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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr
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6 minutes ago, Grothar of Herndon said:

Wait patiently for the next set of model runs

Now that I think of it, the two storms that worked out well this year IMBY (not including the blizzard I chased like a goddamn psychopath) I didn’t really check the models or forums beforehand.  I had zero clue it was going to snow before the 1/3 storm until the watch was hoisted. Perhaps that’s the move to make :lol:

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3 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Been busy with work so haven't really tracked this week's event but LWX seemed to hedge against the GFS solution in their forecast discussion - but left the door open with the caveat...

Models have in the past been too quick with the cold air
in an anafrontal situation but every event isn`t the same. 

certaintly showed that w the debacle a few weeks ago.

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2 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said:

gfs will show all rain in 30 min.  Nail in the coffin for this one.

It probably won’t show all rain, but I kind of expect it to slowly cave. We might end as a little mix or something but I find it really hard to believe an all out ice storm or change to snow with a few inches is gonna happen, particularly for the lower elevations 

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