Paleocene Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 After that cutter, CONUS goes into the freezer on the Euro. Pretty similar temp wise to the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Cold as bleep though. Has a nice looking pattern at 240 just dumps the whole trough into the east and squashes everything. A bit too much of a good thing. I'll bank on that being overdone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 The GEM is similar to the GFS only a few hours later. They are the new tag team................ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 18 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Sorry guys. Duty called. 17 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Doesn't have shit I see what you are doing here . 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: I see what you are doing here . Must have been a wrong number Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 N. Pacific pattern is wobbling more than normal. Usually a +400dm -PNA on LR models doesn't vary a lot, become weaker or stronger, but we went all the way to West coast-ridge/Aleutian trough +PNA in 1 model run. We are going back and forth between balancing December, and consistently having -PNA N. Pacific High. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 41 minutes ago, stormy said: 2 consecutive similar runs for the GFS at this lead time is impressive Not when you're the King... that's peasant play 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: N. Pacific pattern is wobbling more than normal. Usually a +400dm -PNA on LR models doesn't vary a lot, become weaker or stronger, but we went all the way to West coast-ridge/Aleutian trough +PNA in 1 model run. We are going back and forth between balancing December, and consistently having -PNA N. Pacific High. Dygdfttrt hdssryv kfduttedf gfssrgc jggr sswe igddtt doirdfg hdstfrrcv 10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 ^stupid person 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, StormchaserChuck! said: N. Pacific pattern is wobbling more than normal. Usually a +400dm -PNA on LR models doesn't vary a lot, become weaker or stronger, but we went all the way to West coast-ridge/Aleutian trough +PNA in 1 model run. We are going back and forth between balancing December, and consistently having -PNA N. Pacific High. Just now, psuhoffman said: Dygdfttrt hdssryv kfduttedf gfssrgc jggr sswe igddtt doirdfg hdstfrrcv 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 14 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Dygdfttrt hdssryv kfduttedf gfssrgc jggr sswe igddtt doirdfg hdstfrrcv Hhhmmm... Quick google translation says -PNA. Am I close? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 20 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Dygdfttrt hdssryv kfduttedf gfssrgc jggr sswe igddtt doirdfg hdstfrrcv I stared at this line for a good, long while and actually began to see some Shakespeare in there! And that 2+2=5. Perhaps a bit of Chaucer as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 27, 2022 Author Share Posted January 27, 2022 No mention of the euro. I know why. No mention of the eps. Hmmm … Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 9 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: No mention of the euro. I know why. No mention of the eps. Hmmm … Euro is the new Goofus, who cares 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Yeesh, natural gas futures sure think the cold is coming. At one point up over 60% just today, still up about 40% for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 15 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: No mention of the euro. I know why. No mention of the eps. Hmmm … I think it’s supportive of the idea we want. These temps with this precip profile… but besides the fact they’ve sucked the eps also is all over right now. Gone through some radical shifts day 7-10 lately (not even way out in the 10-15 range we know is fantasy) and there is a huge amount of variability in members now. So I’d lean with gefs for now. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 What is the gefs showing, have not seen it posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anyweather Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Encouraging, yes? 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 42 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: What is the gefs showing, have not seen it posted scroll back. look for pink. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 60’s the day before, what could go wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: scroll back. look for pink. I think I might be blind but don't see the GEFS output, are the ensembles showing anything or were they just not posted. I see the GFS main run though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 18 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: I think I might be blind but don't see the GEFS output, are the ensembles showing anything or were they just not posted. I see the GFS main run though. last 10 days of the run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 11 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: last 10 days of the run Absolutely love the E-W orientation of the gradient along with blue pushing into NC. Yet another piece of data supporting a broad/cold trough with shortwaves undercutting and bumping into it as they move more horizontal instead of vertical. I love this stuff. Next best thing to a classic block/coastal setup. The way to get a big storm is a 1-2 punch or just having something really elongated and aiming a hose at us for 24-36 hours. No CCB or "violence". Just steady mod snow for hours with light winds. Sounds terrible right? Lol. If a big storm were to happen in the next 2 weeks, that's the way. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Ok, we can do some gfs pbp, although it really doesn't mean anything at this range...but we're all kinda hopeful so...here we go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Again, this far out, gonna keep things simple. The vort that was out west at 12z is weakend. A lot. Almost looks like some remnant vorticity. That was the spark that kicked off 12z, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Definitely different. Not in a good way. I'm at 174. At 12z, we could start to see where it was going. With this run, broad U shaped trof in the. Ohio Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Very Euro-esque Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 It's a dumpster fire. But, cold as a mfer. Cold front pushes through at 183. Dry af. Broad dump of cold air behind it. Again..Euro-esque Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 I cannot overstate how ugly and vastly different it is. Gonna bail after 240. So far, nothing interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 Picture a big ass letter U. That's your H5 over most of the country at 201. I hate it here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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