HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 These are 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 I remember the lil 1-2 incher back in December (first snow of the year for us)…we all thought that was going north too…and everybody kept saying the same thing, and it never really did. A few runs it did, but then slid south and we pretty much lost it..save for the 1-2” that got us on the board. This year I don’t trust anything…especially at 5 days out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: I remember the lil 1-2 incher back in December (first snow of the year for us)…we all thought that was going north too…and everybody kept saying the same thing, and it never really did. A few runs it did, but then slid south and we pretty much lost it..save for the 1-2” that got us on the board. This year I don’t trust anything…especially at 5 days out. Lots of confident posters this morning 5 days out. Super cold antecedent conditions with a very very strong anchored HP.Not your daddys SWFE. Precip numbers should be higher than normal. More snow more ice. Miller B??? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 More ice than snow for BOS s and w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 As someone who lives in the pike region, I’ll be hoping for some southerly ticks today because these come north more often than not once inside of 84 hours. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lots of confident posters this morning 5 days out. Super cold antecedent conditions with a very very strong anchored HP.Not your daddys SWFE. Precip numbers should be higher than normal. More snow more ice. Miller B??? Looks like my Daddy’s SWFE to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: As someone who lives in the pike region, I’ll be hoping for some southerly ticks today because these come north more often than not once inside of 84 hours. Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Me thinks appreciable rain will be confined to the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 What’s up with upton being so bullish on snow for southern CT?? I think it’s foolish to be so confident either way with this one considering it’s a full 4.5 days out still . Like will said for us in SNE we want this to be south now considering last second usual trends north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 30 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Yes but I'm afraid this keep coming north. That's how it goes sometimes though there's a limit given the extensive high pressure up north. It wouldn't surprise me if the cold press was stronger but the wave could also amp up. It's tough to get a lot of snow south this time of year without strong Atlantic blocking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: What’s up with upton being so bullish on snow for southern CT?? I think it’s foolish to be so confident either way with this one considering it’s a full 4.5 days out still . Like will said for us in SNE we want this to be south now considering last second usual trends north. And it’s already north on everything except the GFS. Feb 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 16 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lots of confident posters this morning 5 days out. Super cold antecedent conditions with a very very strong anchored HP.Not your daddys SWFE. Precip numbers should be higher than normal. More snow more ice. Miller B??? These generally have a max upside of 10-12”. What are you thinking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: And it’s already north on everything except the GFS. Feb 4 But it’s 5 days out so this too will morph, that high looks like it means businesses. Everybody said this exact same thing in December. Now I realize that this is different…one thing different is the big high this time that looks anchored in. I agree with Seymour…we shouldn’t be too confident in either direction. If one thing this winter has shown us, it is it’s ability to buck the expected trend. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Just now, WinterWolf said: But it’s 5 days out so this too will morph, that high looks like it means businesses. Everybody said this exact same thing in December. Now I realize that this is different…one thing different is the big high this time that looks anchored in. I agree with Seymour…we shouldn’t be too confident in either direction. If one thing this winter has shown us, it is it’s ability to buck the expected trend. Are you talking about the Xmas Eve deal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 17 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: These generally have a max upside of 10-12”. What are you thinking? Ratios for places like you and Brian Jeff. I would'nt be surprised if we see some 15 to 18 totals when all is said and done.They come north UNLESS they Miller B..... 5 days out Ens Mean 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 This is so beautiful heading into March. March 12 lol. March is not a winter month, winter is over, last snow we see etc etc. The fail army came out in full force this year. Where is our non resident Met? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Are you talking about the Xmas Eve deal? No Kev, the one before that. That was all everybody was saying/thinking too with that…things like, it’ll bump north, they always do etc…it never did. It actually went the opposite way, and we got very little, but it got us on the board. That was the one where me and Luke went back and forth. Lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: No Kev, the one before that. That was all everybody was saying/thinking too with that…things like, it’ll bump north, they always do etc…it never did. It actually went the opposite way, and we got very little, but it got us on the board. That was the one where me and Luke went back and forth. Lol. This will not trend much further north due to the strong high up north. There will be a limit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 20, 2022 Author Share Posted February 20, 2022 bring 'er north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like my Daddy’s SWFE to me. It is Pedro, it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: This will not trend much further north due to the strong high up north. There will be a limit. Well this is a valid point. But I’m also not too confident with anything this winter. This winter has humbled and surprised a lot of us, and not in a good way more often than not. This is gonna morph some more most likely going forward…5 days out is a long time especially this winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: This is so beautiful heading into March. March 12 lol. March is not a winter month, winter is over, last snow we see etc etc. The fail army came out in full force this year. Where is our non resident Met? that could produce swfe, miller b, and even phasers witha split flow timed right. Friday starts 3 week winter stretch, maybe 4. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Well this is a valid point. But I’m also not too confident with anything this winter. This winter has humbled and surprised a lot of us, and not in a good way more often than not. This is gonna morph some more most likely going forward…5 days out is a long time especially this winter. With the last storm ,the models were still trending a day before lol The models have sucked a few days out this winter. I'm not sure why . I wouldn't be shocked if this did trend north or even trend south due to lack of blocking and a positive AO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Ginxy drinking the George koolaid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Ratios for places like you and Brian Jeff. I would'nt be surprised if we see some 15 to 18 totals when all is said and done.They come north UNLESS they Miller B..... 5 days out Ens Mean Edit put 06Z in had 00 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Ginxy drinking the George koolaid ? you wanted science we present science and you use conjecture, okey dokey 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 59 minutes ago, dryslot said: 06z GEFS ticked north as well. not here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Regional wars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: ? you wanted science we present science and you use conjecture, okey dokey 18”? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2022 Share Posted February 20, 2022 Dendrite hates to see it, Marchuary. Epic EPO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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