Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 6:54 PM, CoastalWx said: I think the clouds were a little more robust hence the colder temps. Airmass isn't surprisingly colder or anything like that. Expand I guess, but the forecast here was mostly cloudy. Normal high temperature here is 41F, so pretty cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 3:33 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Steins always keeping us safe.. keeping an eye on drought.. even in winter .. stay safe all Expand 1.25" of rain here earlier this week. The sun angle is going to melt alot of the upcoming snow over the next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 6:57 PM, Sugarloaf1989 said: I guess, but the forecast here was mostly cloudy. Normal high temperature here is 41F, so pretty cold. Expand I posted in the storm thread that the gfs was way warmer down there for today than the nam…like 10° warmer at 2m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Weeklies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 Geps looks interesting for early March. Eps a little flatter with the ridge so the energy doesn’t dig enough. If we can get the western ridge to amplify a bit more and link up with the ridge over the north pole, we could see a low appear out of nowhere on the op runs. Feb 28th threat looks dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 10:31 PM, George001 said: Geps looks interesting for early March. Eps a little flatter with the ridge so the energy doesn’t dig enough. If we can get the western ridge to amplify a bit more and link up with the ridge over the north pole, we could see a low appear out of nowhere on the op runs. Feb 28th threat looks dead. Expand There’s zero threats thru day 10.. with a warmup next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 9:57 PM, MJO812 said: Weeklies? Expand Posted in nyc forum. Flips the Ao and nao after mid month. Haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 10:38 PM, Allsnow said: Posted in nyc forum. Flips the Ao and nao after mid month. Haha Expand Nice, that would give us a shot at a big one before spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 10:38 PM, Allsnow said: Posted in nyc forum. Flips the Ao and nao after mid month. Haha Expand Like clockwork Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 24, 2022 Author Share Posted February 24, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 10:35 PM, Damage In Tolland said: There’s zero threats thru day 10.. with a warmup next week Expand Yeah, those "deep winter for weeks and weeks" folks are going to bust badly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 24, 2022 Share Posted February 24, 2022 March 3rd is a legitimate threat. Ensembles have a signal (Miller b nor’easter/blizzard threat). Still need to see improvements with the ridge out west though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 11:21 PM, Torch Tiger said: Yeah, those "deep winter for weeks and weeks" folks are going to bust badly Expand Winter isn't ending anytime soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Mar 3 is a threat. Doesn’t look huge right now but it wouldn’t take a huge change to turn that more from a clipper into a Miller B. Dont sell Mar 1 either. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 12:36 AM, ORH_wxman said: Mar 3 is a threat. Doesn’t look huge right now but it wouldn’t take a huge change to turn that more from a clipper into a Miller B. Dont sell Mar 1 either. Expand Gefs has a small signal for March 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 10:35 PM, Damage In Tolland said: There’s zero threats thru day 10.. with a warmup next week Expand Lol, That will change. Already changing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 6z GFS with a nice storm next Thursday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 12:03 PM, ineedsnow said: 6z GFS with a nice storm next Thursday Expand Lol…for all of us this time? It’d be nice. But the GFS just puked on itself today. I know 6 days out, but it’d Be nice if it could pull it off? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Is this look even possible? Look like the PV north of us even with a deep RNA? Is this just ensemble spread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 1:09 PM, WinterWolf said: Lol…for all of us this time? It’d be nice. But the GFS just puked on itself today. I know 6 days out, but it’d Be nice if it could pull it off? Expand March '93 ain't walking through that door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 1:42 PM, Cold Miser said: March '93 ain't walking through that door. Expand Lol wasn’t thinking anything like that. But That wasn’t even all that impressive here to be honest…16 inches and then a ton of sleet. Didn’t live up to the hype here imo. A lil more east and it would have been an all timer..but didn’t happen. Just would like to end on a decent storm is all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 1:55 PM, WinterWolf said: Lol wasn’t thinking anything like that. But That wasn’t even all that impressive here to be honest…16 inches and then a ton of sleet. Didn’t live up to the hype here imo. A lil more east and it would have been an all timer..but didn’t happen. Just would like to end on a decent storm is all. Expand That was just my cryptic reference to that classic Rick Pitino interview when he said, "Larry Bird Isn't walking through that door..." in response to a Celtic's loss to Toronto in 2000. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 1:55 PM, WinterWolf said: Lol wasn’t thinking anything like that. But That wasn’t even all that impressive here to be honest…16 inches and then a ton of sleet. Didn’t live up to the hype here imo. A lil more east and it would have been an all timer..but didn’t happen. Expand Likewise here. Few if any New England sites recorded less from the Superstorm than our 10.3" of well-rimed flakes in Gardiner - 1.70" LE for a nice 6:1 ratio. Biggest snows for 1992-93: 2/22-24: 14.5" 1/31-2/2: 13.9" 2/16-17: 11.0" 3/13-14: 10.3" 3/5-6: 9.0" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 1:09 PM, WinterWolf said: Lol…for all of us this time? It’d be nice. But the GFS just puked on itself today. I know 6 days out, but it’d Be nice if it could pull it off? Expand Don’t worry, once where in the nam range it will be the only model to give us the goods…but it will be wrong this time. Winter 21-22, feels like we’ve been feeding it sleeping pills and we sowed its eyelids open. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 Welp onto the next storm, hopefully the next one doesn’t underperform like this piece of shit. Early March the pattern looks better, still think the March 3-4 window can turn into a Miller B. Just too much warm air aloft for this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 4:13 PM, George001 said: Welp onto the next storm, hopefully the next one doesn’t underperform like this piece of shit. Early March the pattern looks better, still think the March 3-4 window can turn into a Miller B. Just too much warm air aloft for this one. Expand this one didn't underperform, unfortunately 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 4:17 PM, Torch Tiger said: this one didn't underperform, unfortunately Expand It did on the models for places 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 25, 2022 Author Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 4:19 PM, MJO812 said: It did on the models for places Expand if you wanted 2' it underperformed. If you have your expectations in check for a SWFE and its typical characteristics, there weren't really any big surprises Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 4:28 PM, Torch Tiger said: if you wanted 2' it underperformed. If you have your expectations in check for a SWFE and its typical characteristics, there weren't really any big surprises Expand The euro even last night gave me 9-10 inches. I don’t see 9-10 inches out there, shitty storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/24/2022 at 9:57 PM, MJO812 said: Weeklies? Expand Weeklies? In a 'weeklies' we'll be full-on embedded in both the human distinction of spring, but of vaster more importance ... that which is instructed by celestial mechanics. LOL You know ... that whole annoying aspect of the sun gaining altitude along it's zenith? March has the hugest D(solar) variance as we cross the equinox... I'm already seeing seasonal 'flashing' tendencies in the longer range guidance - that's just what I call it when the cold hydrostatic heights tend to abruptly fill, and the coherence of the R-wave ( long wave ) orientation seems to get less. It's really the "bowling season" - which despite winter's paliative end life, can provide the biggest storm one's seen in years. LOL. Excluding the rare scenaro ... I don't have as good an optimistic feel for the mid month period as others. Radiative forcing is likely to creep into modulating these outlooks at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 25, 2022 Share Posted February 25, 2022 On 2/25/2022 at 4:09 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Don’t worry, once where in the nam range it will be the only model to give us the goods…but it will be wrong this time. Winter 21-22, feels like we’ve been feeding it sleeping pills and we sowed its eyelids open. Expand JDJ has a new rule to forecast, only use the least snowy model, 90% accuracy. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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