Cold Miser Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: About a mile above your head Useless then. Plus I misread the knots as well, and not mph. So, fail all around on my part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 46 minutes ago, White Rain said: We picked up about 4” of fluff on top of this and the map shows 0-2”. See that happen frequently after a melt out. It seems to over model the melting of the dense pack. Or under model the amount of LE. Just my observation. IIRC there’s a spatial element to it where it’s estimating pack density based on observations. The satellite remote sensing detects the water content and then the raw obs are fit to it and the gaps are filled in. So fresh new powder gets underestimated. That was years ago though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 37 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Weeklies went cold too for the first half of March. I’m seeing a lot of people writing off winter, wayyyyy too early. Honestly, I’d be surprised if we don’t get at least one more significant storm (6+) before spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 56 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Which is kinda what you want - no? I want to see through the aesthetic. I mean I guess…but you could just view the other products from NOHRSC like the SWE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 13 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Useless then. Plus I misread the knots as well, and not mph. So, fail all around on my part. Screamer ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Screamer ! Probably inverted except for typical 50-60 stuff in usual spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, George001 said: I’m seeing a lot of people writing off winter, wayyyyy too early. Honestly, I’d be surprised if we don’t get at least one more significant storm (6+) before spring. I’d love for it to end, but every nonweenie knows we have 2 months to go. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Just now, dendrite said: I’d love for it to end, but every nonweenie knows we have 2 months to go. Yeah although climo isn’t quite as favorable as late Jan to early Feb, March is without question a winter month. I don’t know what the exact data is for this, but it seems like in SNE it’s easier to get a big March than a big December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 2 hours ago, Lava Rock said: I need ~30" to reach avg I need 90” to reach average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 14, 2022 Author Share Posted February 14, 2022 18 minutes ago, dendrite said: I’d love for it to end, but every nonweenie knows we have 2 months to go. yeah at the resorts, but here 40's and 50's, sometimes 60's with occasional snow and cold is not a winter month. Occasionally we get a wintry March but about as often as we torch it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 16 minutes ago, George001 said: Yeah although climo isn’t quite as favorable as late Jan to early Feb, March is without question a winter month. I don’t know what the exact data is for this, but it seems like in SNE it’s easier to get a big March than a big December. It’s easier to get a big March than a big December. The empirical data backs that up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Gonna have to waste some of that energy too on melting pack rather than heating up the surface. Even if the pack melts out near NH border earlier, the air is still going to be traveling over snow pack in MA in RI/E CT to get there. lol that wont be a problem here should warm quick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Lots of the more recent runs seem to be trending the Friday system to be drier than previously modeled... The GGEM is still the coldest model-but others seem to support a drier trend-especially for SNE and the tri-state area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 It's cute that the GFS tries to give not one but 2 cutters for the biggest ski week of the year in NNE. I just noticed the system out at 240hours end of next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 38 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I need 90” to reach average. what your avg? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 45 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I need 90” to reach average. I need 11.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 48 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I need 90” to reach average. 90" more or is 90" your average? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Damage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Man with these Temps and BLSN, sure looks and feels like deep winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 48 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: what your avg? 185"-ish but the records only go back to 2009 so a short window. The yearly totals vary between a cluster around 200-250 and a cluster around 100-150. So it's a feast or "famine" setup it seems, usually. This winter and the last clearly in the latter camp. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 2 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said: yeah, it's March '15-esque. would be an active overrunning look if it were to verify Absolutely an interesting setup. The winter cancel folks .... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Absolutely an interesting setup. The winter cancel folks .... big gradient with cold lurking .. could be fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 60 Thursday and Friday.. and 55-65 all next week after the weekend cool down. Everything will start greening by next week 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 55 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: what your avg? 44 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: 90" more or is 90" your average? His average is something like 180" or at least that was the CoCoRahs station near him 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: I need 90” to reach average. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: 7 Lots of Ginxy BLSN today. Your kind of day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Lots of Ginxy BLSN today. Your kind of day. Lots of warmth and blowing limbs Thursday night. Your kind of night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: I need 90” to reach average. Maybe 60” around here at home, and the mountain needs a good 150”+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Lots of Ginxy BLSN today. Your kind of day. Deep deep winter day. Got some wind burn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 I’m feeling much more optimistic about winter than I was a few days ago with the big overperformer yesterday and positive trends on the models for the long range. Boston already has had more snow than all of last year (I believe Boston finished with just under 40 last year) and we have a month and a half left of winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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