Torch Tiger Posted February 7, 2022 Author Share Posted February 7, 2022 38 minutes ago, dendrite said: Need like 3 straight days of that look here to break through the CAD. Yeah true lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You need to be more open with your feelings. That's not even the best part...no. My favorite is hearing after the fact how we have all been screwed to the same degree for the past few years. That was the best. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 46 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Last time the long range showed that on the Euro, it turned into a sleet event. (2/4) EPS has been atrocious this winter. Gonna get schooled again as we see it caving each run to the GEFS. What a dam shame that model has gone down hill so badly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yay, who needs 60 and sunny, anyway...we can keep oscillating between scoring sleet and watching Weymouth get crushed. I’m really pulling for T-Blizz to finish the season at 4-5x my total. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Full on winter in PF land next two weeks, might have to spend a weekend in Stowe to experience winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 9 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I’m really pulling for T-Blizz to finish the season at 4-5x my total. We can probably muster up another 20 burger for SE MA before 3/15. Plenty of time. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: We can probably muster up another 20 burger for SE MA before 3/15. Plenty of time. Now, you're talking...you know how to get me all hot and bothered. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 I can't get enough of these events with pixie dust snow growth and temps pinned at 14 degrees, while the heavy snow bands remained pinned to rt 128 like body paint. Every now and then, a hopeless romantic from the interior will hallucinate westward migration, while demonstrating zero insight to the fact that we have cycled through same faux ob three times over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Now, you're talking...you know how to get me all hot and bothered. Maybe next week is the one....currently wide right miss....start backing it up slowly over the next 2-3 cycles...then all of the sudden it shows a region-wide crushing at D3-4 and everyone gets excited and you have a meltdown about a dendrite to Berkshires jackpot when the 78 hour NAM dryslots you with the low over PYM, and then it starts to leak east again inside of 60 hours leaving Scooter to Taunton in the bullseye. Maybe tonight, I'll have a more detailed description of the sequence of events so you have something to look forward to. 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Maybe next week is the one....currently wide right miss....start backing it up slowly over the next 2-3 cycles...then all of the sudden it shows a region-wide crushing at D3-4 and everyone gets excited and you have a meltdown about a dendrite to Berkshires jackpot when the 78 hour NAM dryslots you with the low over PYM, and then it starts to leak east again inside of 60 hours leaving Scooter to Taunton in the bullseye. Maybe tonight, I'll have a more detailed description of the sequence of events so you have something to look forward to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 It's not like we haven't been free of screwjies. December 2019 and then last Feb 2021 were really pork jobs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 The important news is eps caved. Plenty of snow and cold left. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Weeklies still furnace, but honestly they have been abysmal. Probably will change on Thursday's issuance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: The important news is eps caved. Plenty of snow and cold left. Still trying to torch a little at the end of the run but it caved pretty bad before that in the D10-12 range. You can even see the higher heights up there on the d15 prog despite it trying to show milder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Weeklies still furnace, but honestly they have been abysmal. Probably will change on Thursday's issuance. I don’t think the weeklies have any 12z ingest, do they? They always show up as “00z” for initialization. But I’m not 100% on the inner workings of the weeklies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's not like we haven't been free of screwjies. December 2019 and then last Feb 2021 were really pork jobs. Again.....what is on the scoreboard at the end of the season. I'm talking seasonal totals....not saying there hasn't been one event that is screwed se MA in 4 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Weeklies still furnace, but honestly they have been abysmal. Probably will change on Thursday's issuance. I’m not sure I’ve seen them so bad before as they have been this winter. They weren’t great last winter either but they had their moments…esp with the January NAO blocking…but this year has been an utter tire fire. Kevin Martin’s chemtrail analysis would have probably been more accurate than the weeklies this year. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I don’t think the weeklies have any 12z ingest, do they? They always show up as “00z” for initialization. But I’m not 100% on the inner workings of the weeklies. Yeah supposedly 00z? So if this holds, Thursday likely will be a colder version. Not that it means much anyways, the whole euro suite of guidance has been real suspect this season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I’m not sure I’ve seen them so bad before as they have been this winter. They weren’t great last winter either but they had their moments…esp with the January NAO blocking…but this year has been an utter tire fire. Kevin Martin’s chemtrail analysis would have probably been more accurate than the weeklies this year. Its almost like they have kept trying to default to torch la nina climo, which was never a good idea with an east-based event. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Again.....what is on the scoreboard at the end of the season. I'm talking seasonal totals....not saying there hasn't been one event that is screwed se MA in 4 years. Alright well lets see what happens by 4/1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its almost like they have kept trying to default to torch la nina climo, which was never a good idea with an east-based event. It’s probably struggling with the tropical forcing for sure. Typically when LR models are way off, I’ve often noticed them trying to go with some big tropical forcing and then it just ends up weaker than they thought and other factors override it. I wonder if the euro is trying to push the forcing into unfavorable areas but keeps getting rejected by reality….I haven’t looked super close at the MJO/convection progs in the last week but I do know that the GEFS and EPS were differing there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 11 minutes ago, weathafella said: The important news is eps caved. Plenty of snow and cold left. Correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Correct. You're happy Wolfie now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You're happy Wolfie now? He’s snuggling up against you and Will… tail wagging with happy howls. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Maybe next week is the one....currently wide right miss....start backing it up slowly over the next 2-3 cycles...then all of the sudden it shows a region-wide crushing at D3-4 and everyone gets excited and you have a meltdown about a dendrite to Berkshires jackpot when the 78 hour NAM dryslots you with the low over PYM, and then it starts to leak east again inside of 60 hours leaving Scooter to Taunton in the bullseye. Maybe tonight, I'll have a more detailed description of the sequence of events so you have something to look forward to. Well, I'm like that because I have been so snake bitten past few years, and it happened yet again...so tell me that it wasn't warranted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You're happy Wolfie now? 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: He’s snuggling up against you and Will… tail wagging with happy howls. Not that happy boys…still waiting on a decent event. Hoping we can pull something off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, I'm like that because I have been so snake bitten past years, and it happened yet again...so tell me that it is wasn't warranted. Welcome to our world. A good amount of 10-16” events since 13 but enough ‘what could have beens’ to keep the frustrations at the forefront. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Not that happy boys…still waiting on a decent event. Hoping we can pull something off. A Decent event, sure…we can pull that off by just living in neweng. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Welcome to our world. A good amount of 10-16” events since 13 but enough ‘what could have beens’ to keep the frustrations at the forefront. Best part is that all the guys that judge are near the bullseye for every event.....Will, Steve, Scott.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 38 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Best part is that all the guys that judge are near the bullseye for every event.....Will, Steve, Scott.... Judge what? I think you are being clouded by recent memory bias. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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