CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 EPS is an overrunning look. Might be good up north. Hopefully gradient is a little south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Not gonna lie, today was real nice. Looking forward to spring. Long daylight, blue skies, comfy temps… 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Our winter forecast had this very early on. Back in November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Our winter forecast had this very early on. Back in November I hope the models are wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Our winter forecast had this very early on. Back in November If we can avoid last years suck fest I’ll be somewhat happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 8 minutes ago, GCWarrior said: If we can avoid last years suck fest I’ll be somewhat happy. Literally nowhere to go but up for March at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 38 minutes ago, GCWarrior said: If we can avoid last years suck fest I’ll be somewhat happy. Most people on this forum would absolutely love another Morch 2012. It was instant summer . Leaf out late Morch , early Napril legit 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Most people on this forum would absolutely love another Morch 2012. It was instant summer . Leaf out late Morch , early Napril legit Mud season was long gone by that warm wave. All of the sun's energy went toward heating the ground with no evaporational, melting, or sublimational cooling. I can't remember that ever happening that early up here before. 1945 was close but a couple weeks later than 2012. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 16 minutes ago, dendrite said: Mud season was long gone by that warm wave. All of the sun's energy went toward heating the ground with no evaporational, melting, or sublimational cooling. I can't remember that ever happening that early up here before. 1945 was close but a couple weeks later than 2012. Not sure about that. I had to get towed out of a mud hole on a dirt road. I think it was something like March 18th. I was going to play golf at course that opened almost a month earlier than it ever had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, mreaves said: Not sure about that. I had to get towed out of a mud hole on a dirt road. I think it was something like March 18th. I was going to play golf at course that opened almost a month earlier than it ever had. Guess I wasn’t clear enough that I was implying here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 10, 2022 Author Share Posted February 10, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Most people on this forum would absolutely love another Morch 2012. It was instant summer . Leaf out late Morch , early Napril legit Yeah, much of the country really. Cherry blossoms in DC were 1-2 weeks early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 10, 2022 Author Share Posted February 10, 2022 IF this is anywhere near correct (gfs/gem), could be an epic pack wipe clear to the CAN border. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 49 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: IF this is anywhere near correct (gfs/gem), could be an epic pack wipe clear to the CAN border. Wut pack….you serious bruh? Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 4 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: Yeah, much of the country really. Cherry blossoms in DC were 1-2 weeks early Nobody wants that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Long range is mild. Back broken. Doesn’t mean we can’t have snow though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Long range is mild. Back broken. Doesn’t mean we can’t have snow though. We told Ginx . He hmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Long range is mild. Back broken. Doesn’t mean we can’t have snow though. Far NNE will be like Bob in SE Mass this fall when people talked about back broken... "Don't tell me the back is broken when...(snowpack is in my yard) or (I'm still running my A/C)." We all know what it means though... big difference between January -7 departures and the second half of February pattern. Just like the difference between July and September. Yesterday I did notice the steep south facing road banks were getting destroyed by the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Long range is mild. Back broken. Doesn’t mean we can’t have snow though. She done? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: She done? It’ll snow again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: She done? Did you see my last sentence? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Far NNE will be like Bob in SE Mass this fall when people talked about back broken... "Don't tell me the back is broken when...(snowpack is in my yard) or (I'm still running my A/C)." We all know what it means though... big difference between January -7 departures and the second half of February pattern. Just like the difference between July and September. Yesterday I did notice the steep south facing road banks were getting destroyed by the sun. Yeah I’m sure the typical ACATT will come in and get all mad, but given the long range pattern, it doesn’t seem that wintry. But we know it can still get cold, and snow. Maybe March has a last hurrah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I’m sure the typical ACATT will come in and get all mad, but given the long range pattern, it doesn’t seem that wintry. But we know it can still get cold, and snow. Maybe March has a last hurrah. It's been a minute since I've gotten a bit annoyed at temperatures and January did that, ha. If I don't walk outside to -15 to -27 again this winter I'd be all right with that... and riding chairlifts with wind chills of -40F gets old. Felt like twice a week for a month there was a Wind Chill Advisory or Warning up. Wasn't even able to get the dog out much in the last month or so as her paws start to hurt after about 10 minutes below like 15 degrees and she just stands there lifting them up off the ground. I could go for a while of like 15F to 35F type temps and increasing daylight hours. Its obviously going to snow again and sometimes warmth brings larger systems... more risk but some reward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It's been a minute since I've gotten a bit annoyed at temperatures and January did that, ha. If I don't walk outside to -15 to -27 again this winter I'd be all right with that... and riding chairlifts with wind chills of -40F gets old. Felt like twice a week for a month there was a Wind Chill Advisory or Warning up. Wasn't even able to get the dog out much in the last month or so as her paws start to hurt after about 10 minutes below like 15 degrees and she just stands there lifting them up off the ground. I could go for a while of like 15F to 35F type temps and increasing daylight hours. Its obviously going to snow again and sometimes warmth brings larger systems... more risk but some reward. Yeah you guys still likely are in it, but with less bitter cold. It was cold in January, but we didn’t have that bitter stuff. Sort of stopped at the mtns. I know some of it was radiational cooling too, but like you said with BTV, they put up big departures too. We’ll see. I was hoping to squeeze in a few more decent events, but doesn’t seem like much on the horizon here. Maybe we can get one or two later this month and in March. GEFS seem to support that, but it seems like they caved a little to the EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 29 minutes ago, Allsnow said: She done? With the MJO going in 4 , expect a warm March and a cold spring. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: With the MJO going in 4 , expect a warm March and a cold spring. Stop with the voodoo 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Didn’t realize FZFG was a potential this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 So Euro wins the long range battle that was shaping up a week or so ago. Chris at GYX talks about robust qpf signal for late next week. Maybe a Rainer that accelerates the melt. But this week will only dent that pack up here. Still a lot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Thank God. If it's not gonna snow let's torch up. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 30 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: So Euro wins the long range battle that was shaping up a week or so ago. Chris at GYX talks about robust qpf signal for late next week. Maybe a Rainer that accelerates the melt. But this week will only dent that pack up here. Still a lot of snow. Tough to say. They both weren’t exactly cold, although GEFs were more supportive for winter wx. They weren’t vastly different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Tough to say. They both weren’t exactly cold, although GEFs were more supportive for winter wx. They weren’t vastly different. I don't have the links but I thought they were significantly different a week or so back. The Euro had a big ridge in the east, and I think was holding a decent -EPO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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