CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 9 minutes ago, Allsnow said: She isn’t going to let us out… Kind of an overrunning look. That’s a lot of cold in Canada into central US. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Kind of an overrunning look. That’s a lot of cold in Canada into central US. Yeah…if the epo can keep pushing east would squeeze the tpv further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 21, 2022 Author Share Posted February 21, 2022 57.9 another great day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Kind of an overrunning look. That’s a lot of cold in Canada into central US. Kind of playing with fire with the SE Ridge there. GEPS completely obliterates the SE ridge to mid Florida. GEFS is the middle ground with the SE ridge just south of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 20 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Yeah…if the epo can keep pushing east would squeeze the tpv further south GEPS gets it pretty darn far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Here is the middle ground and in all honesty best case scenario (south enough to hinder SE ridge, north enough to mitigate suppression). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Kind of playing with fire with the SE Ridge there. GEPS completely obliterates the SE ridge to mid Florida. GEFS is the middle ground with the SE ridge just south of DC. Yeah, but the mean trough is so positively tilted, I don't think it means total cutter risk. Could be one of those deals that is like overrunning-->cutter-->mini Miller B...etc. It might not always be pretty....but given the time of year, I do want a nice supply of cold to my north. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 Weeklies are below normal through the equinox. They do have a brief break between about 3/3 and 3/7 or so kind of like the EPS do, but it reloads quickly. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 The signal for the 27 .. 29th has been there almost as long as this one currently being monitored, but it's been more so in principle than practice - meaning hinted, but not coherently shown. Some of the guidance is closer to doing so, but like Superstorm93's post is close but still just a hint. My take on that is that the gradient is too much. The N/stream would like come down and subsume phase type, but the lower latitude curvature has too many isohypses and the wind velocity is out pacing - it's complex but it can't sync up that way. ...For the time being There also another signal around 2-4th of Mar. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 2 hours ago, EastonSN+ said: Kind of playing with fire with the SE Ridge there. GEPS completely obliterates the SE ridge to mid Florida. GEFS is the middle ground with the SE ridge just south of DC. Mid Atlantic is probably cooked with that look but it’s good for us since we are farther north. The se ridge prevent suppression, mid Atlantic rains while we get buried. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The signal for the 27 .. 29th has been there almost as long as this one currently being monitored, but it's been more so in principle than practice - meaning hinted, but not coherently shown. Some of the guidance is closer to doing so, but like Superstorm93's post is close but still just a hint. My take on that is that the gradient is too much. The N/stream would like come down and subsume phase type, but the lower latitude curvature has too many isohypses and the wind velocity is out pacing - it's complex but it can't sync up that way. ...For the time being There also another signal around 2-4th of Mar. 28 days in Feb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 21, 2022 Share Posted February 21, 2022 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 28 days in Feb Well.. Except for a leap year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: 28 days in Feb Heh typo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 hour ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Well.. Except for a leap year 2024.....(leap year...I thought the same) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 We FZFG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 The next storm Sunday / Monday is on life support.. if that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The next storm Sunday / Monday is on life support.. if that Way too early to say this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 39 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Way too early to say this Nah it's on life support. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nah it's on life support. I'm going to bump this There is a PNA spike. That should help pump the heights. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Pea soup out there today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 SE ridge keeps getting stronger on GEFS and GEPS. Being south CT not too happy bout that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I'm going to bump this There is a PNA spike. That should help pump the heights. The only spikes are your stop spikes to catch Antifa speeding away in their Prius. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The only spikes are your stop spikes to catch Antifa speeding away in their Prius. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 37 already. What little pack I have left is screaming for daddy like Luke Skywalker being electrocuted by the Emperor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Nah it's on life support. Winter a couple weeks ago was on life support too…lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Nah it's on life support. This surely won’t backfire a week out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 The ridge out west looks very good but right now the guidance doesn’t want to phase the energy. With that upper air pattern though this storm has a chance to come back. Even if it misses guidance is hinting at a vigorous shortwave behind it, could lead to a threat in the March 2-4 period Tip mentioned earlier. We would need the shortwave to dig more, but the upper air pattern suggests it has room to do so. So that would be 3 threats over the next 10 days, active pattern ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: This surely won’t backfire a week out Agreed. Winter was over after the second week of February..was all we kept hearing. This season and everything associated with it has been declared dead more than Michael Meyers and Jason Voorhees from Halloween and Friday the 13th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: This surely won’t backfire a week out Life Support doesn't mean it's dead....but I am only getting a very weak pulse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 22, 2022 Share Posted February 22, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Life Support doesn't mean it's dead....but I am only getting a very weak pulse. Yea. I'm sure it will tease over the next couple days and eventually deliver low end advisory snows for semaatt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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