Warm Nose Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Congrats Indy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 hour ago, MN Transplant said: I know all eyes are on the precipitation, but I can’t get over what the 3km NAM is trying to do tomorrow. It holds us all near freezing all day, while the Euro, GFS, and HRRR all take us to the upper 40s. I think this is the important part right here. How warm do we actually get this week? The cold has been unstoppable for the past month. We still have a solid snow pack out west. I think the warmth will bust for many of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 @42. Continues to be slightly (50-75?) south Easter with sfc freezing line 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Sadly, nothing notable to report on the NAM thru 36 Happily, nothing notable to report on the NAM thru any hour of any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 ***ALEET*** made it to the office. That’s all 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Ok, can compare much better now and there is still same as above...noticeable SE push vs 6z. 6z had it just inside of SE Ohio and north of pittsburg. 12 has it SE of Pitt and right along the OH/WV border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Also noticing precip is lighter 12z vs 6z so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 I was under the impression we start as rain regardless and then switch over. Are we now tracking a start as frozen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 54..sfc freezing line approaching Garrett County. 6z had it back over Wheeling, WV. Poor sfc freezing line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 sorry to interrupt pbp, but a tweet thread worth sharing from Pete at WPC 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I was under the impression we start as rain regardless and then switch over. Are we now tracking a start as frozen? I think we always figured with start with rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 @MN Transplant 12z 3km NAM still has near freezing high temps for tomorrow. 6z Euro was mid-upper 40s, 6z GFS was mid 40s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Ok, now that the main slug/wave is coming up, freezing line halted and even pushed back NW a smidge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just compared to 6z GFS and honestly, they match up pretty well so far with Freezing line....precip intensity is different tho. If anything 12z NAM is a hair south of 6z GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 I'm liking the positioning of the high and the feed of cold air in at h60. Heights were lower out in front of the main slug here in our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 ok, 66..GFS further S and E....it's drapped across FDK area. NAM is still in WV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Guess main conclusion is the NAM continues to slowly creep toward the GFS solution...not there yet tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Nam drifting towards GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: ok, 66..GFS further S and E....it's drapped across FDK area. NAM is still in WV NAM has Leesburg at 35 at 00z ===the run before had it at 39. Its all about trends i guess 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, stormtracker said: Guess main conclusion is the NAM continues to slowly creep toward the GFS solution...not there yet tho Yeah it makes good progress early on then decides to take the low to Garret county and halt the progression. Not a lot of other models doing that. Pull out weenie rule book to say earlier hours are more important on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 78, GFS just south of DC. NAM is just entering Garrett County 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ji said: NAM has Leesburg at 35 at 00z ===the run before had it at 39. Its all about trends i guess lol NAM took from me from 34 at 6z to 41 at 9z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 actually at the end of the 6zrun (hour 84) its a bit SE of where it is now at 78 hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Are we tracking/rooting for a freezing rain fest now? Seems snow is all but out of the question here... next storm looks more promising though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: actually at the end of the 6zrun (hour 84) its a bit SE of where it is now at 78 hour lol its a disaster....but it also gave us a MECS last week...so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 WB 12Z 3K NAM at 60 hours compared to 6Z GFS and EURO much colder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Ji said: lol its a disaster....but it also gave us a MECS last week...so Yeah, started off hopeful, then ended kinda meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 I don't think the GFS is gonna fold guys 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 The blazing sun angle will kill this threat before it even starts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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