Eskimo Joe Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I’m all in for 0z. Small chance of an “emergency” showing up. But Timing should be right. See yas for 18z euro too ugh my insurance sucks. I just got beat for $449 for Nike glasses and frames. I mean it’s my fault. I skipped 2.5 years of exams. Somebody move this to banter. I’m not even gonna try on this phone. Stop squinting at the models and you'll be fine 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 14 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I’m all in for 0z. Small chance of an “emergency” showing up. But Timing should be right. See yas for 18z euro too ugh my insurance sucks. I just got beat for $449 for Nike glasses and frames. I mean it’s my fault. I skipped 2.5 years of exams. Somebody move this to banter. I’m not even gonna try on this phone. 2 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 24 minutes ago, Kleimax said: I mean if you’re talking temps just go back 4 runs and you can see it getting warmer each run now. At the rate it's stepping back from frozen this could be a non event come Friday maybe. Cold chasing moisture meh 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 13 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: This is choice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Still a pretty impressive temp drop in 6 hours just south of DC on the 18z. Mid 50's at 7am to freezing by 1pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 12 minutes ago, WhiteoutMD said: At the rate it's stepping back from frozen this could be a non event come Friday maybe. Cold chasing moisture meh The usual with these deals. Almost a certainty here, but could be pretty decent up near the PA line. Remember the GFS is king though- it won't back down. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 This really is setting up to be an ultimate test of the GFS new status. Like most others said, I think everybody will meet in the middle as we close in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 9 minutes ago, CAPE said: The usual with these deals. Almost a certainty here, but could be pretty decent up near the PA line. Remember the GFS is king though- it won't back down. Seems the meeting in the middle between the GFs and euro is going to be a Fall Line event. Fall line and north gets measurable icing and associated impacts. Another 25-50mi S/E of the Fall Line perhaps some light icing at the end plus a freeze over of surfaces. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: This really is setting up to be an ultimate test of the GFS new status. Like most others said, I think everybody will meet in the middle as we close in Based on it's performance for the last storm, I am not sure how/why it has this new status. I mean, the ICON may have even figured it out sooner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 No more doctor visits. What a hot mess. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: Based on it's performance for the last storm, I am not sure how/why it has this new status. I mean, the ICON may have even figured it out sooner. This man hates the GFS. Cut it some slack...we gotta be homers, even if it doesn't deserve it. I think it's more of the Euro swinging wildly than anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: This man hates the GFS. Cut it some slack...we gotta be homers, even if it doesn't deserve it. I think it's more of the Euro swinging wildly than anything else. I just think the model love hyperbole is silly, regardless of which one gets put up on a pedestal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, CAPE said: I just think the model love hyperbole is silly, regardless of which one gets put up on a pedestal. You're a hater. You'll never end my NAM love fest. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Seems the meeting in the middle between the GFs and euro is going to be a Fall Line event. Fall line and north gets measurable icing and associated impacts. Another 25-50mi S/E of the Fall Line perhaps some light icing at the end plus a freeze over of surfaces. Could even see a bit of freezing/frozen at the very end here. Mount Holly is concerned about the freeze over potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 CWG said "nothing to worry about" for friday 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Imgoinhungry said: CWG said "nothing to worry about" for friday Sunday too. Book it 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: You're a hater. You'll never end my NAM love fest. Is the NAM love-child then the CRAS, or perhaps the DGEX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: CWG said "nothing to worry about" for friday CWG is the ICON of weather media. 2 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: CWG is the ICON of weather media. i agree. gfs overplaying cold front. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 16 minutes ago, CAPE said: Based on it's performance for the last storm, I am not sure how/why it has this new status. I mean, the ICON may have even figured it out sooner. The Euro has moved WAY more to the GFS than the GFS has toward the Euro on this event. GFS has crept up a few degrees...Euro is close to a full cave. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Imgoinhungry said: i agree. gfs overplaying cold front. I get the posts in here about being cautious with the Friday setup, 4/5 times they fail. But we've got a fresh airmass pressing down in here and we're only a degree or two off from this being a problematic event. It's foolhardy to outright dismiss this because then you look terrible. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Sunday too. Book it 18z GFS trended toward the suppressed/offshore idea on the CMC and Euro. Still a ways to go with that one though. I have always liked the potential for early next week better than late this week, esp for the coastal plain. Still time. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 4 minutes ago, CAPE said: 18z GFS trended toward the suppressed/offshore idea on the CMC and Euro. Still a ways to go with that one though. I have always liked the potential for early next week better than late this week, esp for the coastal plain. Still time. Those be fightin' words after last weekend... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: 18z GFS trended toward the suppressed/offshore idea on the CMC and Euro. Still a ways to go with that one though. I have always liked the potential for early next week better than late this week, esp for the coastal plain. Still time. That looks like a tough one to me. I don’t like the look of it at all. Seems complicated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Those be fightin' words after last weekend... For the whole month of Jan, right? Been hella good here. BTW a good part of the city is on the western edge of the coastal plain. The rest is close enough. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 WB GEFS does not like the next 10 days. Hopefully something will pop up in the short term over the next couple of weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: I’m all in for 0z. Small chance of an “emergency” showing up. But Timing should be right. See yas for 18z euro too ugh my insurance sucks. I just got beat for $449 for Nike glasses and frames. I mean it’s my fault. I skipped 2.5 years of exams. Somebody move this to banter. I’m not even gonna try on this phone. Emergency is an odd way to spell “booty call” 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: For the whole month of Jan, right? Been hella good here. BTW a good part of the city is on the western edge of the coastal plain. The rest is close enough. Yeah but still not East enough in a nina, though. We did however get a little piece of the weekend coastal (about 1.5" worth and some wind). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, H2O said: Emergency is an odd way to spell “booty call” 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 hour ago, StormyClearweather said: Yeah, Sunday storm goes south of us (most of us anyway). LOL, this is the only way it can go down. Would be appropriate after the fringe jobs from January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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