DDweatherman Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, dallen7908 said: Well then perhaps you should change your user name. I don't recall a major ice storm here since 1994. Much different story for many others in this forum This is meaningless but one of our biggest snow falls in the last 30-years was forecast to be freezing rain 5 days out. 2003, really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 One interesting difference between the 12z NAM/GFS and 06z Euro is the 00z Friday temps. Mid-40s from the American guidance while mid-50s from the Europeans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Ok, for this version of pbp, just doing sfc...that's what we all care about anyway rn. Only up to 33 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 5 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: One interesting difference between the 12z NAM/GFS and 06z Euro is the 00z Friday temps. Mid-40s from the American guidance while mid-50s from the Europeans. pffffffft what do they know? I believe in red, white and blue. Murica Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 9 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Ok, for this version of pbp, just doing sfc...that's what we all care about anyway rn. Only up to 33 You should switch to doing pbp of the 250mb level without telling anyone. Would be some confused weenies in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 ok, at 60...so far, GFS vs Euro....GFS is further S and E with freezing/0 Line. GFS has it pressing into central OH...Euro still in Nrn Oh. EUro matches with with it's 6z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 We know the Euro won't look like the GFS, but we do need it to start looking more like it and making some moves with the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 GFS has it 8-2:30 draped across southern OH into just north of Pittsuburg. Euro draped across central OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Quite clear early on that this won't be as cold as the GFS. difference between the two is about 120 miles or so with front/sfc freezing line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 84, GFS is NW West Va and pushing into Southern PA. Euro SE ohio up to NW PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Don't even need pbp for this. We all know what's gonna happen 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 GFS down to HGR...Euro in extreme eastern OH 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 @ 96 GFS over DC, EUro back in Garrett County, MD and VA/WVA border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 102, Euro is draped back just over HGR, and curves right on the Mason Dixon line. GFS is in southern MD with ongoing Ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Until we see the GFS cave to the Euro...I'll take GFS all day. But kinda funny how they kinda switched on this one, lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: 102, Euro is draped back just over HGR, and curves right on the Mason Dixon line. GFS is in southern MD with ongoing Ice storm what's a few hundred miles among friends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Euro just won't move after that. STILL at almost same position at 105 with the freezing line in MD. it actually moves backwards into central pa from the Mason Dixon line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 108: freezing line finally sweeps through...and the precip is gone, lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I'm sorry...freezing line still hung up over the western burbs...but precip is gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm sorry...freezing line still hung up over the western burbs...but precip is gone Euro doing more what you'd expect for our area...but who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Euro still made a significant shift south. At this point, that's all I'm looking for. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 This has a better chance to turn into something than last week's "west trend" that tortured us. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 38 minutes ago, Interstate said: Why are we always stuck on the wrong side of the boundary? /mid atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 2 minutes ago, chris21 said: Euro still made a significant shift south. At this point, that's all I'm looking for. The difference between the Euro and the GFS has a significant effect on precip type for our area. But at this range the difference is not more than noise. If the models show this divergence on Wednesday then the forecast becomes a challenge. What else is new lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 7 minutes ago, chris21 said: Euro still made a significant shift south. At this point, that's all I'm looking for. Not sure I'd agree comparing with 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Depending on how much snow you’re dead-set on, you’re gonna need at least a couple hundred miles’ shift SE. Even more if you’re holding out hope to get the Thursday night stuff rather than just a small Friday piece. Can’t say it’s impossible, but I’m near the point of rooting for the euro solution over getting stuck so close yet so far with an ice storm, just to avoid that nightmare of a commute for myself and everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 What do the Canadians say about this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Your mention of the high being in Quebec sent me scurrying back to the model to look. At 90 hours gfs has surface winds out of the north that gradually begin to veer to the northeast. That’s big. Now you have cold pushing in and starting to bank against the Apps. At 850, northeasterly winds are just to our north. And I mean barely. Get those a little south of us and now snow appears as an outcome. Model has really been adjusting last several cycles here to equate for the HP up top. That’s what I’m looking at next couple days here, as to whether or not that high gets even stronger or if it ends up sinking south some and really setting the stage for a nasty ip/zr event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman98 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, snowmagnet said: What do the Canadians say about this one? rain, eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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