clskinsfan Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 It looks flatter than 6z to me. May end up further east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 That being said, it still is different vs 6z...northern vort digging back further west it seems I'm at hour 90Gfs looks better i think so far..maybe a slight recovery? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Ji said: 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: That being said, it still is different vs 6z...northern vort digging back further west it seems I'm at hour 90 Gfs looks better i think so far..maybe a slight recovery? It does to me, but I didn't want to say anything..too early. Let's let it play out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: It looks flatter than 6z to me. May end up further east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Better dig than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: I know why he's saying that, there's a zonal look to the flow when it gets out to h90, but it should be a recovery from priors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, LP08 said: Better dig than 6z Yep, looks better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Has any solution gone west of us yet? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Jokes aside, I never doubted this window and the regulars killed identifying and dissecting the parts. My "pessimism" only stems from one thing... I've tracked at least a dozen of these volatile big storm setups with no block. They can produce big time but I fookin hate one lane highways with an amplified ripping jet whipping shit around. Off shore in this case is just the right shoulder of the one lane to success. Being in the shoulder now isn't different from being in the way. Tracking closely now is just an exercise in watching goal posts narrow with no chance at nailing anything other than pure luck (imo only) Also, of the dozen or whatever number I've tracked, very very few became a big storm that worked here. The ones that do are usually written off 3-4 times leading in. If you like tracking the goal posts narrowing, this is a great setup. If you like consistency and an "easy way" to snow, log off or don't complain. I need the modeling to be super accurate starting at 180 no matter if its a progressive or flat flow. That is the single key to getting our roi back to where it is for other hobbies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 H5 on gfs is closer to the 18z run so far. I’m at 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Hold on now. Northern stream looks much better this run. I am going to be wrong. Like i usually am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Not sure there is any value in comparing this to 6z because it seems slower..has a totally different look at the relative time frames Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, clskinsfan said: Hold on now. Northern stream looks much better this run. I am going to be wrong. Like i usually am. Hangover from last night? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 Lol flow in front looks like a garbage disposal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Ji said: I need the modeling to be super accurate starting at 180 no matter if its a progressive or flat flow. That is the single key to getting our roi back to where it is for other hobbies Not sure about you my friend, but there is a 100% chance of that not happening before the only thing left of me is my posts here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Has any solution gone west of us yet? Not since the storm 8 days ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: Not sure there is any value in comparing this to 6z because it seems slower..has a totally different look at the relative time frames Compare to 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Hold on now. Northern stream looks much better this run. I am going to be wrong. Like i usually am. Not gonna save us. Maybe east 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Out west looks way different at 108…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Hour 102. Nice h5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Ji said: 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Has any solution gone west of us yet? Not since the storm 8 days ago Gfs made a substantial shift towards (imo) a problematic track. I'd prefer a few of those in the mix leading in. You don't want the left shoulder written off in a progressive pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 It is funny listening to PBP with so many people. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 GFS looks a little like the 18z HECS run. No first storm and digging everything pretty far west at 108hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 I mean it is only holding the SW back by 300 miles or so. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 Very much like the 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 right now, looks like it's going to miss again UNLESS heights rise quick out in front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Very much like the 18z Sure does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, Interstate said: I mean it is only holding the SW back by 300 miles or so. Lol Looks like a little more drag and it cuts off and stays behind. That could be great or epically disastrous. I'd personally prefer no cutoffs well south but the world doesn't give af about what I want Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Gfs made a substantial shift towards (imo) a problematic track. I'd prefer a few of those in the mix leading in. You don't want the left shoulder written off in a progressive pattern Out to sea solutions and southern sliders are the worst to me. I'd rather flirt with a snow to rain track then a wind track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 You guys can't seriously look at h132 and think this is going to be a hit, can you? 138 looks similar in evolution and structure at h5 to 18z yesterday, but the juxtaposition is a decent bit east of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts