NorthArlington101 Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 GEFS was a massive shift toward a snowier solution. Still too tipsy to post maps but trust me edit: snow map verbatim, I see others have covered the better maps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 The op is by far the most eastern member Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, TSSN+ said: Just hopefully out of nowhere this doesn’t become congrats Cleveland again. Haha If we fail, we likely fail either far out to sea or the typical Miller b screw job with too late of a bomb out and nyc to Boston gets smacked. Far too progressive of a flow to see an apps cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ji said: The op is by far the most eastern member That was the same for the MLK storm too (but OP was most western). at least the OPs aren’t all in agreement with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Got to wait for the models to fold and go to ens and Cmc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Go back since 18z saturday: You gotta love to see it. Few more ticks west and it’d be game on. Overall trend is clear as day tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Where is will with the gefs map and our 20% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, jayyy said: You gotta love to see it. Few more ticks west and it’d be game on. Overall trend is clear as day tonight. Awaiting the Euro to come piss in our Wheaties 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 You gotta love to see it. Few more ticks west and it’d be game on. Overall trend is clear as day tonight. Until the euro shows a 1013 low in bermuda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, Ji said: 1 minute ago, jayyy said: You gotta love to see it. Few more ticks west and it’d be game on. Overall trend is clear as day tonight. Until the euro shows a 1013 low in bermuda Africa 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 These bombs in va are interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 These bombs in va are interesting 18z va bombs(See im funny leesburg) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 no point staying up for the Euro. Just skip to 6z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 18 minutes ago, Vice-Regent said: There's your GFS and model cold bias hard at work setting up @clskinsfan for a mauling. This has rainstorm written all over it just like Chuck said. Do we just let the trolls run amok for fun? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 @Ji This setup reminds me a bit of the early Feb 1995 storm (see below). That was a +AO/NAO pac driven pattern. Very similar progression wrt the NS with a weak STJ wave also. If I recall that was a decent storm for us but obviously had bigger totals to our north. But that’s kinda a best case scenario for this storm type and what we should be rooting for here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, IUsedToHateCold said: Do we just let the trolls run amok for fun? You are positioned well for this storm the only downside is it will be a fast mover without any blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 [mention=514]Ji[/mention] This setup reminds me a bit of the early Feb 1995 storm (see below). That was a +AO/NAO pac driven pattern. Very similar progression wrt the NS with a weak STJ wave also. If I recall that was a decent storm for us but obviously had bigger totals to our north. But that’s kinda a best case scenario for this storm type and what we should be rooting for here. I think i got 8 from that and it was my only event lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @Ji This setup reminds me a bit of the early Feb 1995 storm (see below). That was a +AO/NAO pac driven pattern. Very similar progression wrt the NS with a weak STJ wave also. If I recall that was a decent storm for us but obviously had bigger totals to our north. But that’s kinda a best case scenario for this storm type and what we should be rooting for here. It was decent storm. Pulled off a solid 7 or 8 inches maybe even a bit more in Reisterstown. It was generally a 6-10 inch storm in the region. Interestly there was a storm the week before that stayed south similar to this past system on Friday night. That storm did however get a couple inches as far north as Laurel while DC got 4-5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Night shifter here back from the dead. After looking at things, I want to remind those that want to be out that you should still be in as the trends are more in and less out, but that doesn't mean we are in in, but less out than we were in last time we were out. You catch my drift? 3 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Just now, MillvilleWx said: Night shifter here back from the dead. After looking at things, I want to remind those that want to be out that you should still be in as the trends are more in and less out, but that doesn't mean we are in in, but less out than we were in last time we were out. You catch my drift? The Yogi Bera forecast, ladies and gentlemen 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Night shifter here back from the dead. After looking at things, I want to remind those that want to be out that you should still be in as the trends are more in and less out, but that doesn't mean we are in in, but less out than we were in last time we were out. You catch my drift? I’m inside out 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I’m inside out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 34 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @Ji This setup reminds me a bit of the early Feb 1995 storm (see below). That was a +AO/NAO pac driven pattern. Very similar progression wrt the NS with a weak STJ wave also. If I recall that was a decent storm for us but obviously had bigger totals to our north. But that’s kinda a best case scenario for this storm type and what we should be rooting for here. Wow good find, h5 looks very similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 The most important euro run until 12z is starting. Grab a hot cup of something and I’ll be your host. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 So far, hour 51, Euro matches CMC almost perfectly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 CMC drops the Northern vort more west vs Euro so far. The problematic vort in the south is there, but slightly weaker than CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Euro has that elongated tail, but not quite as far west as CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 Compared to it's 12z run, Euro much better at 0z over the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Euro has that elongated tail, but not quite as far west as CMC Can't remember...elongated tail good or bad? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 24, 2022 Share Posted January 24, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Compared to it's 12z run, Euro much better at 0z over the east Ridge out west has more amplitude as well, so the s/w trough digging through the plains should have a deeper meridional component. It's certainly not a terrible run so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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