Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:29 PM, eduggs said:

Those few tucked EPS members are pretty compact with the precip. field until the SLP is near the Cape. I'm not sure if places west of the NY border - NYC, POU, ALB - see warnings snows on any of those.

Even the CMC was pretty limited on the western quadrant. If the low starts offshore, there is no initial overrunning until you get pretty far east or north.

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Fine with me.

[ORH_wxman]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:30 PM, CoastalWx said:

Yeah could care less about dendrites lol. 

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That’s why I rank 2015 well below the other monsters. Yeah, I got 34”+ on winter hill, but so much fluff factor inside that band, lol…don’t get me wrong, amazing storm and I’d love to experience it again, but give me Dec 92, Apr 97 or even the back to back Dec 96 storms. Even Feb 2013…ASOS grossly underestimated that QPF…prob had around 3” melted. Just massive amounts of QPF dumped in the form of man snow. 

[PhineasC]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:38 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Fine with me.

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I find it very hard to care about places in NY while posting here in the New England subforum. 

[mreaves]

  On 1/23/2022 at 8:43 PM, mahk_webstah said:

A very personal question here but, my flight in from London arrives at 1 PM Saturday. What do you think? There are no flights available for me to get in on Friday evening. Trust me I’ve already looked at that fully.  In the relevance and context of this thread, I guess what I’m really asking is is the tendency gonna be to slow down or speed up do you think in this sort of set up?

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I’ll tell you what, I’ll take your place in London. I have no idea what you do and am most likely not qualified but my name is Mark and I love London. I think I can fake it enough so you can be here if there is a storm. 

[eduggs]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:38 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Fine with me.

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Obviously. I was just pointing out that there might not be a lot of wiggle room outside of EMA in case this doesn't end up super tucked.

[MJO812]

Icon is significantly better

[eduggs]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:39 PM, PhineasC said:

I find it very hard to care about places in NY while posting here in the New England subforum. 

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You find it hard to care about anyone outside of your backyard. We all know that by now. NY also borders three NE States. So the fortunes of people in eastern NY are similar to people in western NE.

[mreaves]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:14 PM, WxWatcher007 said:

Who cares about dendrites when you have category two winds sculpting 20’ drifts 

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With his wind blown snow fetish, Ginx would think he’d died and gone to heaven. 

[dryslot]

Lines being drawn, Nerves being struck, Must be a threat on the horizon.

[WxWatcher007]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:39 PM, ORH_wxman said:

That’s why I rank 2015 well below the other monsters. Yeah, I got 34”+ on winter hill, but so much fluff factor inside that band, lol…don’t get me wrong, amazing storm and I’d love to experience it again, but give me Dec 92, Apr 97 or even the back to back Dec 96 storms. Even Feb 2013…ASOS grossly underestimated that QPF…prob had around 3” melted. Just massive amounts of QPF dumped in the form of man snow. 

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Idk man…there’s something nice about the fluff. Love the way my feet slide effortlessly through powder. Paste is great, but I may prefer powder. 

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:43 PM, mreaves said:

With his wind blown snow fetish, Ginx would think he’d died and gone to heaven. 

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Give me zero visibility. Nothing like it. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:39 PM, ORH_wxman said:

That’s why I rank 2015 well below the other monsters. Yeah, I got 34”+ on winter hill, but so much fluff factor inside that band, lol…don’t get me wrong, amazing storm and I’d love to experience it again, but give me Dec 92, Apr 97 or even the back to back Dec 96 storms. Even Feb 2013…ASOS grossly underestimated that QPF…prob had around 3” melted. Just massive amounts of QPF dumped in the form of man snow. 

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It’s rare to get a good fluff job and typically the wind packs it down, but I enjoy a good tempest. Definitely agree.

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:39 PM, PhineasC said:

I find it very hard to care about places in NY while posting here in the New England subforum. 

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Especially after what just happened on MLK day to keep me at 10".

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:40 PM, eduggs said:

Obviously. I was just pointing out that there might not be a lot of wiggle room outside of EMA in case this doesn't end up super tucked.

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Fine with me lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:42 PM, MJO812 said:

Icon is significantly better

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Phew....

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:52 PM, CoastalWx said:

It’s rare to get a good fluff job and typically the wind packs it down, but I enjoy a good tempest. Definitely agree.

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Nothing worse than a fluffy powder bomb. Would rather 3-6” of wet 

[Hoth]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:40 PM, mreaves said:

I’ll tell you what, I’ll take your place in London. I have no idea what you do and am most likely not qualified but my name is Mark and I love London. I think I can fake it enough so you can be here if there is a storm. 

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I sense a rom-com in the making!

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:45 PM, dryslot said:

Lines being drawn, Nerves being struck, Must be a threat on the horizon.

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Selfish weenies

[Baroclinic Zone]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:52 PM, CoastalWx said:

It’s rare to get a good fluff job and typically the wind packs it down, but I enjoy a good tempest. Definitely agree.

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The big ones around here are never fluff jobs.  10:1 12:1 type storms and the winds compact it.

[EastonSN+]

Shhhhhh

GFS is running

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:42 PM, eduggs said:

You find it hard to care about anyone outside of your backyard. We all know that by now. NY also borders three NE States. So the fortunes of people in eastern NY are similar to people in western NE.

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I like it when Albany gets snow from a coastal.

[JC-CT]

I'm naming this storm Jason Tatum

[moneypitmike]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:29 PM, eduggs said:

Those few tucked EPS members are pretty compact with the precip. field until the SLP is near the Cape. I'm not sure if places west of the NY border - NYC, POU, ALB - see warnings snows on any of those.

Even the CMC was pretty limited on the western quadrant. If the low starts offshore, there is no initial overrunning until you get pretty far east or north.

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Who cares?

[MJO812]

  On 1/23/2022 at 10:04 PM, EastonSN+ said:

Shhhhhh

GFS is running

 

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Gfs doesn't look good at 114 hours

Holding back more energy

[ROOSTA]

Looking mighty fine, mighty fine. Adrenaline flowing already, by far the greatest threat this season for the starved. And yet a 2footer will not satisfy the masses.
What a hoot it would be to see a 4 seed play a 6 seed in the SB. 

[ORH_wxman]

18z GFs isn’t gonna get it done

[DavisStraight]

  On 1/23/2022 at 9:42 PM, eduggs said:

You find it hard to care about anyone outside of your backyard. We all know that by now. NY also borders three NE States. So the fortunes of people in eastern NY are similar to people in western NE.

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Who cares about western New England 

[MJO812]

  On 1/23/2022 at 10:15 PM, ORH_wxman said:

18z GFs isn’t gonna get it done

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Looks like the Euro 

[JC-CT]

  On 1/23/2022 at 10:10 PM, MJO812 said:

Gfs doesn't look good at 114 hours

Holding back more energy

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yeah

[EastonSN+]

  On 1/23/2022 at 10:15 PM, DavisStraight said:

Who cares about western New England 

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I care.

[PhineasC]

Was really hoping the CMC would get some backup. Impossible to trust it all alone.