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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr
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  On 1/27/2022 at 4:27 PM, stormtracker said:

You seem more excited for this one than the shitshow at this time last week. 
 

Im all in. 

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Honestly, this is what I've personally been waiting for. Not volatile fast movers with vertical approach vectors. Narrow stripes annoy the F out of me. From an odds and activity standpoint, I absolutely love where models are taking us after the brief warm break. Lot of time to kill tho....

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  On 1/27/2022 at 4:30 PM, Bob Chill said:

Honestly, this is what I've personally been waiting for. Not volatile fast movers with vertical approach vectors. Narrow stripes annoy the F out of me. From an odds and activity standpoint, I absolutely love where models are taking us after the brief warm break. Lot of time to kill tho....

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Yeah, I've been getting a little more than half-heartedly interested in a potential overrunning event with sold cold air in place.  It's shown up on deterministic runs of the GFS in one way or another around the first weekend of Feb for a little while now.  Could be quite interesting if that is where we are headed!

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  On 1/27/2022 at 4:30 PM, Bob Chill said:

Honestly, this is what I've personally been waiting for. Not volatile fast movers with vertical approach vectors. Narrow stripes annoy the F out of me. From an odds and activity standpoint, I absolutely love where models are taking us after the brief warm break. Lot of time to kill tho....

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Oh we do that so well.  a 120 page thread for a storm that looks like the people in Walmart at 2am tells you we know how to kill time.  And we know how to kill our mushy think think noodle tangle in our bone spheres.

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  On 1/27/2022 at 4:36 PM, yoda said:

And it's cold cold... like 20 degrees in DC lol

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Those are the best kind.  Get some good cold in here that won't move out, and throw a bunch of moisture over-top!  I'm not comparing this here or saying it's headed in this direction, but that's really all that PD-II was in 2003.  Not a huge, bombed-out storm.

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  On 1/27/2022 at 4:37 PM, Always in Zugzwang said:

Those are the best kind.  Get some good cold in here that won't move out, and throw a bunch of moisture over-top!  I'm not comparing this here or saying it's headed in this direction, but that's really all that PD-II was in 2003.  Not a huge, bombed-out storm.

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Oh wow seriously? All 2'+ of that wasn't a bomb but a boatload of moisture like that? Amazing!

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  On 1/27/2022 at 4:40 PM, 87storms said:

i'll accept a clean overrunning event instead of a wound up fish storm, and not all that far out into the long range.

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Yes.  We do well with those.  Now we just gotta keep the boundary aimed at and over us..maybe even move it north a smidge.

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  On 1/27/2022 at 4:38 PM, stormtracker said:

Looks like 9 to 12 across the forum?  I'm sold as a mf.  I'd get back into the pbp seat for that.   Just 36 more runs! 

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<Ji>Meh.  I'm not spending the next week following a mediocre 9-12" snow, when the 2 feet the GFS gave us last week for tomorrow's event turned into a disaster!</Ji> :lol:

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