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February 2022 Obs/Disco


Torch Tiger
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3 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

63 here too. We'll see if we can tack on another couple degrees. CAA starts kicking in during peak heating this afternoon, so we'll likely set our high around midday

Funny you say that, granted my Davis is facing the sun right now and has jumped to 66, light wind.....what a rollercoaster!

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3 hours ago, EastonSN+ said:

To me the GEFS and GEPS took big steps back for SNE. SE ridge stronger on each run. NNE can take in this look.

The hated wheel chart. Phase 7 and 8 late March and April? 

1379575280_diagram_40days_forecast_GEFS_member(1).gif.a8ab2dee577853b2aa5c624e9bfa1303.gif

Phase 5 is cold in March, and I have also read that higher amplitude MJO waves over the maritime continent support a pattern that would put pressure on the polar vortex, leading to an increased chance of a disruption or split. This could pay off big time during the second half of the month and possibly even early April. 

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