Ji Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 I got a feeling that we are going to be doing the storm after the storm dance pretty soon. Pushing every threat back. We'll see. Onward and upwards troops. 18z!Love moving 3 days back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 What day is the "second storm"? Its the day when models have zero reliability 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Or any other decent human? And this is why I love you 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I got a feeling that we are going to be doing the storm after the storm dance pretty soon. Pushing every threat back. We'll see. Onward and upwards troops. 18z! Yep. Made a tongue in cheek post i deleted but I agree with you on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: What day is the "second storm"? January 32nd 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Just now, Ji said: 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: What day is the "second storm"? Its the day when models have zero reliability So day 10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: So day 3? FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 In summary, only the GFS and Ukie give us some hope for the Saturday storm at 12Z. EURO has a storm in its fantasy range which this year is anything beyond 48 hours, at Day 9. Not feeling warm and fuzzy but better than last year by far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 In summary, only the GFS and Ukie give us some hope for the Saturday storm at 12Z. EURO has a storm in its fantasy range which this year is anything beyond 48 hours, at Day 9. Not feeling warm and fuzzy but better than last year by far.No last year was way better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I got a feeling that we are going to be doing the storm after the storm dance pretty soon. Pushing every threat back. We'll see. Onward and upwards troops. 18z! Honestly I think it’s the weekend storm that we will be tracking. But I think it’s gonna take its sweet time getting lined up. That energy out west will hang there long enough to be able to amplify when it comes out. Maybe get a little ns vort come along and phase with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 WB 12Z GEFS is actually pretty good for the next two weeks… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 4 minutes ago, Weather Will said: In summary, only the GFS and Ukie give us some hope for the Saturday storm at 12Z. EURO has a storm in its fantasy range which this year is anything beyond 48 hours, at Day 9. Not feeling warm and fuzzy but better than last year by far. No last year was way better Total BS. We had had one storm at this point last year. One Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 Just now, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GEFS is actually pretty good for the next two weeks… Save yourselves the trouble of model watching. P06 is what’s gonna happen. Probably more. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Total BS. We had had one storm at this point last year. OneAsk psu what winter was better. Ask Winchester people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 36 minutes ago, Stradivarious said: Make it 3… Add another Beethoven fan here! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 7 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Total BS. We had had one storm at this point last year. One Ask psu what winter was better. Ask Winchester people How about we ask people like Cape which winter was better so far, or people in DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Add another Beethoven fan here! Big fan here too. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 5 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: How about we ask people like Cape which winter was better so far, or people in DC. It's all relative. I don't get "mad" about the IMBY posts anymore. East of DC had been a dumpster fire since 2016 before that Jan 3rd storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 11 minutes ago, Ji said: 16 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Total BS. We had had one storm at this point last year. One Ask psu what winter was better. Ask Winchester people Lol where do you think I live? Just keep making up shit to fit your cry baby narrative. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 It's all relative. I don't get "mad" about the IMBY posts anymore. East of DC had been a dumpster fire since 2016 before that Jan 3rd storm.Jma close miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Lol where do you think I live? Just keep making up shit to fit your cry baby narrative.Lol you had 8 inches of snow on the ground between dec 15 and dec 24th. There is no way your doing better this winter than last Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 8 minutes ago, jacindc said: Big fan here too. I'm not sure I can endorse that portrayal...lol 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ji said: 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Lol where do you think I live? Just keep making up shit to fit your cry baby narrative. Lol you had 8 inches of snow on the ground between dec 15 and dec 24th. There is no way your doing better this winter than last Wrong again sport. Your move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 3 hours ago, stormtracker said: I was right..it's a miss east, but so much better than 6z Up at Sugarbush so multiple comments in one post. Randy, you’re right gfs was way closer to the type of synoptic setup that can work here. Details don’t matter but we want more guidance to move to keying on the stj wave as the main player. 3 hours ago, stormtracker said: If that trough can go negative, GFS says we might be tracking the wrong storm. But blah, can't worry about a fantasy land potential. It’s symbiotic. I identified this period because it was when the ridge/trough alignment would likely be right for something to amplify along the coast before it retrogrades too much. Thing is the wave break from the first wave creates a window behind it for another. This isn’t an unusual thing. It’s temporary. Eventually the trough will retro too much and at that point we want boundary waves not amplifying phased storms. That can work too just a different pattern. But I think assuming the first wave does amplify, even if it’s too late for us, it will create the opportunity for the next wave before that pattern door closes. 13 minutes ago, Ji said: 17 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Total BS. We had had one storm at this point last year. One Ask psu what winter was better. Ask Winchester people I’m on a ridge at almost 1100 feet. And that’s different from being in a valley or a plateau at 1000 feet because I get upslope flow which cools me even more. So I’ll take a marginal temp blocked pattern every day and twice on Sunday. March 2013 wasn’t a fail up here as another example. In the urban corridor temps are always a concern. They really need BOTH to get an epic winter usually so you’re debating different poisons here. But this year with the cold probably gives DC a greater chance at simply getting snow from any given storm. Blocking only helps if it’s cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 hours ago, SnowenOutThere said: Do not look at the CMC I’m going to be honest here… I know you’re a young chap, but your posts have gotten a lot worse in the last few weeks. Take that for whatever it’s worth. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 hour ago, The Ole Bucket said: Winter Storm Amadeus The Emperor storm. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 6 minutes ago, 09-10 analogy said: The Emperor storm. If this is a reference to the piano concerto...you win good sir!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: If this is a reference to the piano concerto...you win good sir!!! My fav, even over all the symphonies! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Just now, 09-10 analogy said: My fav, even over all the symphonies! It is an awesome piece! I had the pleasure of playing the first movement for my senior degree recital--never quite learned to my satisfaction, but it was awesome playing it nonetheless! (In fact I was just sightreading the beautiful second movement the other day! It is so soothing--reminds me of the family waiting back home for the soldier to return). Interestingly enough, Beethoven himself didn't get a chance to perform this himself because his deafness had progressed too much--I think one of his pupils debuted it instead! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Nothing gets me in the mood for a deep snowy night more than this 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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