Maestrobjwa Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, snowfan said: Wide right. Minimal snowfall in the dc area. Wouldn't necessarily say "wide" right...still closer than last night, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: The important thing here guys is the trends are positive. Everything so far is trending the way we want. And we're 4.5 days out Have to agree with you. + the new JMA is a shellacking I'd bet so we're looking good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, DDweatherman said: Yesterday JMA vs today, sweet run Lock it up. @Ji says JMA sniffs out the big dogs! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @stormtracker it’s much better than 0z euro at h5. We’re still far enough out that is more important than surface details. I agree. Look at the front side of the western ridge. It’s further west and almost vertical. If that energy in the sw had been a little deeper it would have been a much bigger hit IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, snowfan said: Wide right. Minimal snowfall in the dc area. Considering the euro had it just n of Bermuda this time yesterday I take this 12z as a big win....BIG win . The euro usually doesn't jump this much so thats the signal. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yup, said that earlier. Definitely better The surface changes didn’t do the improvements Justice. It’s worlds apart. 12z euro h5 would argue there a lot more room for a better surface outcome even without much change there. 12z v 0z 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It's basically a typical Miller B. NYC and BOS do well and we get scraps. I don’t see this at all. Hopefully someone can explain how this is a Miller B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: I agree. Look at the front side of the western ridge. It’s further west and almost vertical. If that energy in the sw had been a little deeper it would have been a much bigger hit IMO. If the EURO had kicked out the s/w out in the SW... hello big hit IMO 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: Have to agree with you. + the new JMA is a shellacking I'd bet so we're looking good If only the JMA wasn't a JV model. That map is pretty awesome tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: I don’t see this at all. Hopefully someone can explain how this is a Miller B I'm also confused about this...I mean maybe I'm not clear on the definition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: I don’t see this at all. Hopefully someone can explain how this is a Miller B Huh??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: If only the JMA wasn't a JV model. That map is pretty awesome tho And the next frame is a 978 over SE mass, 100 miles west of where it was last run so we take it as a trend at worst lol. The Euro just improved vastly at h5 regardless so that gets a thumbs up from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 I also like the idea of a bombing cyclone in the east as it could set up a 50/50 for a future storm for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 7 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Do you want to do a zoom tonight for the 0z GFS? Sure 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Huh??? How is this a Miller b? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 I always thought a Miller be with a northern stream event that would transfer to the coast usually just above our latitude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 4 minutes ago, CAPE said: Looks like Dec 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The surface changes didn’t do the improvements Justice. It’s worlds apart. 12z euro h5 would argue there a lot more room for a better surface outcome even without much change there. 12z v 0z Ha, we say a ridge axis over Boise is ideal. Couple more runs and we might have an omega block over Boise. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 First model that I have seen close off at 500 south of us. Could be wrong about that though. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I don’t see this at all. Hopefully someone can explain how this is a Miller B looks like a miller B, but the trough is digging far enough south to where we actually have a chance as opposed to some redeveloping clipper off the coast of maryland/delaware. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Wonderdog said: I always thought a Miller be with a northern stream event that would transfer to the coast usually just above our latitude That's also my understanding. Also thought that pure Miller B's didn't have a southern component either. And although the connection has been sloppy (although trending less sloppy now), it's still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: How is this a Miller b? come on @WxUSAF Settle this. Why else do you think we keep you around? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: First model that I have seen close off at 500 south of us. Could be wrong about that though. Give us that on an axis 100 miles west or essentially 6 hours sooner and see what happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said: Looks like Dec 2010 Oh, you're still here? After that whack ass post yesterday telling us this was basically over, I thought you had skipped town? 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: How is this a Miller b? It's a Miller C. Honestly I think the labels add nothing. Who cares. We can all see the evolution at h5 and the surface. Describe the depiction in that context, and that's what it is. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said: Looks like Dec 2010 Except that it doesn't. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: It's a Miller C. Honestly I think the labels add nothing. Who cares. We can all see the evolution at h5 and the surface. Describe the depiction in that context, and that's what it is. Miller D for disappointment. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 For me, I liked seeing this. All still comes down to timing but this is nice 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 painful run man---dec 30,2000 was traumatizing for me and it looks like i have to go through it again 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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