Typhoon Tip Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: the antecedent airmass is warm and stale but a high feeds in cold and it gradually turns to sleet and then to snow? something like that with a cold press? That's be a nice event. Yup ... transition event. Tries to get mild but not impressed with the front side of the front's region for now. Then said front slips past - noooormally, that will be ahead of guidance when it comes to these weight polar high transits through SE Canada ..wedging under. Particularly, that kind set up will come SW down from Maine as coastal jet when the +PP lobes around the White's. Anyway, the cold air deepens and isn't going the other way... If there is a overrunning during cold air's gradual deepening, we'll go through some ptype axis ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yup ... transition event. Tries to get mild but not impressed with the front side of the front's region for now. Then said front slips past - noooormally, that will be ahead of guidance when it comes to these weight polar high transits through SE Canada ..wedging under. Particularly, that kind set up will come SW down from Maine as coastal jet when the +PP lobes around the White's. Anyway, the cold air deepens and isn't going the other way... If there is a overrunning during cold air's gradual deepening, we'll go through some ptype axis ... Look at the amount of qpf on day 6 from wpc: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Well there you go ... Euro makes a step in the D8-11 direction. Can't run until you take a your first steps 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Geez the Euro....no break for the weary trackers. Watch this be a bigger event than today for me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 27 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Well there you go ... Euro makes a step in the D8-11 direction. Can't run until you take a your first steps Hope does not hit the Boston area again. With the mid week moisture will be a traffic nightmare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Ah yes ... it's always nicer to post-mortem our way out of an under-achiever ( relative to IMBY's of course - ), into another assurance for d-drip week, to keep us from crashing too hard. Haha... it's funny but true. I remember we use to talk about this up in the weather lab at UML back in college, how there's like a post-partum depression kinda of psycho babble after storms end. I mean you're in after glow but ... by the third day, that wears off and if you are looking at an anathemic pattern, that can be a bit of a withdraw likeness. But this GGEM solution just converted a thaw into an cold rain --> ice/mix --> snow ordeal ... Big too actually. You know regardless of whether that happens or not for IMBYs, where that does take place, that may last a full 24 hours to transition through that. The euro agreed with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Euro gives many of us more snow next Friday then we received today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just like 10 days ago it looked like we were wasting a favorable pattern that was going to break down and transition to a mild Feb. Now, there’s a raging blizzard outside right now where I live and that warm up looks to be short lived, with a very cold pattern in mid Feb being shown on the long range models. It’s crazy how quickly things changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 46 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Euro gives many of us more snow next Friday then we received today. Over this way it’s giving 1.5” of QPF which I assume will be frozen. Nice pattern. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 50 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Euro gives many of us more snow next Friday then we received today. Yeah I guess I looked at the coarser product at PSU e-wall... heh... Looked like it suppressed the shit outta that.. which it did, but I guess it slipped a pass up the backside ..what was that an ANA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 GFS all alone with that warmer look: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 2 hours ago, Go Kart Mozart said: Geez the Euro....no break for the weary trackers. Watch this be a bigger event than today for me! As currently modeled it definitely will be here. However, I'll need professional therapy, if the Friday storm morphs into the same areas that got hit today jacking again. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 17 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: GFS all alone with that warmer look: ... ... ... ... 18z GFS substantial correction south. actually ... this is a substantial ice storm threat for lower Missouri/southern IL up through the west OV as near as 96 hours ... speed things up in fast hemisphere friends... But, the arm of high pressure presses through Ontario and sorry,... long years of experience, that ends up with a boundary south of here. That's getting interesting... 120 hours we have overrunning pellet and cold rain streaking across the southern tier of NY into S VT and by later that evening we'll see what the entails here but I do NOT buy a polar boundary over recent snow pack, at climo cold time of year barely in the rear view mirror ...just hangin around southern NH ...no way! Not when pressure is rising through the mid range over/N of Montreal .. not happening Prolly should point out ...this next coverage is an entirely different type of system than this one. Not even the same synoptic ball park. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Euro gives many of us more snow next Friday then we received today. we pray 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 29, 2022 Share Posted January 29, 2022 43 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 18z GFS substantial correction south. actually ... this is a substantial ice storm threat for lower Missouri/southern IL up through the west OV as near as 96 hours ... speed things up in fast hemisphere friends... But, the arm of high pressure presses through Ontario and sorry,... long years of experience, that ends up with a boundary south of here. That's getting interesting... 120 hours we have overrunning pellet and cold rain streaking across the southern tier of NY into S VT and by later that evening we'll see what the entails here but I do NOT buy a polar boundary over recent snow pack, at climo cold time of year barely in the rear view mirror ...just hangin around southern NH ...no way! Not when pressure is rising through the mid range over/N of Montreal .. not happening Prolly should point out ...this next coverage is an entirely different type of system than this one. Not even the same synoptic ball park. Yes, the 18Z that I posted did show that south correction from 12z. Need to correct a lot more though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Hoping that rain on Thursday aternoon/evening on the Euro becomes more white than wet... Ski Club that day. We had to postpone last week due to no bus On the Goofus it holds off... not that I am believing OPs at this range for that level of detail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Really hope we get some of these as we head towards spring - 10x better than 10" of fluff imho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 22 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Hoping that rain on Thursday aternoon/evening on the Euro becomes more white than wet... Ski Club that day. We had to postpone last week due to no bus On the Goofus it holds off... not that I am believing OPs at this range for that level of detail Euro is a snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 hour ago, 78Blizzard said: Yes, the 18Z that I posted did show that south correction from 12z. Need to correct a lot more though. Not for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 I'm having a hard time fully believing the evolution. Seems like these things always try to morph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro is a snowstorm Affirmative. Looks like it may start wet but everybody flips. Interesting set up so we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 4 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Euro gives many of us more snow next Friday then we received today. Not a tall order here lol…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 43 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Not for here. I'll take the Euro, verbatim. Not that I'm looking to steal your snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 13 minutes ago, ice1972 said: Not a tall order here lol…. What did you get in Weha? 3-4”? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 45 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Not for here. Don’t worry. You’ll get yours in March and April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Just now, 78Blizzard said: I'll take the Euro, verbatim. Not that I'm looking to steal your snow. Euro looked good for sure. We will see how far south this can get. These overrunning events are usually good for most in the forum if they can get south enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Don’t worry. You’ll get yours in March and April. I'm getting it right now too. 8" and still climbing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 17 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Don’t worry. You’ll get yours in March and April. He can have it then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 0z GFS looks like it would be a heck of a icestorm with that high to the north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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