NW_of_GYX Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 9 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: We never got the grinch storm or NYE cutter like we usually do, but to get it in Feb totally blows and is unexpected. when was the last time we got a Feb cutter? I can’t remember. Even those big Feb torches of 2017 and 2018 occurred without a cutter. I was saying a few weeks ago how hard it is to go full blown cutter in Feb but here we go…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I’m headed to N Conway on Friday for a few days. Hope the snow groomers are working overtime next weekend. The skiing will be OK but the rest of the valley will be pretty melted. That place torches with the best of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Just now, NW_of_GYX said: The skiing will be OK but the rest of the valley will be pretty melted. That place torches with the best of them. Yeah, probably ski Bretton Woods or at least my family and friends will. (I’m being cautious of my knee) I was hoping to do some cross country skiing but I’m all set with bulletproof trails. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 14, 2022 Author Share Posted February 14, 2022 3 hours ago, MJO812 said: No reason to close the shades Winter is going to come roaring back next December..maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 14, 2022 Author Share Posted February 14, 2022 Oh it cuts like a knife.....but it feels so right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Love love love these rare Feb cutters that break the cold monotony. I’ll get to see my driveway again. I hope we don't have to do this all over again in late March/early April. What would I do with all the seedlings I'll be starting soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I hope we don't have to do this all over again in late March/early April. What would I do with all the seedlings I'll be starting soon? You're starting seedlings outside??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 39 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: We never got the grinch storm or NYE cutter like we usually do, but to get it in Feb totally blows and is unexpected. when was the last time we got a Feb cutter? Yep this is literally the worst possible timing too going right into Feb vacation week....just in time to ruin all the ski/snow mobile trails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 15 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Oh it cuts like a knife.....but it feels so right what are the dews going to be be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Just get the damn rain out before first lift on Friday at Okemo! Signed....Philly forum member heading up Thursday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Lava Rock said: what are the dews going to be be? Pretty much the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 32 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Oh it cuts like a knife.....but it feels so right This look is 60's deep into New england pretty easily. Teleconnections; everything. Thursday looks even better than Friday. Locally 70 in spots. Bank on it. Only question is whether records will fall... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 I mean it's still winter. We just happened upon a shit show pattern, one that probably symbolically fits the shit show winter it is nested within. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 I also don't believe the fropa Friday will translate to colder than normal temps. Pacific looks torchy. I think the weekend temps trend higher vs current guidance. More like early spring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 When these happen .. all you can do is root for full mixing and no inversion for huge gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Yeah I'll sell 65-70 this week. Although the GFS stalls the fropa a bit Fri morning so maybe SE MA can get some early 60s before the CAA offsets it. Thu looks like a lot of clouds and a limit to the mixing (inversion below 850) and there will still be pack in most spots. It's gradual WAA all day and eventually we pop that dew sector at the sfc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Yeah I'll sell 65-70 this week. Although the GFS stalls the fropa a bit Fri morning so maybe SE MA can get some early 60s before the CAA offsets it. Thu looks like a lot of clouds and a limit to the mixing (inversion below 850) and there will still be pack in most spots. It's gradual WAA all day and eventually we pop that dew sector at the sfc. That’s when all hell will break loose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah I'll sell 65-70 this week. Although the GFS stalls the fropa a bit Fri morning so maybe SE MA can get some early 60s before the CAA offsets it. Thu looks like a lot of clouds and a limit to the mixing (inversion below 850) and there will still be pack in most spots. It's gradual WAA all day and eventually we pop that dew sector at the sfc. We also don't get 65-70F in February on due south winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 hour ago, Lava Rock said: We never got the grinch storm or NYE cutter like we usually do, but to get it in Feb totally blows and is unexpected. when was the last time we got a Feb cutter? I had cold rain Christmas Day...after snow on Christmas eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We also don't get 65-70F in February on due south winds. Outdoor mass and tanning the nape while handing out the Eucharist? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: next December..maybe I know. Not that we can't get a surprise snowstorm in March, but I'm not seeing anything in the pattern that shows us getting back into a wintry pattern again. Just not seeing it. A transient pattern is all I see. Maybe we'll get a little more snow here and there, but this winter at least here in Central Connecticut will be just below average, we may just squeak out average. But those to are East, I think they've done very well and good for them. We'll get our turn in the future, no doubt about it. And I'm patient and can wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 14, 2022 Author Share Posted February 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I know. Not that we can't get a surprise snowstorm in March, but I'm not seeing anything in the pattern that shows us getting back into a wintry pattern again. Just not seeing it. A transient pattern is all I see. Maybe we'll get a little more snow here and there, but this winter at least here in Central Connecticut will be just below average, we may just squeak out average. But those to are East, I think they've done very well and good for them. We'll get our turn in the future, no doubt about it. And I'm patient and can wait I'm east and it has been terrible for winter enthusiasts. barely 30" and we avg over 60" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I know. Not that we can't get a surprise snowstorm in March, but I'm not seeing anything in the pattern that shows us getting back into a wintry pattern again. Just not seeing it. A transient pattern is all I see. Maybe we'll get a little more snow here and there, but this winter at least here in Central Connecticut will be just below average, we may just squeak out average. But those to are East, I think they've done very well and good for them. We'll get our turn in the future, no doubt about it. And I'm patient and can wait Currently, those of us who live in central and western CT are way below average at the moment. We need about 20+” to reach average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 I am a hard sell on wind damage. Can do without trees snapping and lines breaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Just now, HinghamBoss said: I am a hard sell on wind damage. Can do without trees snapping and lines breaking. There won’t be any damage…a few twigs will blow down, thats about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 This feels like one of those winters with another couple of tricks up its sleeve. We are overdue for a big March storm with a foot of heavy wet paste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We also don't get 65-70F in February on due south winds. This is SW/SSW. It's the classic orographic assist up the eastern Apps right up into York ME. @dendrite isn't in as good a spot for this. Snowpack, elevation, longitude, will cap potential in his back yard. Long 60's for the NH Seacoast away from the immediate shore. If I had to pick - Nashua may be good for 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Even the Ukie is trending toward a 1045 + Bermuda High. Robust Tropical connection. Torch it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 The airmass though is warming on Thursday. I'd rather it show peak 925-850 temps then and not overnight Thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The airmass though is warming on Thursday. I'd rather it show peak 925-850 temps then and not overnight Thursday night. Timing is biggest issue right now. I believe it will speed up a bit, flow is very progessive. But you're right if I had to find one criticism for this potential-- it's timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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