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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr
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2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Usually when the GFS doubles down against all the other models it ends up right. 
 

lol no it doesn’t. Just saying a weenie hope-ium

My weenie hopium just flipped the the gfs losing the mid level warm air vacuum low near the lakes for the follow up wave. Still return flow but no turbocharger 

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The gfs was actually better than it shows at the surface. At h5 it’s flatter over the southeast with slightly lower heights here. At the surface that large high sitting out over the Atlantic is moving off quicker. The reason it didn’t look better was up in southern Canada. The PV push was centered more to the west than the prior run and that tilted the boundary to more n/s (want to see that be centered farther east I’d think). The Canada part IMO is the part where the most volatility lies and the place where a model three days out could be pretty far off. Just my thoughts

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