CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 GEFS still want a more wintry look with split flow and overrunning. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GEFS still want a more wintry look with split flow and overrunning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Cheer up everyone the 76ers just traded for Harden......GOOD LUCK Doc... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Nothing like a nice 40° rain shower in February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Been a while since I have seen bubbling CU 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 50F. Definitely more of a spring-like sky as the natural skating rink in my yard turns into a pond. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 9 minutes ago, rimetree said: 50F. Definitely more of a spring-like sky as the natural skating rink in my yard turns into a pond. Skating will resume Sunday afternoon lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 hey ... know what guys ? This 180 hour depiction off the 12z GFS looks remarkably similar to the way the sleet event also looked when it, too, was 7.5 days away... You might recall? Then as we got closer, the GFS tried to argue more snow... but it ended up being a drab rain a 2" sleet fest... Just sayn' ... we may not want to be sold on this thin cutting quite a proficiently as it now looks, because it certainly was negotiable on the last event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 23 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: hey ... know what guys ? This 180 hour depiction off the 12z GFS looks remarkably similar to the way the sleet event also looked when it, too, was a 7.5 days away... You might recall? Then as we got closer, the GFS tried to argue more snow... but it ended up being a drab rain a 2" sleet fest... Just sayn' ... we may not want to be sold on this thin cutting quite a proficiently as it now looks, because it certainly was negotiable on the last event. One after it looks more fruitful, but jeez 10.5 days out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Actually EPS and GEFS aren't far off at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Looks like a summer storm is about to blow. Dark ominous clouds. Very nice. Gold finches are starting to get some summer colors. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 ok that was more interesting than anything that happened last summer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Actually EPS and GEFS aren't far off at 12z. for what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 7 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said: ok that was more interesting than anything that happened last summer what was it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 10 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: for what? Several inches in Weymouth probably. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: what was it? Nice gusty squall. Sleet, rain and a few slushballs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: hey ... know what guys ? This 180 hour depiction off the 12z GFS looks remarkably similar to the way the sleet event also looked when it, too, was 7.5 days away... You might recall? Then as we got closer, the GFS tried to argue more snow... but it ended up being a drab rain a 2" sleet fest... Just sayn' ... we may not want to be sold on this thin cutting quite a proficiently as it now looks, because it certainly was negotiable on the last event. Take the warmer rain and run because the option is probably a colder rain and crud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStick Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 19 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said: Nice gusty squall. Sleet, rain and a few slushballs. Rolling thru Nottingham now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 41 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: for what? In the 11-15 day. Sort of overrunning look. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Nice little rain shower moving through pwm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: In the 11-15 day. Sort of overrunning look. Not perfect but I would take that and run, nothing wrong with a bunch of smaller 6-12 type deals. We have been missing that this year. I would like to see one more big one before winter ends, but it looks like if we get one it’s going to wait until March. This mid month threat just doesn’t want to cooperate. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 This looks like an interesting setup for the 20th. Not great, looks too flat but with a few adjustments maybe we have something. It looks like we are going to torch after this so maybe we were looking at the wrong system for the big pattern changing storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 13 minutes ago, George001 said: This looks like an interesting setup for the 20th. Not great, looks too flat but with a few adjustments maybe we have something. It looks like we are going to torch after this so maybe we were looking at the wrong system for the big pattern changing storm. Meh... that look, at that range, has been all but a permanent fixture on the ens clustered means ever since the hemisphere decoupled from the La Nina model and became a bitter divorce proceeding ...lasting about a month's worth of mid, now into late winter. I mean it could nest an event in there ...but, with other signals now coming into constructive interference with La Nina, it may reconcile differences and have make up sex, giving birth to no more winter. ... Which isn't that far fetched, considering we've sported 80 F in a lot of Feb and Mar going back 7 years of late winter and early springs without those kind of converging signals. Ouch. All I'm saying is take the normal reduction in probability going forward, and slope it a little more badly. Start there, and filter everything through it ..and fortunately for us there won't be any opportunities to use the term blizzard. In fact, right here ... in this moment, I almost hope CC stops that word from every being said again. interesting... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 The correction S has begun.... Compare this to the previous fix...that's about 200 mi mash. The next step will be the leading warm frontal suppression as that arm of high pressure N of the St L seaway starts trending . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The correction S has begun.... Compare this to the previous fix...that's about 200 mi mash. The next step will be the leading warm frontal suppression as that arm of high pressure N of the St L seaway starts trending . It will torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 hint hint ...I think the suppression idea has merit - I'm not merely bullshitting for fun. We'll see if keeps going, but there are (large systemic synoptic circumstances + trend)/2 = reasons to at least keep that option in mind. If not, it would alter the fact that of those circumstances and reasons - we'll see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It will torch. Heh, hopefully in CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Heh, hopefully in CT PLEASE. I I am tired of the cold with lack of snowfall. Bring the WARMTH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 12 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: PLEASE. I I am tired of the cold with lack of snowfall. Bring the WARMTH. 60 Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Weeklies have blocking returning in late March Exactly when we don't want it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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