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Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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ORH_wxman
ORH_wxman

I’m deleting all that crap. Anyone make a political references in the wx thread again, I’ll just can them for 5 days. We are the most lenient subforum on here….but everyone should know better than to

bristolri_wx
bristolri_wx

My apologies if this is off topic… As we hit 380 pages on this thread, and we wait for the 18z Euro, I just want to express my gratitude to everyone who participates in these threads. The communi

George001
George001

Ok I’ve seen enough to make my preliminary forecast. Now that the Navy is on board, I am very confident that this low isn’t going to disappear. The question is not going to be out to sea or benchmark

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Go Kart Mozart

Go Kart Mozart

Posted
Posted
  On 1/24/2022 at 11:26 AM, moneypitmike said:

now we're talking.

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_23.png

gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_24.png

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The "uncertainty spread" is to the west of the mean.  So for the WOTR-ites, let's have Euro strength with GFS track....while avoiding a Boxing Day repeat.  Even if the track is further east, I think we could be OK WOTR.  Canadian depicts a nice weenie band well left of center.

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
Posted
  On 1/24/2022 at 12:36 PM, CoastalWx said:

We mentioned that yesterday. But ironically your longitude may help. There isn’t anything stopping this from coming due north if this does try to phase.  We have many runs left to iron it out.

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White Snake winter. Fully expect this to run up Hudson by the time we’re to Wednesday runs. 

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dryslot

dryslot

Posted
Posted
  On 1/24/2022 at 12:36 PM, CoastalWx said:

We mentioned that yesterday. But ironically your longitude may help. There isn’t anything stopping this from coming due north if this does try to phase.  We have many runs left to iron it out.

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That's why i wasn't worried about this one slipping away up here, And same, Longitude is going to help in this.

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JC-CT

JC-CT

Posted
Posted
  On 1/24/2022 at 12:30 PM, Heisy said:

@psuhoffmanmentioned it last night. Storm analog could be Feb3-4 1995. PNA driven storm. Storm that probably started my love of snow. Woke up as a scared 9 year old to thundersnow at around 5 or 6 am in Philly. Snow map looks very similar to 6z gfs output 

500mb-18Z-04Feb95.gif

NJSnow-04Feb95.png

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I have a hard time believing those are complete totals sometime. That donut around Hartford seems sus.

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SnoSki14

SnoSki14

Posted
Posted
  On 1/24/2022 at 12:36 PM, CoastalWx said:

We mentioned that yesterday. But ironically your longitude may help. There isn’t anything stopping this from coming due north if this does try to phase.  We have many runs left to iron it out.

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Is this gonna be like that Feb 2010 storm that shafted eastern SNE while areas west got slammed.

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