Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[JC-CT]

  On 1/25/2022 at 6:20 PM, weatherwiz said:

Don't really like where the 700 low is developing and closing off. 

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you don't want to be just nw of it?

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/25/2022 at 6:21 PM, JC-CT said:

yeah, but it really does have a lot going for it that helps counterbalance that

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Its a big storm, but people have to keep perspective.

 

[Greg]

  On 1/25/2022 at 6:21 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

No. The people mentioning 1978 are clueless.

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I violently agree.

[CoastalWx]

Awfully close to tainting Taunton. And he tried to bun me. Tsk tsk.

[IowaStorm05]

The details are still sketchy at 4 days out but wow the consensus. I pulled up just a few maps and it was all I needed to see. I couldn’t unsee it. The orange. The blinding orange.

[dryslot]

  On 1/25/2022 at 6:21 PM, JC-CT said:

yeah, but it really does have a lot going for it that helps counterbalance that

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Lot of upside.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/25/2022 at 6:20 PM, weatherwiz said:

Don't really like where the 700 low is developing and closing off. 

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Me neither. I was focusing on H5 and H7 but the surface is still pretty good. Big inflow maybe?

[CoastalWx]

Definitely not in the 950 category, but beast storm.

[weatherwiz]

Although I wonder if this is a situation where the initial bad (which will be the strongest) actually materializes much farther NW than what is being shown and then as the storm matures and the centers tighten, the band then collapse and traverses over much of the region then finally sitting and rotting (probably eastern sections) and during this transition a second more weaker band materializes like 75-miles or whatever west of the main band. 

[JC-CT]

  On 1/25/2022 at 6:22 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Its a big storm, but people have to keep perspective.

 

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well that's what I'm saying, people need to be realistic so they can be fully prepared for their inevitable disappointment

[ROOSTA]

Not too often does a storm like this one I think is going to occur. Maximizing every component, re: track, strength, barometric pressure, VV's off the scale, coverage, on and on. Think about it. Sure, they happen from time to time, tracked and forgotten always looking for the next. One analysis for that wrench that could possibly screw the IMBY.
Well, this one could be a contender for Top Five of all-time.   

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/25/2022 at 6:22 PM, CoastalWx said:

Awfully close to tainting Taunton. And he tried to bun me. Tsk tsk.

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Looks fine. And if I taint I taint, I just don’t think that’s the favored solution 

[ineedsnow]

thats a crushing

[dendrite]

Nice pummeling in S NH

[40/70 Benchmark]

That run looks better than 00z, but I would ease off of 1978...needs to close later.

[TalcottWx]

  On 1/25/2022 at 5:51 PM, RobertSul said:

 

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Is she single? 

[Zeus]

[weatherwiz]

  On 1/25/2022 at 6:22 PM, JC-CT said:

you don't want to be just nw of it?

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I think it depends. When the H7 low is more tightly closed off and consolidated I think this usually results in the deformation fairly close to the center...like 50-75 miles NW but when it's more elongated in nature the best deformation is significantly farther northwest (like 75-100 miles). 

  On 1/25/2022 at 6:23 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Me neither. I was focusing on H5 and H7 but the surface is still pretty good. Big inflow maybe?

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Inflow should be phenomenal. 

[powderfreak]

Deform all the way back here.  Not bad.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

All in all, not too bad between the gfs and euro given the lead time 

[EastonSN+]

  On 1/25/2022 at 6:19 PM, CoastalWx said:

Yeah DE jack lol.

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Ocean City Maryland is having their all time winter season.

[JC-CT]

  On 1/25/2022 at 6:25 PM, weatherwiz said:

I think it depends. When the H7 low is more tightly closed off and consolidated I think this usually results in the deformation fairly close to the center...like 50-75 miles NW but when it's more elongated in nature the best deformation is significantly farther northwest (like 75-100 miles). 

Inflow should be phenomenal. 

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thanks

[powderfreak]

Beaches for the win though.

[JC-CT]

fwiw, I still expect the euro and gfs to meet somewhere in the middle.

[TalcottWx]

  On 1/25/2022 at 6:12 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Officer Anthony posts here before he does in his own forum lol

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An officer and a gentleman 

[Ericjcrash]

  On 1/25/2022 at 6:26 PM, EastonSN+ said:

Ocean City Maryland is having their all time winter season.

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Damn was just going to suggest an OCMD road trip.

[CT Rain]

Man the Euro is beautiful for me and Kevin. We take. 

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/25/2022 at 6:24 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That run looks better than 00z, but I would ease of 1978...needs to close later.

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I think we meant more where the stall happens. 

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/25/2022 at 6:24 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That run looks better than 00z, but I would ease off of 1978...needs to close later.

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Just one more bump east like this run compared to 00z and we're in jackpot zone. Still a great solution as is.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Looks like the CF is off of the table...I'm going need the deformation to slide east to get out of that RELATIVE screw zone.