ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 3:52 PM, Typhoon Tip said: I just gave a run-down above - you wanna move it over there? or - It's premature to start a thread in this particular mise en science/leading 'feel' ..but, I think that thread's title being much more conservative might help but -whatever Expand Done....I moved it over there. Agreed on thread title...not very accurate at the moment....doesn't look like a miller B either (though things can always change) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 3:27 PM, Ginx snewx said: It's all good. Let's let the Icon find a nut Expand It would be great if it had some sort of clue on this. Only problem is... if it does pull one out its arse we won't hear the end of it during every threat for the next year at least 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 3:47 PM, ORH_wxman said: I thought you were using N Foster coop? If you aren't then you have received woefully less than them which makes me question you averaging the same that they do northeast of you and a bit higher up. Expand I said multiple times my 22 year average matches North Fosters New 30 year normal. Have no idea where you got 180 seeing as N Foster Jan is not out, mine 47 25 52. Last year Nfoster reported a 25 when I had 17, stationary band to my east. It happens like the reverse in March 2018 when they basically had none and I had 14 . 2019-05-01 47.8 0 2020-05-01 31.3 0 2021-05-01 61.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 3:58 PM, ORH_wxman said: Done....I moved it over there. Agreed on thread title...not very accurate at the moment....doesn't look like a miller B either (though things can always change) Expand Can't you like ... pm George, and white glove influence him to redraft something more representative of present signals/reality? god - It kind of ruins it if we want to be 'serious' and apply Met objectivity and substance, when it sounds like b-movie horror tropes 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 3:01 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: Can we start a separate misery measuring contest thread? Expand Might as well start the April thread now. ...April showers bring misery for hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 4:14 PM, Cold Miser said: Might as well start the April thread now. ...April showers bring misery for hours. Expand If you’re lucky maybe you’ll get the wheel of ‘rhea for six or eight weeks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 @ORH_wxman From my records and Official 21 inches more at NFoster over 21 years NFoster Me 2021 61 51 2020 31 25 2019 47 40 2018 90 82 2017 61 60 2016 51. 42 2015 110 110 2014 70 68 2013 74 68 2012 28 26 2011 84 87 2010 66 72 2009 62 71 2008 51 53 2007 29 27 2006 57 58 2005 100 97 2004 41 43 2003 88 93 2002 34 31 2001 81 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 4:08 PM, Ginx snewx said: I said multiple times my 22 year average matches North Fosters New 30 year normal. Have no idea where you got 180 seeing as N Foster Jan is not out, mine 47 25 52. Last year Nfoster reported a 25 when I had 17, stationary band to my east. It happens like the reverse in March 2018 when they basically had none and I had 14 . 2019-05-01 47.8 0 2020-05-01 31.3 0 2021-05-01 61.5 Expand I got 180.8 by arithmetic...used the 3 N Foster totals plus your 40.2 YTD total (since N Foster doesn't have data past December yet this year)....that is 180.8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 4:07 PM, UnitedWx said: It would be great if it had some sort of clue on this. Only problem is... if it does pull one out its arse we won't hear the end of it during every threat for the next year at least Expand lol, we still talk about JMA nailing February 05 (I think that was the storm, big totals NYC and Western NE) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 4:48 PM, ORH_wxman said: I got 180.8 by arithmetic...used the 3 N Foster totals plus your 40.2 YTD total (since N Foster doesn't have data past December yet this year)....that is 180.8". Expand I had 24 NFOSTER 18 in the blizzard we band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 2:53 PM, tamarack said: Somewhat different at our latitude, at least through the first half of the month. The 23-year average for snowpack here currently peaks at 21.6" on 3/2 and is still at 12.0" on the 31st. It was up to 27" this morning but the present light rain may push it down a bit during the day. Expand Agree to the bolded part, but also the italicized part is basically giving you an extra week or two padding if accurate. But down here where Wolfie is, it's right around the turn of the month, maybe after the first week, that it starts becoming more likely that you aren't going to be able to maintain a pack for long. On 2/8/2022 at 2:55 PM, ORH_wxman said: Even where I am, I frequently have snow pack in the first couple weeks of March. It's more common to have pack here in early March than it is for most of December. It definitely changes after the first couple weeks. Expand Right, I don't think that's inconsistent with what I'm saying - not for @WinterWolfin Southington, CT. If we are talking a difference of a week, I don't think I was trying to be that precise...he said "months left of winter" and I'm saying "nah son, it's called spring." It still snows in spring. But in most of CT, maintaining a pack in spring, even early spring, for an extended period of time (like for 2 weeks) is difficult and gets exponentially more difficult each week you go past March 1st. And while it might snow, you are still going to get a DD day or two that makes you remember that this snow-loving hobby is really just a way to get through winter with your sanity. On 2/8/2022 at 1:51 PM, Cold Miser said: Except for March 93. I remember driving from R.I. to DC a few weeks later, and snow was still down there. Expand Always exceptions to the rule, definitely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 1:27 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Exactly my thoughts...if you're left clinging to the MJO like a life raft in mid February, its probably time to focus on next season. Expand I don’t know if you’ve seen but there are people clinging to a possible SSWE the 1st week of March lol At that point, it’s time to pack it up and call it quits….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 4:56 PM, JC-CT said: Agree to the bolded part, but also the italicized part is basically giving you an extra week or two padding if accurate. But down here where Wolfie is, it's right around the turn of the month, maybe after the first week, that it starts becoming more likely that you aren't going to be able to maintain a pack for long. Right, I don't think that's inconsistent with what I'm saying - not for @WinterWolfin Southington, CT. If we are talking a difference of a week, I don't think I was trying to be that precise...he said "months left of winter" and I'm saying "nah son, it's called spring." It still snows in spring. But in most of CT, maintaining a pack in spring, even early spring, for an extended period of time (like for 2 weeks) is difficult and gets exponentially more difficult each week you go past March 1st. And while it might snow, you are still going to get a DD day or two that makes you remember that this snow-loving hobby is really just a way to get through winter with your sanity. Always exceptions to the rule, definitely. Expand Like 2001 up here, when 19" on March 30-31 brought the pack to 48" - had 55.5" that month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 5:17 PM, snowman19 said: I don’t know if you’ve seen but there are people clinging to a possible SSWE the 1st week of March lol At that point, it’s time to pack it up and call it quits….. Expand I haven't seen that.....yea, I would think we would want it by mid February, as climo is so hostile Second half of March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 5:18 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I haven't seen that.....yea, I would think we would want it by mid February, as climo is so hostile Second half of March. Expand Yep, once you get to 3/15, if you live south of New England, it’s game over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 5:18 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I haven't seen that.....yea, I would think we would want it by mid February, as climo is so hostile Second half of March. Expand 50mb strat vortex is large and in charge as it has been all winter. Sell the SSW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 Man is it gorgeous out. Blue skies, little breeze, sun has some warmth to it. If winter is done, I'll take this for the next month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 A February to Remember..... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 5:22 PM, Hoth said: Man is it gorgeous out. Blue skies, little breeze, sun has some warmth to it. If winter is done, I'll take this for the next month. Expand You know we’re bleeding out winter’s last artery when you read the last couple pages. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 5:17 PM, snowman19 said: I don’t know if you’ve seen but there are people clinging to a possible SSWE the 1st week of March lol At that point, it’s time to pack it up and call it quits….. Expand Theres one and a half months left of winter, SSW or not there’s no reason to be negative at this point. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 5:37 PM, George001 said: Theres one and a half months left of winter, SSW or not there’s no reason to be negative at this point. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 5:37 PM, George001 said: Theres one and a half months left of winter, SSW or not there’s no reason to be negative at this point. Expand Everything is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 5:47 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Everything is awesome. Expand Said by many since October... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 5:22 PM, Hoth said: Man is it gorgeous out. Blue skies, little breeze, sun has some warmth to it. If winter is done, I'll take this for the next month. Expand I’m dank still with many icy walkways. Wanna trade? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 5:21 PM, CoastalWx said: 50mb strat vortex is large and in charge as it has been all winter. Sell the SSW. Expand Yea, I was on the SSW train going into the season, but I am going to be wrong on that. The only thing worse then being incorrect is being obstinately incorrect. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 My ideas played out with respect to the tropospheric vortex earlier this season, but instead of linking up with the stratosphere later down the line, the strat vortex remained potent until the trop vortex finally succumbed and is now coupling. Game over with respect to that....if we salvage a happy ending, it will be due to the Pacific. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 5:20 PM, snowman19 said: Yep, once you get to 3/15, if you live south of New England, it’s game over Expand People living south of New England are often a concern for those living in New England and posting in this New England regional sub. Excellent insight. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 Weird to be in what historically/climatologically is our biggest snowstorm week of the winter and not even have a legitimate threat on the longer range models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 6:55 PM, A Moonlit Sky said: People living south of New England are often a concern for those living in New England and posting in this New England regional sub. Excellent insight. Expand Don’t remember asking your for your vapid opinion. I was talking to Ray but thanks anyway for your useless drivel 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 6:58 PM, snowman19 said: Don’t remember asking your for your vapid opinion. I was talking to Ray but thanks anyway for your useless drivel Expand I aim to enlighten. You are welcome this day. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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