TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 11:52 AM, MJO812 said: Eps and gefs moving in the right direction for the vday weekend storm Expand Yawn. Needs a ton of work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 11:53 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yawn. Needs a ton of work Expand 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 She’s not gonna work out for most. Best case is a glancing rub for sema. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 12:13 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: She’s not gonna work out for most. Best case is a glancing rub for sema. Expand Way too early to say that 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 5:09 AM, Ginx snewx said: Where do you get Greenfields ave? Expand Well, that’s the problem. There’s no co-op here so I go by what the DPW says and what one of the local retired weather guy says. For all I know, historically it could be closer to 70 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 12:27 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: Well, that’s the problem. There’s no co-op here so I go by what the DPW says and what one of the local retired weather guy says. For all I know, historically it could be closer to 70 inches. Expand Hey apparently there actually is an observer in Greenfield since 2000 but lots of missing data in key years 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 Euro now has the MJO going through 2 . Never showed that before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 12:42 PM, MJO812 said: Euro now has the MJO going through 2 . Never showed that before. Expand Who cares 1 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 12:42 PM, MJO812 said: Euro now has the MJO going through 2 . Never showed that before. Expand I just picture you like the beginning I’d the video in the cruiser with candles lit as you look at the MJO progs. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 12:19 PM, MJO812 said: Way too early to say that Expand We typically start seeing hits at this lead time and there hasn’t been any. The WAR may help get this close enough but the shortwave phasing just isn’t there. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 1:05 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We typically start seeing hits at this lead time and there hasn’t been any. The WAR may help get this close enough but the shortwave phasing just isn’t there. Meh. Expand We did see hits on Saturday. Could be the phantom phase where the models lose the storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 12:19 PM, MJO812 said: Way too early to say that Expand Keep posting what the modeling shows Ant. If we side on the negative side, more often than not we’ll be right. But that only works until it doesn’t. So hey, post away cuz isn’t this what this thread is meant for? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 12:48 PM, CoastalWx said: Who cares Expand So you think MJO is Bullshit? Voodoo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 1:18 PM, WinterWolf said: So you think MJO is Bullshit? Voodoo? Expand I just think people worship it a little too much. Also those diagrams he uses can be affected by other things that drive what it shows. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 1:30 AM, CoastalWx said: A state divided. Hate to see it. Expand Build a wall along the river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 1:17 PM, WinterWolf said: Keep posting what the modeling shows Ant. If we side on the negative side, more often than not we’ll be right. But that only works until it doesn’t. So hey, post away cuz isn’t this what this thread is meant for? Expand The ‘negative side’ is also telling you what the models show lol…it’s just not what some want to hear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 12:48 PM, CoastalWx said: Who cares Expand Exactly my thoughts...if you're left clinging to the MJO like a life raft in mid February, its probably time to focus on next season. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 12:13 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: She’s not gonna work out for most. Best case is a glancing rub for sema. Expand I’ll take a dry hump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 ...Such an awesome, past 5 / 6 days. Book ends of rain, sandwiching wasted winter cold...and now, nothing to really look forward to. Get me the F*ck out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 Why so dismissive of mid Feb. Big PNA spike, a follow-up shortwave moving up the coast. There's ensemble support at least. I wouldn't write it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 1:35 PM, SnoSki14 said: Why so dismissive of mid Feb. Big PNA spike, a follow-up shortwave moving up the coast. There's ensemble support at least. I wouldn't write it off. Expand It has tepid support...it's not dead, but it's gonna need some better trends today though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 1:27 PM, dendrite said: I’ll take a dry hump. Expand The rooster gets what the rooster wants. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 12:34 PM, Ginx snewx said: Hey apparently there actually is an observer in Greenfield since 2000 but lots of missing data in key years Expand His or her numbers do not match mine, too low and I am very conservative with my measurements. i’ll do a comparison and post it this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 4:58 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wow, you average what I do? I never would have guessed that.... Expand You average more than him....he's going on just the last 30 years. Best I can see is that Reading is about 65-66" in the last 30 years but that is trying to guesstimate with some missing data in key years like 1995-1996 and 2002-2003. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 1:35 PM, SnoSki14 said: Why so dismissive of mid Feb. Big PNA spike, a follow-up shortwave moving up the coast. There's ensemble support at least. I wouldn't write it off. Expand I guess some are fatigued. I can understand. It’s been a lousy run for some of us. But there’s no getting out on 2/8 when you live in Southern New England. So it’s gonna be a long few months. Cuz after the next 6 weeks passes, and the snow chances are gone at the end of March, we have another 6 weeks of damp raw misery mist for the most part. So while it’s still very much winter, and the height of it at that, doesn’t hurt to check in once in a while, and see if anything interesting is brewing. I wouldn’t be wasting much time in here, but a check doesn’t hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 1:42 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: His or her numbers do not match mine, too low and I am very conservative with my measurements. i’ll do a comparison and post it this afternoon. Expand Most coop stations are too low because the observer probably just measures once per day regardless of when the storm ends. There are no reliable ones near you best I can tell. The old Ashfield coop was good but they stopped reporting a while back and they are also higher up at 1300 feet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 1:40 PM, ORH_wxman said: It has tepid support...it's not dead, but it's gonna need some better trends today though. Expand It’s going to take a Feb17 like move where it was whiffing until inside 84hr when it started to come together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 1:43 PM, WinterWolf said: I guess some are fatigued. I can understand. It’s been a lousy run for some of us. But there’s no getting out on 2/8 when you live in Southern New England. So it’s gonna be a long few months. Cuz after the next 6 weeks passes, and the snow chances are gone at the end of March, we have another 6 weeks of damp raw misery mist for the most part. So while it’s still very much winter, and the height of it at that, doesn’t hurt to check in once in a while, and see if anything interesting is brewing. I wouldn’t be wasting much time in here, but a check doesn’t hurt. Expand We are less than a month from meteorological spring. Snow in March isnt the same as snow in January...whatever falls in March has an expiration date of under a week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 1:43 PM, ORH_wxman said: You average more than him....he's going on just the last 30 years. Best I can see is that Reading is about 65-66" in the last 30 years but that is trying to guesstimate with some missing data in key years like 1995-1996 and 2002-2003. Expand 1995-1996 is 127.5" 2002-2003 is 86.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 On 2/8/2022 at 1:48 PM, JC-CT said: We are less than a month from meteorological spring. Snow in March isnt the same as snow in January...whatever falls in March has an expiration date of under a week. Expand Especially since it looks like Morch 2012 is about to come knocking on doors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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