Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[Heisy]

This is top 5 weenie run of all time

[NotSureWeather]

Not getting excited until Wednesday. Definitely have some PTSD from storms failing to meet the hype.

[wxsniss]

1-2 feet roughly ORH east, Cape Cod 20-30" 

Significantly builds confidence, lots of cross-guidance op and ens support

It was a big shift at H5 (see my earlier post at hr 126, phasing over TN/KY) with drastic downstream impact:

 

 

[George001]

THE EURO IS A MONSTER BLIZZARD!!! LOW DEEPENS TO THE 940S!

[tim123]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:36 AM, Heisy said:

This is top 5 weenie run of all time

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Take that and move it west 300 miles.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:33 AM, weathafella said:

1.5 qpf inside 495 imby

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20-30...lollis to 3 feet that run 

[Henry's Weather]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:37 AM, NotSureWeather said:

Not getting excited until Wednesday. Definitely have some PTSD from storms failing to meet the hype.

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It's tough to do, but it's def the right approach. March 2017 was like that for me, want to avoid that feeling

[Henry's Weather]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:39 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

20-30...lollis to 3 feet that run 

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New pfp?

[78Blizzard]

George may get his 940's mb yet.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:37 AM, wxsniss said:

1-2 feet roughly ORH east, Cape Cod 20-30" 

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Deform would be west of cape

[78Blizzard]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:38 AM, tim123 said:

Take that and move it west 300 miles.

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It already moved west 300 miles from 12z. 

[Sn0waddict]

Man I can’t recall the last time multiple models showed a sub 960 low like this within 130 hours. The potential with this the most I can recall in quite a while.

[wxsniss]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:40 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Deform would be west of cape

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Yep, 30 spots are in reach eastern MA

[tim123]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:41 AM, 78Blizzard said:

It already moved west 300 miles from 12z. 

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I bet this develops sooner and rides up into eastern pa. Then into central New england

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:42 AM, wxsniss said:

Yep, 30 spots are in reach eastern MA

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That run looks like Juno

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:39 AM, Henry's Weather said:

New pfp?

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pfp?

[78Blizzard]

Bombogenesis takes on a whole new meaning with this one.  55mb drop in 24 hrs.

[Henry's Weather]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:45 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

pfp?

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profile pic

[Henry's Weather]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:45 AM, 78Blizzard said:

Bombogenesis takes on a whole new meaning with this one.  55mb drop in 24 hrs.

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h-bombogenesis

[wxsniss]

As theorized earlier today... that was literally a jump of 200-300 miles west as a result of a better N-S stream interaction

Great to see this on the Euro OP

[ineedsnow]

I like where it is now. 100 miles west is easy to do at this point

[weathafella]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:37 AM, wxsniss said:

1-2 feet roughly ORH east, Cape Cod 20-30" 

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In reality ORH would probably get 30 given how these always go.   Going to sleep with a good feeling on this.

[wxsniss]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:44 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That run looks like Juno

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Wish we could lock it in! But confidence significantly increased for a big hit.

[Henry's Weather]

Yeah, probably worth a weenie realignment after that dopamine jolt: regardless of potential, we are 5 days out. A week ago, euro had us dusted by a MECS today.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:51 AM, ineedsnow said:

I like where it is now. 100 miles west is easy to do at this point

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You probably get deformation this run,  dude...this storm is huge

[WxWatcher007]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:47 AM, Henry's Weather said:

h-bombogenesis

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Yep. Thermonuclear like that January 2018 monster. It’s a beaut…as currently modeled…

[WxWatcher007]

  On 1/24/2022 at 6:56 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You probably get deformation this run,  dude...this storm is huge

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A region wide burial that claws the season back toward respectability.

[WxWatcher007]

00z EPS for 18z Saturday 

 

Zoomed in

[Henry's Weather]

  On 1/24/2022 at 7:10 AM, WxWatcher007 said:

00z EPS for 18z Saturday 

 

Zoomed in

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Ludicrous

[Henry's Weather]

It's completely locked in for major cyclogenesis on EC. I'm not sure if I could fit onto 2 hands the number of sub 960 mb lows within 150 miles of the BM. Goodnight.