MJO812 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 55 minutes ago, George001 said: The euro even last night gave me 9-10 inches. I don’t see 9-10 inches out there, shitty storm. I would have been happy for a few inches I got some sleet here in NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 57 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: JDJ has a new rule to forecast, only use the least snowy model, 90% accuracy. That would have been the easiest and most accurate way to forecast for our area this season. Instead of countless hours tracking and analyzing...just take the least snowiest solution to paint the forecast map instead and sit back smiling while everyone else bites off their finger and toe nails 4x per day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 2 hours ago, George001 said: The euro even last night gave me 9-10 inches. I don’t see 9-10 inches out there, shitty storm. Nice here. pretty much what I expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 It did about what I expected here. ~3" and if anything the sleet held on longer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 3 hours ago, George001 said: The euro even last night gave me 9-10 inches. I don’t see 9-10 inches out there, shitty storm. The model didn’t but the interpretation by various vendors did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: The model didn’t but the interpretation by various vendors did. You're telling me that George had inflated expectations on a storm? Hard to believe..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Did we lose next week threats? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Did we lose next week threats? Euro lost them...GFS/GGEM/Ukie still have at least one of them. Ukie still has both, GFS likes 3/1 while GGEM likes 3/3. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Interesting next 7 days on the operational runs... GFS: basically serves up a 'little critter' that may or may not 'bite,' about once every 3 or so days through D10 actually.. I'm inclined to still suggest we watch Mar 3-5 in there... That's not completely dead, but admittedly less likely for meridion expression. But the GGEM ... ( hate to admit, the ICANT model) have a chance with a clipper redeveloper/NJ model... After that, the GFS absorbs the increasing sun and celestial forcing and goes back to dreams of January right to 384 hours independent of any index mode - typical problem with this new species of GFS technology they started rollin' new FV's with some 6 years ago .. but I digress with snark. The Euro, with it's smoothing tendencies built into the particular guidance ( 4-d blah blah blah) doesn't carry those, but what it does offer is 6 days of below normal temperatures after our present event. So at least through next Friday...this snow has a shot at sticking around. The sun is obviously a huge factor now and getting huger ... but it's still just early enough that a below normal atmosphere with clouds will help the snow enthusiast's cause. But WOW what a change happens abruptly next Saturday morning! Just as is, in this run, that's about as impressive a warm frontal passage you'll ever see... You go from -10C at 850, Friday afternoon, to +10 C Saturday mid morning... d(T) of 20 ... It would be interesting to see that happen, because Saturday afternoon would be light winds and fully sun in March through a sounding that would support 70, over a snow pack. That would be a neat competition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 This may be nice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 55 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro lost them...GFS/GGEM/Ukie still have at least one of them. Ukie still has both, GFS likes 3/1 while GGEM likes 3/3. Euro is JAM anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Boston over 50 inches for the winter now, how high do you guys think the seasonal total gets? I still think there’s one more big storm before winter ends, so I could see an outside shot at Boston making a late run at 70-80 inches if things break our way with the pattern. Even without a big storm, doesn’t look like a shutout pattern is coming anytime soon so 60+ seems reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 lol @ BOS above avg. I’m at ~60% about 50 miles north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Wait wait wait, Ray's Billerica got the Jackpot!!!! 10" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 8 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: lol @ BOS above avg. I’m at ~60% about 50 miles north This'll be one of those annoying winters where the people in the tiny zones that have done well will endlessly squawk about how epic it was and how "everyone did well and should be happy." 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 16 minutes ago, PhineasC said: This'll be one of those annoying winters where the people in the tiny zones that have done well will endlessly squawk about how epic it was and how "everyone did well and should be happy." Nah, it's a small zone and they know it. I don't see anybody doing that. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 hour ago, George001 said: Boston over 50 inches for the winter now, how high do you guys think the seasonal total gets? I still think there’s one more big storm before winter ends, so I could see an outside shot at Boston making a late run at 70-80 inches if things break our way with the pattern. Even without a big storm, doesn’t look like a shutout pattern is coming anytime soon so 60+ seems reasonable. Boston with more than ORH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 54 minutes ago, PhineasC said: This'll be one of those annoying winters where the people in the tiny zones that have done well will endlessly squawk about how epic it was and how "everyone did well and should be happy." Doubt it. We were lucky and know it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 1 hour ago, TheSnowman said: Wait wait wait, Ray's Billerica got the Jackpot!!!! 10" He lives in Methuen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Doubt it. We were lucky and know it. Yeah we definitely have gotten lucky. Usually there’s at least 1 or 2 events that screw se ma and clobber NW zones, like that early Feb storm last year where I got 8 or so inches, Boston got barely anything and just NW got like 18+. As much as I hope we keep getting lucky this year, climo especially March climo favors a storm that screws us and clobbers NW areas. There’s a reason NW areas average more than us in se ma. I still think we could see something like that in March or even early April this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Logan dropped 7 degrees in 5 mins today. Now that's a flash freeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 JFC, 22° with 7 inches of fresh snow on the ground I just pulled a tick off the dog. He must’ve picked it up yesterday when we were torching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Nah, it's a small zone and they know it. I don't see anybody doing that. Good post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 3 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Doubt it. We were lucky and know it. Another good post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: He lives in Methuen Sometime I think he needs to stop and look around through all of the CAPS and !!!!!!!!!. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 26, 2022 Share Posted February 26, 2022 4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Doubt it. We were lucky and know it. Yea, I haven't noticed that...just commenting on how it's been for them, which is what you would expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 8F here currently with full snowcover. Sure feels like Spring is near Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 5 hours ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: 8F here currently with full snowcover. Sure feels like Spring is near Glad that fake cold mixed out quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 15 minutes ago, dendrite said: Glad that fake cold mixed out quickly. Lots of readings of 10-15F around me, so pretty cold overnight. Normal low temperature is 24F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2022 Share Posted February 27, 2022 Just now, Sugarloaf1989 said: Lots of readings of 10-15F around me, so pretty cold overnight. Normal low temperature is 24F. I get it..had 14° here, but never bottomed out on my hill. But a few puffs of southerly wind and some sun and it was pushing 30°. Tomorrow will feel like deep winter though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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