Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[qg_omega]

We whiff 

[dryslot]

Has 2 lows this run.

[Torch Tiger]

she gone

[weathafella]

Eastern goalpost now.

[78Blizzard]

Chasing the convection east.

[dendrite]

Mostly northern stream this run. Still a big hit ENE. 

Back dat azz up.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, dryslot said:

Has 2 lows this run.

Oh, god....not that shit again.

[JC-CT]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Oh, god....not that shit again.

pretty brutal here but that's the kind of detail i'm not sweating yet. certainly not impossible though

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Looks like the 12z UK. 

[dryslot]

Just now, dendrite said:

Mostly northern stream this run. Still a big hit ENE. 

Back dat azz up.

Still a crush here even with that look.

[UnitedWx]

13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I'm leaning a later phase. Learned my lesson over the years to not buy it at face value especially in a fast flow. 

However the flow isn't THAT fast in this setup. John mentioned that yesterday 

[78Blizzard]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Oh, god....not that shit again.

This seems to be a problem with the GFS lately.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Eastern Maine should get whalloped

[CT Valley Dryslot]

It's consolidating the vort at the base of the trough. Typical GFS.

[CT Rain]

1-3 flakes for Kevin on the GFS?

[dryslot]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Looks like the 12z UK. 

Left hook around the cape.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, JC-CT said:

pretty brutal here but that's the kind of detail i'm not sweating yet. certainly not impossible though

Yea. It's just an ens member at this stage and if we look at those, we had whiffs to huggers. All options remain. 

[JC-CT]

Just now, dryslot said:

Left hook around the cape.

yeah late bloomer

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, CT Rain said:

1-3 flakes for Kevin on the GFS?

Op runs ?

[HoarfrostHubb]

Still gives Dryslut 18" or so

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

1-3 flakes for Kevin on the GFS?

how many flakes for weha

[weathafella]

Later capture so I t hooks north in GOM

[WeatherHappens]

has the meltdown begun over one model run lol

[qg_omega]

UKMET leading the way, Pope agrees

[40/70 Benchmark]

Looks worse than UK to me.

[dendrite]

Just another possibility at this time range, but it goes to show you how a few subtle nuances in the flow can really affect things exponentially out in time. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, WeatherHappens said:

has the meltdown begun over one model run lol

Nice deflection. How are you feeling?

[dryslot]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Still gives Dryslut 18" or so

A 10:1 38" just off the coast lol on the clowns.

[Damage In Tolland]

Dollars to weenies GEFS shift west again 

[WeatherHappens]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Nice deflection. How are you feeling?

fine...yourself?