psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 The long range looks perfectly serviceable to me. -EPO. PNA goes negative but not nearly to the extent of December then shifts east some. Trough stays east of Hawaii and the trough in the western north PAC is encroaching on the western Aleutians which should continue to pump the EPO ridge. This is not an awful look. Unfortunately no help on the atlantic side but with a lot of cold around we could luck into some waves. This isnt a warm look... 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 -PNA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 22 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The long range looks perfectly serviceable to me. -EPO. PNA goes negative but not nearly to the extent of December then shifts east some. Trough stays east of Hawaii and the trough in the western north PAC is encroaching on the western Aleutians which should continue to pump the EPO ridge. This is not an awful look. Unfortunately no help on the atlantic side but with a lot of cold around we could luck into some waves. This isnt a warm look... Source region should be frigid, while we may experience another PV displacement or elongation into Central Canada. Crazy look at hour 384. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2022 Author Share Posted January 25, 2022 1 minute ago, mattie g said: -PNA Chuck approves of this post. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 It's going to be hard for it to snow.. but it's possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 I have not been a Cohen fan that much, but he has been pretty good at picking these things up this year! I hope he keeps that streak! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 2 hours ago, StormchaserChuck! said: It's going to be hard for it to snow.. but it's possible. It's hard for a lot of things, but i always make it happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 What’s the story of the boy with his finger in the dam holding back the water? That’s what the gfs looks like wrt the cold air. It’s sitting there looking ominous all through that gfs run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 I forgot about this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 5 hours ago, StormchaserChuck! said: It's going to be hard for it to snow.. but it's possible. in other words, it will be winter in the Mid-Atlantic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 22 hours ago, pazzo83 said: can you imagine these guys during a Dec 26 2010 or March 2001? LOL. Back then people complained and no one complained about the complaining. Was nice. glad to see LR looks “serviceable” saw some FB posts saying we where perhaps headed back to the Dec pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Gefs still advertising overrunning events coming at us from the southwest in the long range. Gefs would imply several chances coming up after a brief warm up for a few days next week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 28 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Gefs still advertising overrunning events coming at us from the southwest in the long range. Gefs would imply several chances coming up after a brief warm up for a few days next week. These events, as you know, are much more realistic in terms of happening for our region , as well as easier to forecast versus what is on the table ( or off the table ) for this Friday and Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 11 minutes ago, frd said: These events, as you know, are much more realistic in terms of happening for our region , as well as easier to forecast versus what is on the table ( or off the table ) for this Friday and Saturday. Definitely. It's a little disappointing models seem to be taking away the front end stuff that us westerners needed to see anything this Friday/ Saturday. You seem to be in a pretty good spot if I have your location right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 52 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Definitely. It's a little disappointing models seem to be taking away the front end stuff that us westerners needed to see anything this Friday/ Saturday. You seem to be in a pretty good spot if I have your location right. Yes, in Middletown, DE, so hopefully I have better odds, we will see. Hopefully we all score across the board with an over running event in early February. Do you have a favored time frame for early Feb? Last I checked was near Feb 6 th or 7 th. But, that was days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 34 minutes ago, frd said: Yes, in Middletown, DE, so hopefully I have better odds, we will see. Hopefully we all score across the board with an over running event in early February. Do you have a favored time frame for early Feb? Last I checked was near Feb 6 th or 7 th. But, that was days ago. Ji posted a pretty GFS picture for February 7th in the weekend thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 Can we make the next threat a super short tracker? This long tracking combined with the sheer number of immature posters around here is just a recipe for disaster if we don't end up with the highest-end scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 4 minutes ago, mattie g said: Can we make the next threat a super short tracker? This long tracking combined with the sheer number of immature posters around here is just a recipe for disaster if we don't end up with the highest-end scenario. Could we just make a stable setup that is not a long shot to get some good snow totals. Like an overunning event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 23 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Could we just make a stable setup that is not a long shot to get some good snow totals. Like an overunning event That would be nice. I'm done with all these ns vorts flying around screwing up bigger snows. Yeah overrunning may have a gradient by nature...but at least it's easier to track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 hours ago, frd said: Yes, in Middletown, DE, so hopefully I have better odds, we will see. Hopefully we all score across the board with an over running event in early February. Do you have a favored time frame for early Feb? Last I checked was near Feb 6 th or 7 th. But, that was days ago. Looks like a brief warm up next week then a cool down after that. 6th and 7th keeps popping up on some of the globals. I thinking we may have more than 1 opportunity by the way the ensembles look. (Hopefully) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 32 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Looks like a brief warm up next week then a cool down after that. 6th and 7th keeps popping up on some of the globals. I thinking we may have more than 1 opportunity by the way the ensembles look. (Hopefully) This another weekend where we gotta look past one sputtering storm to track another a week away? Seems go be the theme this month...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 13 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: This another weekend where we gotta look past one sputtering storm to track another a week away? Seems go be the theme this month...lol If we can be on the right side of a parade of overrunning events it's alot less nerve racking than hoping for the perfect timing and phase of multiple vorts. You won't get a big dog in this type of pattern we can certainly score light to moderate events. The biggest risk is being on the wrong side of the boundary and seeing PA North getting white while we're wet south of 40n. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 This thread is going to be pretty dead for a while if the GFS is right. Maybe another chance the second week of February? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: This thread is going to be pretty dead for a while if the GFS is right. Maybe another chance the second week of February? We probably just need to accept that we're likely to see a warmup ahead of a cutter in early February. After that, all we know is that the arguments about sun angle and and ground temps and drip, drip, drip will begin. And the folks out west and up north and at elevation will begin to tell us eastern lowlanders how we should expect and accept mixed events come the flip to March. And I'll start a gardening and lawn thread in preparation for spring. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 After a warmish first few days of Feb and maybe a mild storm, we get this look. Cold, and potential is there for something, but it looks to be of the same variety we are dealing with now lol. Could be fun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: After a warmish first few days of Feb and maybe a mild storm, we get this look. Cold, and potential is there for something, but it looks to be of the same variety we are dealing with now lol. Could be fun. I can't do this again yo, lolol Now if it looks cleaner with ns vorrs not screaming around as much? Maybe... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 26, 2022 Share Posted January 26, 2022 We lost our 328 Hour storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 58 minutes ago, CAPE said: After a warmish first few days of Feb and maybe a mild storm, we get this look. Cold, and potential is there for something, but it looks to be of the same variety we are dealing with now lol. Could be fun. Would think that would work. At least any decent wave would probably raise heights enough before is zoomed on toward Europe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 3 hours ago, mattie g said: We probably just need to accept that we're likely to see a warmup ahead of a cutter in early February. After that, all we know is that the arguments about sun angle and and ground temps and drip, drip, drip will begin. And the folks out west and up north and at elevation will begin to tell us eastern lowlanders how we should expect and accept mixed events come the flip to March. And I'll start a gardening and lawn thread in preparation for spring. I mean we get about 3 months of winter. We lost 1 in December. Jan was OK. Barring a mid level warning event in Feb winter is on track for a grade of C+. And that’s generous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 27, 2022 Share Posted January 27, 2022 32 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Would think that would work. At least any decent wave would probably raise heights enough before is zoomed on toward Europe Yeah but what about a random tail though? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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