Cold Miser Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Euro is rather warm for the storm that the gfs has mostly wintry weather later next week. So snow is not a lock. I can always count on you to bring me down. Luckily its pizza and whiskey Friday, and a 3 day weekend as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 I guess this is a good signal for overrunning? Each run the SE ridge is a little stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I guess this is a good signal for overrunning? Each run the SE ridge is a little stronger. We don't want the ridge too strong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 16 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I guess this is a good signal for overrunning? Each run the SE ridge is a little stronger. GEFS have more SE ridging which is a risk, If this becomes more EPO instead of PNA. I mentioned a few days ago that if convection stays more maritime continent it will not be more PNA driven. That said, EPS still looks great. I would set expectations as being a scenario where latitude matters. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 We squall tomorrow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 1 hour ago, klw said: Currently 55 in West Lebanon and 28 in Barre. 43 here This was issued by BTV at 5:15 this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 14 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: Maybe I was just really tired but I didn’t hear a single gust last night? The last wind storm woke me up promptly. The Squall line was a dud too. It's been crazy windy here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: GEFS have more SE ridging which is a risk. If this becomes more EPO instead of PNA. I mentioned a few days ago that if convection stays more maritime continent it will not be more PNA driven. That said, EPS still looks great. I would set expectations as being a scenario where latitude matters. Thanks. I am close the south coast which would be problematic for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Just now, EastonSN+ said: Thanks. I am close the south coast which would be problematic for me. It doesn’t mean it has to work out that way. Just keeping it real and hoping for the best. Next Friday is a strong signal either way. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Does DIT install in time for next Wed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 18, 2022 Author Share Posted February 18, 2022 up to a gorgeous 60.1, sad to see it go but it'll be back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 7 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I guess this is a good signal for overrunning? Each run the SE ridge is a little stronger. Euro is a WAR special. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Does DIT install in time for next Wed? That looks like 65-70 with dews near 60? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, cut said: Euro is a WAR special. I guess the 7 - 10 day period is not SE ridge now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Quite the rain squall now...picked up a quick .2 in about 10 mins. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 I still think it looks more icy than snowy anywhere in SNE next Friday. Think back to Feb 4 when GFS was cold and snowy and Euro wasn’t . Who won that one? Swfe don’t trend south 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 That said 6z EPS looks colder, but it doesn’t go out past hr 144. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 29 minutes ago, 512high said: Chris there has to be a river flowing down Timberland drive and Browning Ave lol.. Hello buried potholes... There's a reason I didn't go out for coffee this morning. Those are two of my ways off the hill. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 11 minutes ago, cut said: Euro is a WAR special. Euro has been too amplified all winter and gfs too flat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Sun trying, down to 53, few gust, wasn't all that impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Now that we have flipped over to CAA, we rip (compared to last night). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 Almost as bad as grinch here. Temps were at 60/50 for a while last night during the rain. That’s a pack killer. 6-8” left with some bare spots on the southern side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 GEPS looks a bit better than GEFS wrt the SE Ridge. Maybe the best compromise right now between the EPS and GEFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 29 minutes ago, dendrite said: It happens. We only see it now because of weenie point-click soundings on the hires models. I have been looking at soundings for decades lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 EPS and GEFS both snowy times ahead after the thaw. Good stuff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 23 minutes ago, JC-CT said: It's been crazy windy here 57 mph gust in your town I am in. Ripping on the hill and now CAA expect some more good gusts. Tree down on 14 103 intersection with wires across the road in the dark was a wake up. Just able to go around 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 I know everyone hates the wheel charts for the MJO. However it explains the difference between EPS and GEFS. EPS drops into the COD while GEFS is robust into phase 5 by March 4th. Hence the SE ridge on the GEFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: GEPS looks a bit better than GEFS wrt the SE Ridge. Maybe the best compromise right now between the EPS and GEFS? Yeah EPS might be too wild. Still a good look. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I still think it looks more icy than snowy anywhere in SNE next Friday. Think back to Feb 4 when GFS was cold and snowy and Euro wasn’t . Who won that one? Swfe don’t trend south That one was a raging cutter at one point on all globals in the longer range. I think most of them have come in flatter, except the BGM cutter. This one did too, but it just didn't matter for NE. GFS had 15" for ORD at 60-72hr, and they ended up with 4". Well see next week, has a decent look for this range though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted February 18, 2022 Share Posted February 18, 2022 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro has been too amplified all winter and gfs too flat Going to Tahoe on Tuesday for a week, both models have been trending better with that appendix looking trough over the Sierra. One model (I forget which) almost breaks off the western ridge and digs a low underneath about a week or so out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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