Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[JC-CT]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:34 PM, CT Valley Dryslot said:

It dryslots Mount Tolland. We toss.

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#newclimo

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:35 PM, SnowlieSnowstormson said:

06z euro update??

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Only goes out to 90 hours 

[JC-CT]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:38 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Only goes out to 90 hours 

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Far enough out to tell the difference though. Still refusing to hang the energy back like the american guidance.

[JC-CT]

The 6z nam is insane with that. Like, at risk of completely cutting it off...not sure exactly how that would play out, but probably not great.

[EastonSN+]

  On 1/25/2022 at 7:21 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Great run for the area as a whole

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This is the solution I want, all of NE to score big. Love to see big totals west of us to creat a buffer. 

[CT Valley Dryslot]

There's still a huge westerly spread on the GEFS:

 

Another concern may be the position of the HP over eastern Canada. GFS has been all over the map with that.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:40 PM, JC-CT said:

Far enough out to tell the difference though. Still refusing to hang the energy back like the american guidance.

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Interesting that IT is usually the one who tends to hold energy back. 

[Spanks45]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:40 PM, JC-CT said:

Far enough out to tell the difference though. Still refusing to hang the energy back like the american guidance.

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When the "old" EURO did this, it meant it was on to something. Now it tends to just be bullheaded and not give up until the bitter end. Regardless of guidance right now, we probably need to wait another 48 hrs or so until we can see what happens in the SW

[JC-CT]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:47 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Interesting that IT is usually the one who tends to hold energy back. 

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Not on this one. My concern is it is doing its slow cave thing...I think them Europeans purposely programmed continuity into it.

[snowgeek]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:45 PM, JC-CT said:

The 6z nam is insane with that. Like, at risk of completely cutting it off...not sure exactly how that would play out, but probably not great.

Would be a weaker system with less moisture that starts further north and is more Miller B’ish I would think? And then blows up and pounds NS.


.

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

Lines are being drawn. We are in for some Ryder Cup model battles this week.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:48 PM, JC-CT said:

Not on this one. My concern is it is doing it's slow cave thing...I think them Europeans purposely programmed continuity into it.

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That’s my point, could be a red flag. 

[snowgeek]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:46 PM, EastonSN+ said:

This is the solution I want, all of NE to score big. Love to see big totals west of us to creat a buffer. 

I volunteer as buffer / tribute.


.

[JC-CT]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:48 PM, snowgeek said:

Would be a weaker system with less moisture that starts further north and is more Miller B’ish I would think? And then blows up and pounds NS.


.

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I dont think it can get completely cut off from the flow, so I think it would mostly mean wide right

[dryslot]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:40 PM, JC-CT said:

Far enough out to tell the difference though. Still refusing to hang the energy back like the american guidance.

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Euro, Similar to 0z but looked a tic more amped @ 06z

[JC-CT]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:49 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

That’s my point, could be a red flag. 

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I was agreeing with you. Wanna fight?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

JC, what did the real King say overnight?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:50 PM, JC-CT said:

I was agreeing with you. Wanna fight?

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Only if you get more snow than me. 

[JC-CT]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:50 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

JC, what did the real King say overnight?

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The real king only runs to 192 at 12z, according to my official agency source, tropical tidbits

[JC-CT]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:50 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

JC, what did the real King say overnight?

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  On 1/25/2022 at 12:51 PM, JC-CT said:

The real king only runs to 192 at 12z, according to my official agency source, tropical tidbits

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Confirmed for 6z at hour 84, it looks like the euro...not holding energy back like the gfs/nam

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:48 PM, JC-CT said:

Not on this one. My concern is it is doing its slow cave thing...I think them Europeans purposely programmed continuity into it.

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I don’t see anything caving at the moment? Take compromise of the two, and it’s still a great hit. 

[JC-CT]

Phew

[JC-CT]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:53 PM, WinterWolf said:

I don’t see anything caving at the moment? Take compromise of the two, and it’s still a great hit. 

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Not now, based on previous instances this year

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:53 PM, JC-CT said:

 

Confirmed for 6z at hour 84, it looks like the euro...not holding energy back like the gfs/nam

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Why should the energy be held back anyway? Does holding the energy back make sense? 

[JC-CT]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:54 PM, WinterWolf said:

Why should the energy be held back anyway? Does holding the energy back make sense? 

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Uhhhh...let me do the calculations, give me a sec

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:54 PM, JC-CT said:

Not now, based on previous instances this year

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Ok. 

[JC-CT]

NAM has been awful at h5 this month, so I guess I'm not too worried about it in particular

(Yes it's always bad, but I mean really bad)

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:53 PM, JC-CT said:

 

Confirmed for 6z at hour 84, it looks like the euro...not holding energy back like the gfs/nam

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Just checked…0z King Jong-un on weathermodels was a crusher, again. 

[WinterWolf]

  On 1/25/2022 at 12:55 PM, JC-CT said:

Uhhhh...let me do the calculations, give me a sec

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I’m being serious. Does that idea make sense…meteorologically? Why should energy be held back? When the Euro used to do that, we knew it was most likely wrong about that bias. That’s my point. 

[ice1972]

Boxing Day? Did some asshat fuking say that? Mapping quickest route to Founders Bridge…..