Ji Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Ukmet looks like it was going to be big at 144 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, Ji said: Ukmet looks like it was going to be big at 144 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Did the gfs not fail miserably with the cold front on the 21st? Or whatever day schools closed due to rain? Similiar set up, no? Euro was all over that event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 00z EURO is a slight shift towards the GFS but it’s not there - gets some decent ice into the northern parts of the subforum. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6z won’t back down on the ice. It’s the Tom Petty of models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, BristowWx said: 6z won’t back down on the ice. It’s the Tom Petty of models. Yeah but it's less aggressive with the cold push so maybe it's finally catching on 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 It would be a glacier by Saturday morning with those temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6z won’t back down on the ice. It’s the Tom Petty of models. First time though there wasn't a south shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, peribonca said: Yeah but it's less aggressive with the cold push so maybe it's finally catching on A little bit but not in a silly way. Who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Sunday looks ugly too with ice although the high looks to be in a bad spot. I don’t know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Sunday looks ugly too with ice although the high looks to be in a bad spot. I don’t know. Man we suck at snow. We need another pattern reset Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Just now, Ji said: 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Sunday looks ugly too with ice although the high looks to be in a bad spot. I don’t know. Man we suck at snow. We need another pattern reset True but if you were looking for a high impact winter event and snow is not your main dish that would be it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Canada cold....we could really use a flip 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 25 minutes ago, BristowWx said: 6z won’t back down on the ice. It’s the Tom Petty of models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 37 minutes ago, Ji said: Canada cold....we could really use a flip Good thing it was negative for the entire month of October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 1, 2022 Author Share Posted February 1, 2022 As far as I can see, basically nothing changed overnight. So we are still at WTFK stage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Ava showed the Euro during her 6:15 weather hit this morning. Looks like a prolonged sleet/ice event up here. yippee 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 8 minutes ago, mappy said: Ava showed the Euro during her 6:15 weather hit this morning. Looks like a prolonged sleet/ice event up here. yippee Ch 9 down here barely mentioned any frozen in their segment. Showed mostly rain. It is only Tuesday tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 NAM 3k is lock step with the gfs at the end of its run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Do we really expect the GFS to cave? I mean it’s more locked in than prisoners at the top federal prison. It really doesn’t want to budge. But do Kings ever want to give up the throne? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 As far as I can see, basically nothing changed overnight. So we are still at WTFK stage.Nothing really matters till the mesos are in range 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 6z euro bumped slightly south with ice. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, snowfan said: 6z euro bumped slightly south with ice. Thanks for that. Not to be greedy but is there a previous run so I don’t have to scroll for it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said: Thanks for that. Not to be greedy but is there a previous run so I don’t have to scroll for it? Sure thing. Here’s the same time (7pm fri) on the 0Z euro. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hobbes9 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 58 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Do we really expect the GFS to cave? I mean it’s more locked in than prisoners at the top federal prison. It really doesn’t want to budge. But do Kings ever want to give up the throne? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 It does seem Euro took a few baby steps to the GFS at both 00z and 6z. I’d wager we probably end up with something in the middle. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: It does seem Euro took a few baby steps to the GFS at both 00z and 6z. I’d wager we probably end up with something in the middle. I think the middle is rain. Colder rain so we got that going for us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
just654 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 This is killing me I am supposed to fly out from BWI Friday at 7am. I have no clue to change or wait it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Perhaps some give on the GFS side too. Verbatim, the surface layer push of cold air to DCA on the GFS is weaker for the 06 UT initialization than 00 UT according to Cobb output. For DCA, the decrease in temperatures from 1 to 7 AM on the 4th is now 51.0 to 28.3 degrees; it was 36.2 to 25.4 degrees at 00 UT For DCA, the onset of freezing rain is pushed back to 5 AM on the 4th from 3 AM. The total amount of freezing rain decreases from 0.60 to 0.49 The amount of freezing rain with sub 26 degree temperatures decreases from 0.27 to 0.00. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Still not buying what the gfs is selling. No other model support. The idea that it’s the new king is overdone just like the models desire to overdo the cold chasing precip. Wouldn’t rule out some icy conditions; but what’s depicted on the gfs doesn’t look likely. Nws isn’t buying it either. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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