Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[JC-CT]

Maybe just me, but I'd prefer the surface low to not track over manchester NH

[SouthCoastMA]

  On 1/24/2022 at 8:58 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah.. it was dicey out east for sure. Razor thin margins… it’s not like it’s a furnace or anything, but you get the idea

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the track is an abomination for ESNE. best to ignore the maps

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:01 PM, JC-CT said:

One of these two things are off

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I dunno. I don't want to micro analyze the cmc and give Dryslot a stroke...but it's a crushjob for most away from se coast. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:04 PM, SouthCoastMA said:

the track is an abomination for ESNE. best to ignore the maps

 

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Yeah… I figured the clown maps were honing in on a hellacious coastal front…that would be way worse than what they are showing.

 

thankfully, only guidance showing that 

[moneypitmike]

I think Pit2 might get blown into the Kennebec per the EC.

[JC-CT]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:04 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I dunno. I don't want to micro analyze the cmc and give Dryslot a stroke...but it's a crushjob for most away from se coast. 

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except the clown map makes zero sense

[JC-CT]

I definitely understand why runnaway would like it though lol

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:05 PM, JC-CT said:

except the clown map makes zero sense

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925 0C never gets west of PVD-BOS though. Whatever, it will be a whiff next run probably. 

[NorEastermass128]

We toss our Canadian friends out with the day’s garbage. 

[George001]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:01 PM, JC-CT said:

One of these two things are off

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Looks like at least this frame the Boston area is north of the low. It does eventually come up and goes right over the Worcester area, but on tropical tidbits it has the 850mb line offshore. So I would think it’s still heavy snow even areas east of the low.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:06 PM, JC-CT said:

I definitely understand why runnaway would like it though lol

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Not really, it shows a later capture and sends the deform North of here. 

I'm not buying any solution, just marinating in my own weeniesm... until we get inside 72hrs. 

[dryslot]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:01 PM, JC-CT said:

One of these two things are off

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Who cares.

[WeatherHappens]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:01 PM, PhineasC said:

LOL yeah BOS seems kinda suspect on that map.  

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BOS is always suspect

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Told ya...he coming with wolf like fangs when the cmc is discussed. 

[78Blizzard]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:01 PM, JC-CT said:

One of these two things are off

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What's off is CMC's surface temps - always too high compared to Euro and Uk.

[weathafella]

2 pages of micromanaging cmc.

[78Blizzard]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:07 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

925 0C never gets west of PVD-BOS though. Whatever, it will be a whiff next run probably. 

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925 0C never gets west of HYA on Euro.

[weathafella]

My only issue is can my snowblower handle this or do I need to do every 8-10 inches.  First world problems…..or hire the guy my neighbor uses…

[George001]

 

 

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:10 PM, 78Blizzard said:

What's off is CMC's surface temps - always too high compared to Euro and Uk.

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I completely agree, the Canadian is a great model but it isn’t the best for surface temps. Even with the low coming up over Worcester, due to the high to the north and the strength of the low, I would think the dynamical cooling would offset the less than idea track, allowing it to snow even places that are east of the low.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/24/2022 at 7:19 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Yeah not sure why he typed yucky 

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Typo. I meant tucky

[dryslot]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:05 PM, moneypitmike said:

I think Pit2 might get blown into the Kennebec per the EC.

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Good chance of that.

[CT Valley Dryslot]

FWIW the last frame of the 18z NAM looks like it would be more amped than the 12z GFS 

[weathafella]

And keep in mind narcan is not typically generous in snow maps.  That cmc would probably have 20 inches on the front end.  3/14/93 gave BOS a foot with the storm going west of the metro area. 

[JC-CT]

okay okay okay, whatever, forget about the cmc.

let's discuss the icon

[HIPPYVALLEY]

I can’t wait until we get in range of the NAM clowns. 

[78Blizzard]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:13 PM, weathafella said:

My only issue is can my snowblower handle this or do I need to do every 8-10 inches.  First world problems…..or hire the guy my neighbor uses…

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My snowblower in 2015 took one shot each time.  Just took a little longer.

[JC-CT]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:10 PM, 78Blizzard said:

What's off is CMC's surface temps - always too high compared to Euro and Uk.

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okay, well if we get to see a run of either of those models tracking the surface low 50 miles inland, we will find out what surface temps they show

[PhineasC]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:08 PM, dryslot said:

Who cares.

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You are so mean! The cmc is doing its best. 

[JC-CT]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:18 PM, klw said:

It should just read "Blizzardcane 2022!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!"

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this is why we leave the titles to tip

[dryslot]

  On 1/24/2022 at 9:13 PM, weathafella said:

My only issue is can my snowblower handle this or do I need to do every 8-10 inches.  First world problems…..or hire the guy my neighbor uses…

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My concerns is my old girl too, 33 yrs old and every time i start it i have to wonder if its the last.