Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 33 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Let me know when I can collect from you and Noyes. Coots Cutters enroute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 37 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Not all of Maine. Im heading up this afternoon….northern Maine is buried, and they are under a winter storm warning as we speak for 5-11”. No worries from Presque Isle on up. Southern Maine got decimated. But they always do. Mine is not in the best shape but it survived, 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Mine is not in the best shape but it survived, Yup…I figured you’d survive there. Nice Jeff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 1 hour ago, wx2fish said: That one was a raging cutter at one point on all globals in the longer range. I think most of them have come in flatter, except the BGM cutter. This one did too, but it just didn't matter for NE. GFS had 15" for ORD at 60-72hr, and they ended up with 4". Well see next week, has a decent look for this range though. yeah... that's seems to be a leitmotif with the extended --> mid range ... as a 'correction tendency' this season - whether that's merely state of modeling, or something about the circulation manifold. I mentioned this myself when I first ventured the notion that this next Tuesday may in fact flatten - I was basing that entirely on what you said there ( bold ). I'm still not sold that Tuesday won't end up more icy down to southern VT/NH. I think a weaker/flatter system feeds-back that way. That's a huge load of polar high up there, and once those typical geographic feed-back barrier jets get going they're not likely to be correctly assessed for either onset timing or resistance from this range ( due to there sub synoptic grid resolution requirements blah blah ). Anyway, a flatter system has less WAA thrust, so you can get cold entrenched/dammed air to more resistant from lacking ablation. The other moving part in guidance is the that high pressure drapery up there. I'm seeing the guidance ( GFS) be quite sensitive between the cold wedge into S VT/NH, vs the strength of that high pressure. They moving in tandem run to run.. It's been like 3 mb and the CAD curvature backs just that little amount, the 32 isotherm goes 30 to 50 mi N. So, much of this colder BL thinking is predicated on that high pressure being there. If future guidance backs off signficantly/moves it off quicker to the east...fine - warm intrusion ends up CNE too. If not... not happening James. You got ice where you are, down to EEN-ASH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 25 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: That is pretty wild looking for tomorrow...wow. Some decent llvl CAPE too. ...and just like that, Wiz shows up when there's a hint of something severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: It really is amazing how one storm can wipe out snowpack to Maine . In one day . Feet wiped out Gone. Last evening, I still had a bit of the "pack" in some places. This morning it was like waking up to a desolate, waterlogged, sh.it brown landscape of doom. Just about 6 weeks of snow on the ground. In this pattern I guess I can't complain...I could, but no one is listening. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digityman Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 33 minutes ago, dryslot said: Nobody lost there pack other the the coast maybe lol I'm a mile off the coast in the woods. We still have 4-6" or so, maybe 8" in the woods. No grass poking out yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 I’ve had about 3 feet of snow in the last 30 days but you would never know it to look outside now. And there were some very cold nights in there too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 19 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yup…I figured you’d survive there. Nice Jeff. .23" of rain is all we had, Got as high as 58°F, Talked to my buddy in Eustis this morning, They made it to 46 but it was back down to low 30's and snowing, Same with Jackman, They are at 20°F and snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digityman Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Heading up to Saddleback and Sugarloaf Sunday for a few days. I think they should still be good - maybe a little icy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Christ about as windy now as it was last night. Heavy heavy gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 42 minutes ago, dryslot said: Nobody lost there pack other the the coast maybe lol It's even icier now than it was before. Like a Zamboni smoothed it out. Maybe one did? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Just now, MaineJayhawk said: It's even icier now than it was before. Like a Zamboni smoothed it out. Maybe one did? There is a lot of ice out no doub't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 17 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Gone. Last evening, I still had a bit of the "pack" in some places. This morning it was like waking up to a desolate, waterlogged, sh.it brown landscape of doom. Just about 6 weeks of snow on the ground. In this pattern I guess I can't complain...I could, but no one is listening. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: .23" of rain is all we had, Got as high as 58°F, Talked to my buddy in Eustis this morning, They made it to 46 but it was back down to low 30's and snowing, Same with Jackman, They are at 20°F and snow. Going to be some crap riding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Just now, mreaves said: Going to be some crap riding. I opted out of riding this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 wow, what a temp crash 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: I opted out of riding this weekend. even caribou trails got trashed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, mreaves said: Going to be some crap riding. jackman reports about 8" pack loss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Lava Rock said: jackman reports about 8" pack loss Peanuts, They will more then makeup for that over the next 10 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Only 0.19" rn. Pack took a hit, but still cover 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 34 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Gone. Last evening, I still had a bit of the "pack" in some places. This morning it was like waking up to a desolate, waterlogged, sh.it brown landscape of doom. Just about 6 weeks of snow on the ground. In this pattern I guess I can't complain...I could, but no one is listening. looks great out there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Fish just loves melting pack. Sicko 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 wiped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Fish just loves melting pack. Sicko It looks bleak in the Ottawa River valley if that is accurate up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Fish just loves melting pack. Sicko He is a well known warmista. Perhaps Boston can trade him to San Diego in a 3 way deal. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Saturday looks interesting with squalls, but it falls short of the highest events like 1/28/10. The biggest difference was an event like 2010 had saturation up to like 500mb...so you had the instability off the charts whereas tomorrow is more like up to 700mb and then it dries out above that. It's still very unstable but when you cap the cloud tops at H7 instead of H5 or higher, then it lowers the ceiling. But events like 2010 are a high bar...they happen maybe once or twice a decade. But tomorrow does check ALL the WINDEX parameters very well so I would be surprised if there weren't widespread squalls: 1. Big T difference (lapse rate) from sfc to H7 or H5 2. LL moisture pooling ahead of the front 3. Big lift (the primitive checklist used LI spike, but we know there's good lift around with soundings these days) 4. Strong positive PVA to help enhance the lift and concentrate it 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 42 minutes ago, dryslot said: I opted out of riding this weekend. 37 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: jackman reports about 8" pack loss The bigger problem will be the ice rink-like conditions until we get enough snow to groom them up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Cold Miser said: ...and just like that, Wiz shows up when there's a hint of something severe. Been pretty busy and there hasn't been much going on locally...and I've been spending some free time digging into the Northeast Snowstorm volumes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 39F here now with 20's not far behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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