jayyy Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Looks like the Gfs, Canadian, euro, icon and most other models are pushing the Sunday - Monday threat to the south for now. Out to sea in SEVA / NC. Not great but models also appear to be clueless as to what’s going on in the upper levels. The changes at h5 run to run are pretty drastic, which means we’ll likely see 50 different solutions between now and 00z Saturday. Wouldn’t necessarily get too invested in this one, but it’s worth keep an eye on incase we’re looking better by 0z tomorrow night or Friday. Certainly not going to lose any sleep tracking this one. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Euro hss zero ice...anywhere..and zero snow 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 hour ago, jayyy said: It does. However, moving from central Maryland to northern Maryland only does so much when big snowstorms keep occurring 200+ miles in any given direction all season lol. Last year? Your move would have been fruitful. Perhaps the start to this season is our karma for getting 40-50” last year while the metros barely hit double digits. Got very lucky last winter up this way. It’s only early February though, and the time is quickly approaching for a) deeper storms with a likelihood for more coastal huggers b) marginal events with more traditional fall line setups. We’ll catch up, and quickly. Keep the faith! Have a feeling our luck will improve drastically over the coming 6-8 weeks You should move to western Maryland, Garrett County is best, for more snow! That place is the Jay Peak VT of the Mid Atlantic! You'd get buried ALIVE in snow every winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 hour ago, jayyy said: Looks like the Gfs, Canadian, euro, icon and most other models are pushing the Sunday - Monday threat to the south for now. Out to sea in SEVA / NC. Not great but models also appear to be clueless as to what’s going on in the upper levels. The changes at h5 run to run are pretty drastic, which means we’ll likely see 50 different solutions between now and 00z Saturday. Wouldn’t necessarily get too invested in this one, but it’s worth keep an eye on incase we’re looking better by 0z tomorrow night or Friday. Certainly not going to lose any sleep tracking this one. Well, at least it's just Wednesday. Feels like it either comes back or gets squashed to oblivion, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 This topic needs some new juju. Get whomever brings good luck with snow, to start a new February medium long range topic stat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just endure the next 9-10 days as the pattern kind of resets. I think we'll be tracking something again this time next week hopefully 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Don't give up on early next week. Still plenty of time for changes in that mess of vorticity in the NS. Even if it doesn't work out, the advertised pattern continues to look cold and active. 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 hours ago, Ji said: Euro hss zero ice...anywhere..and zero snow as it showed with the last cold front setup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Didn't see the Euro mentioned, but it was much better up here for Friday in terms of ice, practically zero. Still icy for places along the MD line further west. Sundays storm never makes it up the coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 GFS still an icy mess 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 16 minutes ago, mappy said: Didn't see the Euro mentioned, but it was much better up here for Friday in terms of ice, practically zero. Still icy for places along the MD line further west. Sundays storm never makes it up the coast Ji mentioned the euro but he was speaking baby talk so it was hard to decipher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 And 06z NAM is an icy mess for our northern tier. A half inch here 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, leesburg 04 said: Ji mentioned the euro but he was speaking baby talk so it was hard to decipher. Ji is on ignore 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Ji is on ignore Still? I changed remember? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, winterymix said: We specialize in warm-wet and cold-dry. This winter in one word: freaking-boring-out-the-snow-weenie-wazoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 wintrymix....what are you drinking? Normally I wait until after at least 10am 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 So apparently the Euro still rules since the forum went quiet after it took the ice storm away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, anotherman said: So apparently the Euro still rules since the forum went quiet after it took the ice storm away. I think the Euro folded more the GFS than the gfs folded to the Euro for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: wintrymix....what are you drinking? Normally I wait until after at least 10am Yo! Stormtacker! Sober as a gravedigger. 46 days til spring. Time to plant your plants; legal in n DC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Give me all the ice 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6z Euro is a bit slower with the cold push vs 00z and actually keeps western MD above freezing until Friday at noon (5 hours slower than 6z NAM and 12 hours slower than GFS). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Give me 50 and rain over ice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Both WB EPS and GEFS look promising for the following weekend period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 It’s February 2nd and Phil saw his shadow, so we have more winter to go. Can we start a new thread now? This one is 140 pages and January is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Definitely a much warmer trend for Friday on the 6Z guidance, which isn't surprising. Assuming it holds, does this combined with the Sunday storm debacle mean the GFS sucks again? Just want to make sure I have my talking points right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I think the Euro folded more the GFS than the gfs folded to the Euro for this storm.Usually when models meet in the middle...we get nothjnt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I’m now down to where day 7 and beyond is the limit of my window before i miss something. Gone to Mexico feb 9-14. So yes, that’s when a storm will happen. Bump this post when it does. I’ll be right. That Sunday Monday deal better come back dammit I bet on our winter being sucky. I may lose 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Definitely a much warmer trend for Friday on the 6Z guidance, which isn't surprising. Assuming it holds, does this combined with the Sunday storm debacle mean the GFS sucks again? Just want to make sure I have my talking points right. Its whatever models give us the most wintry precip is the most suckiest model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I’m now down to where day 7 and beyond is the limit of my window before i miss something. Gone to Mexico feb 9-14. So yes, that’s when a storm will happen. Bump this post when it does. I’ll be right. That Sunday Monday deal better come back dammit I bet on our winter being sucky. I may lose Will you still so pbp for us? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 18 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: Definitely a much warmer trend for Friday on the 6Z guidance, which isn't surprising. Assuming it holds, does this combined with the Sunday storm debacle mean the GFS sucks again? Just want to make sure I have my talking points right. clear trend last few runs. Expecting all of moco to show rain only by 18z tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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