dendrite Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah op def the outlier in the Euro suite . 6 days to go . Nothing will change 4 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: 4 days Friday? 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Friday? 5 Starts precipitating there on the euro after 96hr. But whatever...it's really under 4 days because we're more concerned about temps than precip and the temp gradient becomes a problem much sooner. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Dude...the euro is free now. Take a glance at it. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 19 minutes ago, dendrite said: Dude...the euro is free now. Take a glance at it. It’s easier to believe in a storm if you don’t see the model runs . Mo’ data mo’ problems. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Eh, it was a D5-6 prog that changed. I’d be more impressed if it was inside of 100 hours. I remember even back in its heyday, the euro had the 12/19/08 storm as a 60F cutter trough Ottawa at 138 hours. Next run it was a snowstorm and more or less held serve for the next 5 days. @dendrite @powderfreak 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: @dendrite @powderfreak What does that have to do with knowing vs not knowing how long it is until a modeled event starts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 18z ICON has a ice storm here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: @dendrite @powderfreak lol...it doesn't really matter. It's definitely not d6 though. Light precip moves in Thu aftn and it's moving out Fri aftn. But again, we'll know if we're screwed with temps sooner than that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 27 minutes ago, JC-CT said: What does that have to do with knowing vs not knowing how long it is until a modeled event starts? lol...I mean I know what he's doing, but I know he knows what I mean too. All I care about is the amount of hours from model initialization. At 126hr from the 12z euro he's basically done precipitating. He looks at it like, it's Sunday and he'll be precipitating Friday so that's 5 days. He's special like that. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: lol...I mean I know what he's doing, but I know he knows what I mean too. All I care about is the amount of hours from model initialization. At 126hr from the 12z euro he's basically done precipitating. He looks at it like, it's Sunday and he'll be precipitating Friday so that's 5 days. He's special like that. If it was snow, you bet your ass it is 4 days out though. Flakes Thursday 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 18z goofus is a tick colder in NNE, but that southern system looks more amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 GFS looks awesome here. Lock it in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 SWFE on the 18z GFS CNE/NNE 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 An "easy" 15-20. No complicated setup. Just a firehose of moisture running the boundary. Models are in great agreement right now for this range. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: SWFE on the 18z GFS CNE/NNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Decided to start a dedicated thread for this threat: 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, PhineasC said: GFS looks awesome here. Lock it in. It may get this right, Its not a coastal lol 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 lol at this sounding around ORH before it's over... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: SWFE on the 18z GFS CNE/NNE Would love that icestorm here. Please happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Slowed down the onset of precip as well. That is good for me. The ice, not so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: It may get this right, Its not a coastal lol Up here at least, it's very close to the Euro and even the reviled GGEM (the latter is way overdone on precip but has the same idea). That's great agreement at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Half an inch of ice here on the Pivotal maps... not that I trust those Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 minute ago, PhineasC said: Up here at least, it's very close to the Euro and even the reviled GGEM (the latter is way overdone on precip but has the same idea). That's great agreement at this range. Has the potential to be back to back double digits here, Been a while for that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: lol at this sounding around ORH before it's over... That’s a 1994 sounding. Pretty hard to get that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Wish we could get this 75 miles south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Has the potential to be back to back double digits here, Been a while for that. Solid 14-18" snowstorm for a lot of NNE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: That’s a 1994 sounding. Pretty hard to get that. Look at that HP. How can the Euro cut into that beast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Half an inch of ice here on the Pivotal maps... not that I trust those Yeah, the real ice is up your way on that run. TT 6 hour precip + ptype in time is not going to be an accurate reflection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 30, 2022 Share Posted January 30, 2022 Ice here? Sell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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