PhineasC Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Ugh, next week. LOL. Think this can get under the northern tier of NNE? Had good luck with that lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Think this can get under the northern tier of NNE? Had good luck with that lately. Yeah I could see that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: Think this can get under the northern tier of NNE? Had good luck with that lately. 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I could see that 18z GFS is already trying. It’s possible it turns into a pseudo overunning deal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z GFS is already trying. It’s possible it turns into a pseudo overunning deal. Yep, it’s been drifting that way last few runs. East trend helps in this case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Northern NNE can make lemonade out of lemons on something like this. 32 degree wet paste bomb is better than 34 degree rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 Yeah, looked like the signal for an overrunning snow to ice deal for NNE. we'll see that if that holds. I doubt SNE avoids a decent (maybe muted) torch though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 GFS has a rain storm for most of New England on D8/D9 but then tees up a massive interior hit on D10/11. All with a grain of salt, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 37 minutes ago, bch2014 said: GFS has a rain storm for most of New England on D8/D9 but then tees up a massive interior hit on D10/11. All with a grain of salt, of course. I think the cutter will get under northern NNE. 18z GFS showed this pretty well. The cutter is flattening out. I could see a mixed mess deal with snow bookending it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Hopefully Will or Scoots or a met can discuss how all of NE can avoid the torch next week 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Hopefully we get a nice break from the cold next week. Melt some snow and ice away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Hopefully Will or Scoots or a met can discuss how all of NE can avoid the torch next week By moving to Canada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Hopefully we get a nice break from the cold next week. Melt some snow and ice away. Warmup is meh, whatever. I just hope to not get atmospheric river-ed. that sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 41 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Warmup is meh, whatever. I just hope to not get atmospheric river-ed. that sucks Yeah we don’t need that. 38 and sun I’m fine with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 EPS and GEFS don't look bad for NNE next week. More of an overrunning look, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 GFS is a massive torch cutter....hopefully that mutes some. 12z GGEM looks more overrunning (can only see out to 144h though right now) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: GFS is a massive torch cutter....hopefully that mutes some. 12z GGEM looks more overrunning (can only see out to 144h though right now) Whiff then cutter. Epic run for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 GFS has had a train of systems for a few runs now, and other than that D7-8 period there is cold air nearby. That's what you want to see at this lead. Not buying 50's in the usual NNE CAD spots at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 27 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS is a massive torch cutter....hopefully that mutes some. 12z GGEM looks more overrunning (can only see out to 144h though right now) EPS from 00z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Next POS to watch head OTS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: GFS has had a train of systems for a few runs now, and other than that D7-8 period there is cold air nearby. That's what you want to see at this lead. Not buying 50's in the usual NNE CAD spots at this point. It had a train of systems for right now as well a while ago, to be fair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, PhineasC said: It had a train of systems for right now as well a while ago, to be fair. No doubt. But there doesn't seem to be any wholesale pattern changes advertised which is good news. Give us the moisture during peak climo and let's roll the dice. It's hard to go full on torch cutter in early Feb in NNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Euro tries to stretch it out before it eventually cuts, but that is a trend that if it continues, it will turn the cutter into a winter wx event at least for NNE...still possible for SNE too but lesser probability. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro tries to stretch it out before it eventually cuts, but that is a trend that if it continues, it will turn the cutter into a winter wx event at least for NNE...still possible for SNE too but lesser probability. Take the 50’s / 60”s out of all forecasts we’ve seen for next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 EPS tries to mute it? We pray. Also, Those torchy weeklies from last week appear to be doing a reverse. February does not look warm right now. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS tries to mute it? We pray. Also, Those torchy weeklies from last week appear to be doing a reverse. February does not look warm right now. We pack. CFS ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS tries to mute it? We pray. Also, Those torchy weeklies from last week appear to be doing a reverse. February does not look warm right now. Yeah the ensembles have looked a lot cooler and flatter for this than the ops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: EPS tries to mute it? We pray. Also, Those torchy weeklies from last week appear to be doing a reverse. February does not look warm right now. ASOUT. GFS torch limited to one day on latest run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 00z GFS slowly trending in the right direction for the D6/D7 storm. Hopefully they continue. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 28, 2022 Share Posted January 28, 2022 14 minutes ago, bch2014 said: 00z GFS slowly trending in the right direction for the D6/D7 storm. Hopefully they continue. Yeah, looks like it wants to get the low under NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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