Solution Man Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: Whoops! I meant to say it looked closer to the 00z CMC (not GFS) I knew what you meant…Canadian syrup leads the way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Boom 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, yoda said: You could see the Major changes coming by 96 Yeah even on the precip panel at that hour you could see it, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 WB 6Z GFS 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Good stuff this morning, maybe a Macallan 18 week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 GEFS is about to go insane. better ridging out west leads to better angular momentum for the NS vort and phasing is more evident on the mean 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 WOW 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 WB 6Z GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 4 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 6 hours ago, TSSN+ said: The hell is this? lol. Now there’s inland lows modeled too. Good 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 hour ago, CAPE said: The folks around Winchester who were ready to bail are now saying 'this baby is right where we want it'. I was never ready to bail. I have said, and will definitely pull the post back up if it happens lol, that we would know today. All I’ve said was that what was being advertised would not work here. I don’t even know if it’s possible, but somehow this thing still has to dig/phase about 200 miles west of where it is. I was encouraged by the gefs at 0z with some inland lows. Would love to have seen how it did it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 49 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: WOW I’d feel good if I was in your location 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 23 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GEFS. P10 looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 I’ll take this if I may 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 7 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I was never ready to bail. I have said, and will definitely pull the post back up if it happens lol, that we would know today. All I’ve said was that what was being advertised would not work here. I don’t even know if it’s possible, but somehow this thing still has to dig/phase about 200 miles west of where it is. I was encouraged by the gefs at 0z with some inland lows. Would love to have seen how it did it. Yeah, good trends but I’m keeping expectations in check for now. We all know the pitfalls of this kinda setup for everyone SW of Philly. Not saying we can’t get a storm of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I’d feel good if I was in your location The trends have been great so far. Today is our day out west. We need another day of good trends for us and then we can all lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 11 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Yeah, good trends but I’m keeping expectations in check for now. We all know the pitfalls of this kinda setup for everyone SW of Philly. Not saying we can’t get a storm of course. Right, keep expectations in check but take solace in the fact that this signal has been around about a week or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 40 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GEFS. A few so wound up the cities flirt with rain. So help me Chuck... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 19 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I’ll take this if I may I'm guessing you want the h5 to move from the bigger circle to the smaller one in this image? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Never give up!!!!!! What a nice thing to wake up to. 12z is gonna be YUUUUGE. We're back baby! 5 1 4 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Never give up!!!!!! What a nice thing to wake up to. 12z is gonna be YUUUUGE. We're back baby! Wake up. I didn’t know that you sleep. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 17 minutes ago, yoda said: I'm guessing you want the h5 to move from the bigger circle to the smaller one in this image? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 7 minutes ago, Interstate said: Wake up. I didn’t know that you sleep. I've been known to do it from time to time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I've been known to do it from time to time. It’s ok, it happens even to the best of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Waiting for the last frames of the 06z EURO... but can already tell the westward movement by hour 84 compared to 00z 90 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 06z EURO h5 at 90 00z EURO h5 at 96 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 52 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I was never ready to bail. I have said, and will definitely pull the post back up if it happens lol, that we would know today. All I’ve said was that what was being advertised would not work here. I don’t even know if it’s possible, but somehow this thing still has to dig/phase about 200 miles west of where it is. I was encouraged by the gefs at 0z with some inland lows. Would love to have seen how it did it. It was just a general post and not directed at you lol. Just having a little fun with those that seem to think operational models have it figured out 6 days out. Like I said yesterday, we get NS energy phasing in sooner this could end up a rain/snow deal for the coast and better inland. Still plenty of time. The ultimate outcome is unknown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: we get NS energy phasing in sooner This is the key. I think it’s import to get them closer longitudinally also. I had just taken @yoda post to illustrate that west is important for both pieces, not just the southern piece. Again, just my uninformed opinion. Top is the 6z 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2022 Author Share Posted January 24, 2022 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: It was just a general post and not directed at you lol. Just having a little fun with those that seem to think operational models have it figured out 6 days out. Like I said yesterday, we get NS energy phasing in sooner this could end up a rain/snow deal for the coast and better inland. Still plenty of time. The ultimate outcome is unknown. Lol yeah I knew you weren’t directing that at me. I don’t trust an op solution at one day much less 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 It was just a general post and not directed at you lol. Just having a little fun with those that seem to think operational models have it figured out 6 days out. Like I said yesterday, we get NS energy phasing in sooner this could end up a rain/snow deal for the coast and better inland. Still plenty of time. The ultimate outcome is unknown.Without 50 50 low and-nao....ive seen alot of east stuff trend west in our location...usually to screw us lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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