[Baroclinic Zone]

6 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

I just want plowable. 

In other news, I just ate an entire bag of edibles. 

We plow when we want.

[brooklynwx99]

ECMWF looks better here. S disturbance not as held back and the NS is a touch stronger

[dryslot]

I see very little differences so far on the 18z Euro from 12z @hr54

[JC-CT]

Just now, dryslot said:

I see no differences so far on the 18z Euro from 12z @hr54

Me neither, just very small noise

[CT Valley Dryslot]

21 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Time to retire the NAM.

The plan really is for NCEP to retire it and replace it with an FV3-based hi-res version of the GFS.

[Brian5671]

even if the euro is good-need to see something else agree with it-for now it's an western outlier

[PhineasC]

9 minutes ago, dryslot said:

You have to stay that way, Nobody has any control over it, Let it play out, Some have been hoping for an event for just a few inches, A lot of time left here and we don't need drastic changes for a better outcome, Patience.

6-10

Although 18z made that a stretch too. That kind of event could still come back, for you more easily than here.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

"I'm just glad I'm relaxed and calm and in the best location on the board for a guaranteed big event."

Lol yea and also, his words, not mine: “I can’t even remember how many 20+ events I have had the last 10yrs, too many to list.”

[Baroclinic Zone]

4 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

"I'm just glad I'm relaxed and calm and in the best location on the board for a guaranteed big event."

, No guarantee yet at all.  Highest probability, sure.  But I don't care if it it happens or not.