mattie g Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: My thoughts (which are worth less than penny candy): I think we need to start seeing some positive moves (not direct hits necessarily) by 0z runs tomorrow night. If solutions start becoming stable with offshore looks after that time, then we can probably guess how this is going to end. I agree. There comes a point when the general look on models is consistent enough to know when you’re out of the game. The changes in smaller details that always happen simply won’t make a difference to the weather in your backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 19 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I just need it to be over from Feb 9 - 14. I'll be in Mexico. So I hope yall can enjoy 60's for that period. It's a short break, you'll be fine! I'll be back in time for our prime time...and President's Day 4 storm. Enjoy! We went to Puerto Rico Jan. 8-15 and it was a thrill to take off at 18 degrees and land at 83. Then we got back in time to enjoy the 3" on the 16th before it switched. Man I wish that one had a better track! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Having fun yet tracking steep hills in a progressive pattern at pretty long leads? I'm having a hard time deciding between tracking this event or contracting chlamydia. Brb 2 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 7 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Having fun yet tracking steep hills in a progressive pattern at pretty long leads? I'm having a hard time deciding between tracking this event or contracting chlamydia. Brb Tough choice, I know! Maybe add "root canal" to your list of things to decide on that might be as much fun. Those are always good (and yes, I've gotten a root canal once!). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 I'm just happy the Packers lost...reading this thread last night somebody needs his binky....19 years and counting with the same lines same meltdowns same threats to move and yet still in the exact same spot with the same lines same meltdowns same threats to move....19 years and counting Can't wait for year 20... maybe ill swap out a word or two to get more current 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 10 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Having fun yet tracking steep hills in a progressive pattern at pretty long leads? I'm having a hard time deciding between tracking this event or contracting chlamydia. Brb You could always do both....just sayin 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Icon will be a disaster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 12z Rgem not too bad. Our NS coming in on a pretty steep angle . Looks like Icon is doing same thing…might not be bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Changes afoot on the icon, northern stream s/w has dug further SW at 105. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Ok...I'm prepping for the Varsity models. Got my tabs loaded up. I'll try to be more detailed since I get the movie before most of yall...but I type too fast. Anyway, open the curtains, dim the lights...it's showtime 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 NS is chugging on the icon might have a storm but going to be hard to get it to come up unless it goes negative fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 5 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Changes afoot on the icon, northern stream s/w has dug further SW at 105. Icon doesn't look that great from my POV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Anyway, open the curtains, dim the lights...it's showtime Hope we don't end up with "Ishtar" or a bunch of Ed Wood films!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ok...I'm prepping for the Varsity models. Got my tabs loaded up. I'll try to be more detailed since I get the movie before most of yall...but I type too fast. Anyway, open the curtains, dim the lights...it's showtime It’s really amusing how you’ve taken over for Bob’s old ways. He tells everyone to not waste time at long leads and their ROI, and you’ve been locked in on this one since 9 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Key things I'm looking for..trof has to start going neutral as soon as it cross the MS river...if it's still positive, forget it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, DDweatherman said: It’s really amusing how you’ve taken over for Bob’s old ways. He tells everyone to not waste time at long leads and their ROI, and you’ve been locked in on this one since 9 days out Bob is older..and a much wiser man. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 ICON is a fringe even for Maine…my expectations for GFS are very low…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Icon doesn't look that great from my POV Maybe at 180 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 12z Rgem not too bad. Our NS coming in on a pretty steep angle .It needs go straight down...the angle is not good for development before it goes out to sea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, Weather Will said: ICON is a fringe even for Maine…my expectations for GFS are very low…. Downeast Maine get crushed but that’s about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 So far, H5 is markedly different out west vs 6z nevermind, I had the wrong ****ing run out. But it is slightly different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 I'm going to have to watch this run come out after the topsy turvy model analysis we've seen the last few days. Ji will tell us its a disaster regardless. 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: So far, H5 is markedly different out west vs 6z through what hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: So far, H5 is markedly different out west vs 6z Maybe a bit similar to 0z than 6z at hour 60? Does look very different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 NS at 75 much quicker through Canada than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: I'm going to have to watch this run come out after the topsy turvy model analysis we've seen the last few days. Ji will tell us its a disaster regardless. through what hour? 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: I'm going to have to watch this run come out after the topsy turvy model analysis we've seen the last few days. Ji will tell us its a disaster regardless. through what hour? I amended. I had so many damn tabs open, I was comparing it to the 18z run from yesterday, wrong time frame too. Oof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Jokes aside, I never doubted this window and the regulars killed identifying and dissecting the parts. My "pessimism" only stems from one thing... I've tracked at least a dozen of these volatile big storm setups with no block. They can produce big time but I fookin hate one lane highways with an amplified ripping jet whipping shit around. Off shore in this case is just the right shoulder of the one lane to success. Being in the shoulder now isn't different from being in the way. Tracking closely now is just an exercise in watching goal posts narrow with no chance at nailing anything other than pure luck (imo only) Also, of the dozen or whatever number I've tracked, very very few became a big storm that worked here. The ones that do are usually written off 3-4 times leading in. If you like tracking the goal posts narrowing, this is a great setup. If you like consistency and an "easy way" to snow, log off or don't complain. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: I amended. I had so many damn tabs open, I was comparing it to the 18z run from yesterday, wrong time frame too. Oof Forgiven, I was going to say it looked very similar to 6z through 60 when I had it that far out lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 That being said, it still is different vs 6z...northern vort digging back further west it seems I'm at hour 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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