TSSN+ Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, MN Transplant said: Colder, but still a non-event for DC. Light precip at 31 isn’t going to do anything. Northern MD might have some interesting times. Massive change from 18z though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Colder, but still a non-event for DC. Light precip at 31 isn’t going to do anything. Northern MD might have some interesting times. I gotta say brother you are the opposite of hype lol 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, TSSN+ said: Massive change from 18z though Yes, but this one has a lot working against it in the DC area. One is that it drops an inch of rain prior to going near freezing, so the surfaces won’t be cold/dry to start with. And a big deal is that this is happening mid-day, so even with the clouds we are going to be fighting solar radiation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 NAM does have a vigorous vort at the same place 12z GFS has , but trough over the northeast is pressing down flattening out anything in front of the vort..don't know if it can climb with that look. Looked at the progression from 81 to 84 and it's rebuilding heights in front of it...so there's that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, leesburg 04 said: I gotta say brother you are the opposite of hype lol Gotta save it for the Harbaugh news tomorrow. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, MN Transplant said: Yes, but this one has a lot working against it in the DC area. One is that it drops an inch of rain prior to going near freezing, so the surfaces won’t be cold/dry to start with. And a big deal is that this is happening mid-day, so even with the clouds we are going to be fighting solar radiation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, MN Transplant said: Gotta save it for the Harbaugh news tomorrow. Maybe in 3 years we will beat Ohio State 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, MN Transplant said: Yes, but this one has a lot working against it in the DC area. One is that it drops an inch of rain prior to going near freezing, so the surfaces won’t be cold/dry to start with. And a big deal is that this is happening mid-day, so even with the clouds we are going to be fighting solar radiation. Yep, seen this film before in the UHI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: NAM does have a vigorous vort at the same place 12z GFS has , but trough over the northeast is pressing down flattening out anything in front of the vort..don't know if it can climb with that look. Looked at the progression from 81 to 84 and it's rebuilding heights in front of it...so there's that. We need to sweep that northern vort through so that there is spacing for the southern vort to climb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 Anybody hoping this happens … you probably need to rethink it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 One thing seems locked in….this is juicy. NAM and GFS putting down over 2” of Liquid in parts of PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 I know models are printing out a good deal of freezing rain for northern MD, but wouldn't this be more of a rain to sleet situation with limited freezing rain mixed in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, gopper said: I know models are printing out a good deal of freezing rain for northern MD, but wouldn't this be more of a rain to sleet situation with limited freezing rain mixed in? No, upper air lags surface freezing. May end as sleet/snow, especially in the far western areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, stormtracker said: NAM does have a vigorous vort at the same place 12z GFS has , but trough over the northeast is pressing down flattening out anything in front of the vort..don't know if it can climb with that look. Looked at the progression from 81 to 84 and it's rebuilding heights in front of it...so there's that. Yeah (it’s the NAM) they are way too close together . Need to hope the gfs and euro both separate them, and deepen the vortex over Arkansas. And that very well could happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, nj2va said: No, upper air lags surface freezing. May end as sleet/snow, especially in the far western areas. Yeah sleet would require deeper cold. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 minute ago, gopper said: I know models are printing out a good deal of freezing rain for northern MD, but wouldn't this be more of a rain to sleet situation with limited freezing rain mixed in? Sleet requires a deeper cold layer so the droplets refreeze before hitting the ground. This is a perfect freezing rain scenario with the cold temps right at the surface. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 the GFS had the right idea 2 days ago...maybe it was a too icy but the models are trending towards it more then its trending to the other models. 2 days ago...no other models had ice 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 18 minutes ago, stormtracker said: yeah, I could have worded that one better...I laughed when I read it again and just said aww, f*ck it no - it was poetry, man. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Do I even need to say it about the ICON or yall get it now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 THE ICON SUCKS 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: THE ICON SUCKS But tell us what you really think of that model?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 But tell us what you really think of that model?! Does the icon suck or does our winter the last 2 weeks suck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: THE ICON SUCKS Even the way it comes out on the Zs kinda sucks...scattered panels, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 Just now, Ji said: 1 minute ago, Always in Zugzwang said: But tell us what you really think of that model?! Does the icon suck or does our winter the last 2 weeks suck? Why not both? LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 11 minutes ago, stormtracker said: THE ICON SUCKS Never gets old 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 OK!! The @CAPE designated KING OF ALL MODELS is up... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 OK, 18 hours., freezing line is 40 miles NW of it's 18z position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 @24 hr. same as above...fz line 40 or so miles NW behind 18z position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: OK, 18 hours., freezing line is 40 miles NW of it's 18z position. I think it being north will be better for Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 @30 0z run caught up to 18z position at 36. basically same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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